Daniil Medvedev vs Juncheng Shang Betting Picks and Preview – Medvedev to Be Tested Early in Doha Opener

james-smith
16 Feb 2026
James Smith 16 Feb 2026
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  • Medvedev seeks to regain form in Doha after recent losses
  • Juncheng Shang debuts with promising early 2026 results
  • Medvedev’s experience favors him on Middle Eastern hard courts
Daniil Medvedev
Daniil Medvedev celebrates with the trophy after winning the Qatar ExxonMobil Open in 2023. (credit: Getty)

Daniil Medvedev enters Doha under a bit of a cloud after a couple of demoralizing losses, and that could give Juncheng Shang a window to stay competitive early. 

However, sustaining that level over the full match looks a tough ask for the young Chinese left-hander. Medvedev should settle in and pull away, with value likely in Shang keeping the first set close before the favorite takes control for a routine win.

Medvedev’s Perfect Record in Doha

  • Medvedev is a former champion in Doha.
  • He has won all of his six completed matches at this venue. 
  • Juncheng Shang is making his main-draw debut in Doha this week. 
  • Shang has started 2026 with three wins from his first five matches.

Head-to-Head

First meeting between the pair.

Medvedev Returns to Familiar Territory

Daniil Medvedev began the season well but has hit a rough patch in recent weeks, taking a heavy loss at the Australian Open before following it up with a frustrating three-set defeat to Ugo Humbert in Rotterdam. 

The Russian also appears a bit unsettled mentally at the moment, and that has historically been a dangerous phase for him, with dips in focus often leading to erratic performances on court. 

A return to the Middle East could provide some comfort, though, as he has typically thrived on the hard courts in this region. 

Medvedev is a former champion in Doha and owns a title in the other Middle East event in Dubai as well, giving him a proven track record and a chance to reset in familiar conditions.

CategoryDetails
CountryRussia
Age30 (11 Feb 1996)
Height / Weight198 cm / 83 kg
PlaysRight-handed (two-handed backhand)
Current Singles Rank11
Career-High Singles Rank1 (28 Feb 2022)
Elo Rank7 (1995)
Titles22

A Fresh Chapter for Shang

Juncheng Shang’s 2025 campaign was heavily disrupted by fitness problems, limiting him to just 16 matches across the entire year and forcing multiple mid-match retirements. 

By contrast, 2026 has begun on a more encouraging note, with the young Chinese player staying fit through his first five matches and winning three of them, highlighted by a quarterfinal run in Hong Kong and a second-round showing at the Australian Open. 

Doha will present another test of his endurance, though, as the conditions can be demanding for players without much experience in the region. This marks his debut in the Middle East swing. 

Historically he has found it tough against elite opposition, losing 10 of his 14 career matches against top-20 players so far.

CategoryDetails
CountryChina
Age21 (2 Feb 2005)
Height / Weight5'11" (180 cm) / 162 lbs (73 kg)
PlaysLeft-handed (two-handed backhand)
Current Singles Rank259
Career-High Singles Rank47 (21 Oct 2024)
Elo Rank73 (1759)
Titles1

Verdict

Medvedev’s strong record in the Middle East and Shang’s lack of experience in these conditions make it hard to oppose the Russian outright. Still, Shang has enough talent to stay competitive early and could keep the first set close before Medvedev’s experience and endurance help him pull away for the win.

Best Bet1: Over 9.5 First Set Total Games @-136.99 at Stake.com - 3 Units
Best Bet2: Shang +1.5 First Set Handicap Games @115.00 at Stake.com - 2 Units
Best Bet3: Medvedev 2-0 Correct Score @-123.46 at Stake.com - 2 Units
Over 9.5
First Set Total Games
@-136.99 - 3 Units
25 SC no deposit & 250,000 GC
Use promo code NEWBONUS

Get 25 Stake Cash & 250,000 Gold Coins when you sign up with code NEWBONUS at Stake.us. USA only. Excludes certain States including NY,NV,ID, KY,WA. 18+ only. Terms and Conditions apply.

Bet at Stake.com
Shang +1.5
First Set Handicap Games
@115.00 - 2 Units
25 SC no deposit & 250,000 GC
Use promo code NEWBONUS

Get 25 Stake Cash & 250,000 Gold Coins when you sign up with code NEWBONUS at Stake.us. USA only. Excludes certain States including NY,NV,ID, KY,WA. 18+ only. Terms and Conditions apply.

Bet at Stake.com
Medvedev 2-0
Correct Score
@-123.46 - 2 Units
25 SC no deposit & 250,000 GC
Use promo code NEWBONUS

Get 25 Stake Cash & 250,000 Gold Coins when you sign up with code NEWBONUS at Stake.us. USA only. Excludes certain States including NY,NV,ID, KY,WA. 18+ only. Terms and Conditions apply.

Bet at Stake.com

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