Arthur Fils vs Jakub Mensik Betting Picks & Live Stream – Mensik Tipped to Reach Doha Final
20 Feb 2026Read More
Carlos Alcaraz vs Arthur Fils Betting Picks & Live Stream – Alcaraz Favoured in Doha Final
- Alcaraz holds a perfect record against Fils and is on a winning streak
- Fils, returning from injury, has made it to the finals after impressive wins
- Fils faces World No. 1 for the first time
Carlos Alcaraz returns the ball to Andrey Rublev during day five of the Qatar ExxonMobil Open.
(credit: Getty)
Carlos Alcaraz looks unstoppable right now, making it difficult to find value in the outright market given how short his odds are.
Arthur Fils is unlikely to win this matchup outright, but there is value in backing him to stay competitive. He has the tools to win a fair share of games, cover the handicap, and potentially take a set if he maintains his level.
Finals Experience Gap
- Carlos Alcaraz holds a 26–8 record in tour-level championship matches.
- Alcaraz has played 12 matches and won all 12 this year.
- Arthur Fils is playing his first championship match since 2024.
- Fils holds a 3-2 caareer record in tour-level finals.
Head-to-Head - Alcaraz Leads 2-0
| Year | Event | Surface | Round | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Barcelona | Clay | SF | Alcaraz | 6–2, 6–4 |
| 2025 | Monte Carlo | Clay | QF | Alcaraz | 4–6, 7–5, 6–3 |
Alcaraz Finds a Way
Carlos Alcaraz was broken multiple times in the semifinals against the defending champion Andrey Rublev but still did enough to grind out a straight-set victory.
All four of his matches this week have been tight, and each of his seven career matches at this venue across two seasons has gone over 19.5 games.
He is now chasing his maiden title in the Middle East. Alcaraz owns a strong 26–8 record in tour-level championship matches and will look to improve it again this week.
Alcaraz also boasts a dominant record against French players, winning 32 of his 35 meetings. He is currently on an eight-match winning streak against opponents from France.
| Category | Details |
|---|---|
| Country | Spain |
| Age | 22 (5 May 2003) |
| Height / Weight | 185 cm / 72 kg |
| Plays | Right-handed (two-handed backhand) |
| Current Singles Rank | 1 |
| Career-High Rank | 1 (12 Sep 2022) |
| Titles | 26 |
| Elo Rank | 1 (2293) |
Fils Finds His Rhythm
Arthur Fils is playing just his third tournament since returning from injury and has impressed by reaching the final. The Frenchman has given himself a chance to face the world No. 1 and compete for an ATP 500 title.
His campaign began slowly with a three-set battle against Kamil Majchrzak, but he has since found rhythm and won six straight sets. That run includes confident wins over Jiri Lehecka and Jakub Mensik.
A major test now awaits, as Fils has never faced a world No. 1 before. He holds a 3–7 record against top-five players and enters on a three-match losing streak against them.
The French youngster owns a perfect 2–0 record in ATP 500 finals after titles in Hamburg and Tokyo in 2024.
| Category | Details |
|---|---|
| Country | France |
| Age | 21 (12 Jun 2004) |
| Height / Weight | 6'1" (185 cm) / 182 lbs (83 kg) |
| Plays | Right-handed (two-handed backhand) |
| Current Singles Rank | 40 |
| Career-High Rank | 14 (14 Apr 2025) |
| Titles | 3 |
| Elo Rank | 26 (1864) |
Verdict
You simply cannot oppose Carlos Alcaraz on this unbeaten run, especially with motivation sky-high as he hunts a maiden Middle East title. That said, there is value in siding with Arthur Fils to stay competitive. He is a sturdy performer and arrives on the back of confident wins, making handicap games or a set for Fils appealing angles.
Alcaraz + Over 19.5
Result + Total Games
@-111.11 - 3 Units
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Over 8.5
Fils Total Games
@-120.48 - 2 Units
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Alcaraz 2-1
Correct Score
@296.00 - 1 Unit
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