Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard Betting Picks & Live Stream – Expect Tiebreaks in Dubai

james-smith
2 hours ago
James Smith 2 hours ago
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  • Felix is favored due to current form and past Dubai performance
  • Expectations are high for another deep Dubai run
  • Perricard seeks his first Dubai QF, with close matches expected
Felix Auger Aliassime
Felix Auger-Aliassime is the #1 seed and title favorite in Dubai this week. (credit: Getty)

Felix Auger-Aliassime comes in as the clear favorite on current form, but there is little value in backing him at short odds. In these quicker conditions, Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard should be able to hold serve consistently and stay competitive. 

That dynamic points toward at least one tiebreak, with the Canadian likely needing to edge it that way.

Auger-Aliassime Brings Dubai Pedigree

  • Felix Auger-Aliassime was the runner-up in Dubai last year. 
  • Auger-Aliassime is 1–1 in second-round matches in Dubai. 
  • Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard is seeking his maiden quarterfinal in Dubai. 
  • Perricard has lost five of his last eight matches.

HTH - Felix Leads 2-1

YearEventSurfaceRoundWinnerScore
2025StuttgartGrassR16Auger-Aliassime6–4, 6–4
2025HamburgClayR16Auger-Aliassime6–2, 6–4
2024BaselIndoorR16Mpetshi Perricard6–1, 7–6(6)

Auger-Aliassime Eyes Another Deep Dubai Run

Felix Auger-Aliassime returns to Dubai with plenty of points to defend after last year’s excellent run to the final. He won four consecutive three-set matches during that campaign before finishing as runner-up at the event. 

That strong showing means expectations are high again this week, and he will be aiming to put together another deep run at a venue where he enjoyed plenty of success. Replicating last year’s consistency will be the immediate target. 

The Canadian arrives in excellent form and should feel confident about his chances of defending those points or even pushing for the title. He reached the final in each of his last two tournaments, lifting the trophy in Montpellier and finishing runner-up in Rotterdam. 

Auger-Aliassime has been on a steady run for months, reaching at least the quarterfinals in all of his last seven ATP events dating back to the US Open swing. That level of consistency puts him in a strong position heading into this matchup.

CategoryDetails
CountryCanada
Age25 (8 Aug 2000)
Height / Weight193 cm / 88 kg
PlaysRight-handed (two-handed backhand)
Current Singles Rank8
Career-High Rank5 (17 Nov 2025)
Titles9
Elo Rank7 (1997)

Perricard Closing In On Dubai Best

Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard arrived in Dubai on a five-match losing streak but has managed to turn things around this week. He has now won three matches in a row through qualifying and the main draw to reach the second round. 

That run leaves him one win away from his best result in Dubai, having made his debut here in 2025 where his campaign ended in the second round. 

The Frenchman has already made two quarterfinals this year, both on outdoor hard courts in Brisbane and Auckland last month.

To reach another quarterfinal, he must beat a top-10 player, a category where he holds a 2–6 career record. However, he did win his two most recent such matches, defeating Taylor Fritz in Shanghai 2025 and Lorenzo Musetti in Brussels 2025.

CategoryDetails
CountryFrance
Age22 (8 Jul 2003)
Height / Weight201 cm / 103 kg
PlaysRight-handed (one-handed backhand)
Current Singles Rank58
Career-High Rank29 (24 Feb 2025)
Titles2
Elo Rank86 (1730)

Verdict

Felix Auger-Aliassime is rightly favored given his current form, but the betting value lies elsewhere. With both players bringing big serving firepower in these fast conditions, holds should dominate and tiebreaks look highly likely. Expect tight sets where margins are slim, making the over on games or a breaker a strong angle.

Best Bet1: Yes Tiebreaker to be Played @-212.77 at Stake.com - 3 Units
Best Bet2: Over 10.5 First Set Total Games @-113.64 at Stake.com - 2 Units
Best Bet3: Over 10.5 Second Set Total Games @112.00 at Stake.com - 1 Unit
Yes
Tiebreaker to be Played
@-212.77 - 3 Units
25 SC no deposit & 250,000 GC
Use promo code NEWBONUS

Get 25 Stake Cash & 250,000 Gold Coins when you sign up with code NEWBONUS at Stake.us. USA only. Excludes certain States including NY,NV,ID, KY,WA. 18+ only. Terms and Conditions apply.

Bet at Stake.com
Over 10.5
First Set Total Games
@-113.64 - 2 Units
25 SC no deposit & 250,000 GC
Use promo code NEWBONUS

Get 25 Stake Cash & 250,000 Gold Coins when you sign up with code NEWBONUS at Stake.us. USA only. Excludes certain States including NY,NV,ID, KY,WA. 18+ only. Terms and Conditions apply.

Bet at Stake.com
Over 10.5
Second Set Total Games
@112.00 - 1 Unit
25 SC no deposit & 250,000 GC
Use promo code NEWBONUS

Get 25 Stake Cash & 250,000 Gold Coins when you sign up with code NEWBONUS at Stake.us. USA only. Excludes certain States including NY,NV,ID, KY,WA. 18+ only. Terms and Conditions apply.

Bet at Stake.com

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