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Carlos Alcaraz vs Novak Djokovic Betting Tips & Live Stream – Alcaraz Tipped to Complete Career Grand Slam at Australian Open

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31 Jan 2026
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Site Editor 31 Jan 2026
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  • Alcaraz enters his first Australian Open final, aiming for a career Grand Slam
  • Djokovic pursues his 11th Australian Open title, boasting a 10-0 final record
  • Both players come off draining five-set semifinals
Carlos Alcaraz & Novak Djokovic
Alcaraz and Djokovic Set for Showdown in Melbourne (credit: Getty)
Carlos Alcaraz and Novak Djokovic are coming off a brutally taxing five-set semifinal, but the physical toll is unlikely to affect them equally. 

Alcaraz, more than 15 years younger, has fresher legs, superior recovery, and clear physical advantages on his side.

Stats – History on the Line

  • Carlos Alcaraz has won 5 of his 6 matches at this Australian Open in straight sets. 
  • Alcaraz is competing in his maiden Australian Open final. 
  • He has won 6 of the 7 Grand Slam finals he has played in. 
  • Novak Djokovic is a 10-time Australian Open champion. 
  • Djokovic has never lost an Australian Open final, holding a perfect 10–0 record. 
  • Djokovic is chasing his 25th Grand Slam title overall, and his first since the US Open 2023.

HTH - Novak Djokovic Leads 5-4

Year Event Surface Round Winner Score
2025 US Open Hard SF Alcaraz 6–4, 7–6(4), 6–2
2025 Australian Open Hard QF Djokovic 4–6, 6–4, 6–3, 6–4
2024 Olympics (Paris) Clay Final Djokovic 7–6(3), 7–6(2)
2024 Wimbledon Grass Final Alcaraz 6–2, 6–2, 7–6(4)
2023 ATP Finals Hard (Indoor) SF Djokovic 6–3, 6–2
2023 Cincinnati Hard Final Djokovic 5–7, 7–6(7), 7–6(4)
2023 Wimbledon Grass Final Alcaraz 1–6, 7–6(6), 6–1, 3–6, 6–4
2023 French Open Clay SF Djokovic 6–3, 5–7, 6–1, 6–1
2022 Madrid Clay SF Alcaraz 6–7(5), 7–5, 7–6(5)

Alcaraz Chasing History in Melbourne

Carlos Alcaraz has been the standout performer at this year’s Australian Open, not dropping a single set from the opening round through the quarter-finals. 

It has been a deeply satisfying run for the Spaniard, especially after failing to go beyond the quarter-final stage on his previous visits to Melbourne. 

Alcaraz is already the youngest player in history to reach the final of all four Grand Slams. A victory on Sunday would see him become the youngest man ever to complete the career Grand Slam. 

He heads into the clash with a dominant record in the biggest finals of his career, winning 14 of his 16 title-deciding matches across Grand Slams and Masters tournaments. 

The Spaniard has been near unstoppable in deciding sets at Grand Slams, consistently squeezing the margin for opponents to find a way through. 

He has contested 16 deciding sets in main-draw Grand Slam matches and emerged victorious in 15 of them.

Category Details
Nationality Spain
Age 22 (05 May 2003)
Plays Right-handed (two-handed backhand)
World Ranking 1
Career High 1 (12 September 2022)
Tour Titles 25

Djokovic’s Melbourne Fortress

Novak Djokovic, now 38, may be in the twilight of his career, but he rolled back the years with one of the finest performances of his career in the semifinals. 

He produced a monumental five-set display to defeat two-time defending champion Jannik Sinner at the Australian Open, registering one of the most memorable wins of his illustrious career. 

The Australian Open has long been Djokovic’s favorite hunting ground, with the Serbian lifting the trophy a record 10 times in Melbourne. His dominance on these courts has firmly established him as the most successful and feared player in the tournament’s history. 

What makes the Serbian’s Melbourne record even more remarkable is his perfection on the biggest stage, having played 10 Australian Open finals and winning the title on every single occasion. 

Despite all that, Djokovic has largely looked a shadow of his former self for much of this tournament, aside from that one sensational performance against Jannik Sinner. 

He will need to significantly raise his level and recover perfectly from the five-set battle to give himself a genuine fighting chance on Sunday against the current world No. 1.

Category Details
Nationality Serbia
Age 38 (22 May 1987)
Plays Right-handed (two-handed backhand)
World Ranking 4
Career High 1 (04 July 2011)
Tour Titles 101

Verdict

Both players are likely to feel the effects of Friday’s grueling five-set battles, but the recovery edge clearly favors Carlos Alcaraz given his age and superior physical reserves. 

Even setting fitness aside, Alcaraz’s overall level has been noticeably higher than Novak Djokovic throughout this tournament. I expect a comfortable Alcaraz win, making game and set handicaps the standout betting options.

Best Bet1: Alcaraz -4.5 Handicap Games @-117.65 at Stake.com - 3 Units
Best Bet2: Alcaraz -1.5 Sets Handicap @-156.25 at Stake.com - 3 Units
Best Bet3: Alcaraz 3-0 Correct Score @172.00 at Stake.com - 2 Units
Alcaraz -4.5
Handicap Games
@-117.65 - 3 Units
25 SC no deposit & 250,000 GC
Use promo code NEWBONUS

Get 25 Stake Cash & 250,000 Gold Coins when you sign up with code NEWBONUS at Stake.us. USA only. Excludes certain States including NY,NV,ID, KY,WA. 18+ only. Terms and Conditions apply.

Bet at Stake.com
Alcaraz -1.5
Sets Handicap
@-156.25 - 3 Units
25 SC no deposit & 250,000 GC
Use promo code NEWBONUS

Get 25 Stake Cash & 250,000 Gold Coins when you sign up with code NEWBONUS at Stake.us. USA only. Excludes certain States including NY,NV,ID, KY,WA. 18+ only. Terms and Conditions apply.

Bet at Stake.com
Alcaraz 3-0
Correct Score
@172.00 - 2 Units
25 SC no deposit & 250,000 GC
Use promo code NEWBONUS

Get 25 Stake Cash & 250,000 Gold Coins when you sign up with code NEWBONUS at Stake.us. USA only. Excludes certain States including NY,NV,ID, KY,WA. 18+ only. Terms and Conditions apply.

Bet at Stake.com