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Daniil Medvedev vs Ugo Humbert Betting Picks & Preview - Medvedev Favored in Rotterdam
- Medvedev returns to Rotterdam after a strong 8-1 start to 2026
- Humbert has a 0-3 record in Rotterdam and struggles against top 20 players
- Medvedev is favored but expects a tough match potentially extending over three sets
Daniil Medvedev is a former champion at ATP Rotterdam
(credit: Getty)
- Stats - Humbert Searches for First Rotterdam Win
- Head-to-Head: Humbert Leads 3-1
- Medvedev Returns to a Happy Hunting Ground
- Rotterdam Remains a Tough Stop for Humbert
Returning to a familiar indoor venue should help him reset quickly. In these conditions, Medvedev looks well positioned to take control of the match against Ugo Humbert.
Stats - Humbert Searches for First Rotterdam Win
- Daniil Medvedev has won 8 of his 9 matches in 2026.
- He has a strong Rotterdam record, winning the title in 2023 and reaching the SF in 2019.
- Ugo Humbert is 0-3 in Rotterdam and is yet to win a match at the event.
- Humbert has lost 7 of his last 10 matches against top 20 players over the past 13 months.
Head-to-Head: Humbert Leads 3-1
| Year | Event | Surface | Round | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Dubai | Hard | SF | Humbert | 7–5, 6–3 |
| 2023 | Beijing | Hard | QF | Medvedev | 6–4, 3–6, 6–1 |
| 2022 | ATP Cup | Hard | RR | Humbert | 6–7, 7–5, 7–6 |
| 2020 | Hamburg | Clay | R1 | Humbert | 6–4, 6–3 |
Medvedev Returns to a Happy Hunting Ground
Daniil Medvedev has been one of the best hard court players in recent years and has also excelled indoors. He has won more than 120 matches on indoor courts across his career.
Some of his best indoor results have come in Rotterdam over the years. He won the title here in 2023, beating Jannik Sinner in the final.
He also produced quarterfinal or better runs at this event in 2018 and 2019. The venue has regularly brought out his best level.
His start to 2026 has been excellent apart from one terrible day against Learner Tien. That loss aside, he holds a perfect 8-0 record this season.
The strong start includes a title run in Brisbane and several confident wins. Overall, he arrives in Rotterdam in a good place despite that one setback.
| Category | Details |
|---|---|
| Country | Russia |
| Age | 29 (11 February 1996) |
| Height / Weight | 198 cm / 83 kg |
| Plays | Right-handed (two-handed backhand) |
| Current Singles Rank | 12 |
| Career-High Singles Rank | 1 (28 Feb 2022) |
| Elo Rank | 7 (1995) |
| Titles | 22 |
Rotterdam Remains a Tough Stop for Humbert
Ugo Humbert has built a reputation as a solid indoor player with more than 130 wins and multiple titles on the surface. Despite that, he has struggled to make an impact in Rotterdam.
In his three previous visits, he drew winnable matchups against Jeremy Chardy, Cameron Norrie, and Emil Ruusuvuori. He still exited in the first round each time and is yet to win a match at this event.
He also played indoors in Montpellier last week but did not look convincing. He lost in three sets from a winning position against Adrian Mannarino in the second round.
| Category | Details |
|---|---|
| Country | France |
| Age | 27 (26 June 1998) |
| Height / Weight | 188 cm / 73 kg |
| Plays | Left-handed (two-handed backhand) |
| Current Singles Rank | 33 |
| Career-High Singles Rank | 13 (15 Apr 2024) |
| Elo Rank | 20 (1880) |
| Titles | 7 |
Verdict
It remains a question how much the recent heavy defeat is still affecting Medvedev mentally. If he has used the break to reset, his overall form in 2026 and strong Rotterdam record still point in his favor.
He should have the edge against Ugo Humbert, though it may not be straightforward. The match has the look of a longer battle, with over 21.5 games and even a three set scenario both in play.
Daniil Medvedev
Match Winner
@-185.19 - 4 Units
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Over 21.5
Total Games
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Medvedev 2-1
Correct Score
@130.00 - 1 Unit
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Medvedev + Over 19.5
Results + Total Games
@-105.26 - 3 Units
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