Gabriel Diallo vs Ben Shelton Betting Picks and Preview - Shelton Clear Favorite in Dallas

james-smith
10 Feb 2026
James Smith 10 Feb 2026
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  • Shelton boasts a strong indoor play record; aims for title in Dallas
  • Diallo faces challenges, lacking wins and confidence lately
  • Shelton favored due to recent form and local support
Ben Shelton
Ben Shelton is the title favorite in Dallas this week. (credit: Getty)

Ben Shelton arrives in strong form after his quarterfinal run at the Australian Open and has long been a reliable performer indoors. With home support and conditions that suit his game, he holds a clear edge over Gabriel Diallo.

Stats - Shelton’s Strong Indoor Record Stands Out

  • Diallo has lost four of the six matches he has played this year. 
  • He has never beaten a top 10 player in his career and is 0-8 in such matches. 
  • Shelton has not suffered a opening round exit at an indoor event since 2023. 
  • He holds a perfect 2-0 record in Rotterdam first round matches.

Head-to-Head - Tied at 1-1

YearEventSurfaceRoundWinnerScore
2025WashingtonHardR16Shelton6–3, 6–2
2022Fairfield ChallengerHardR16Diallo5–7, 7–6(5), 6–3

Confidence Low for Diallo Entering Dallas Test

Diallo has made a very poor start to the season, losing regularly and struggling to build confidence. Several of those defeats have come against lower ranked opponents, which raises concerns about his current level. 

He now runs into title favorite Ben Shelton in Dallas at a time when he desperately needs wins. It is a very tough matchup for a player still searching for rhythm and momentum. 

This is only his second appearance in Dallas and his debut here in 2023 went badly. He lost in qualifying and again in the main draw after entering as a lucky loser.

CategoryDetails
CountryCanada
Age24 (24 September 2001)
Height / Weight203 cm (6'8") / 90 kg (198 lbs)
PlaysRight-handed (two-handed backhand)
Current Singles Rank38
Career-High Singles Rank33 (18 Aug 2025)
Elo Rank64 (1771)
Titles1

Shelton Back Home as a Title Threat

Shelton arrives in Dallas with confidence after reaching the quarterfinals of the Australian Open, where he was stopped by two-time defending champion Jannik Sinner. 

That run has kept his momentum high and reinforces his status as one of the leading contenders this week. He has been a strong indoor performer across his career, building an excellent 44-16 record in these conditions. 

Despite playing at home, his Dallas results have been mixed so far. He made the semifinals on debut in 2024 but fell in the second round in 2025 when entering as one of the title favorites.

CategoryDetails
CountryUSA
Age23 (9 October 2002)
Height / Weight193 cm (6'4") / 88 kg (195 lbs)
PlaysLeft-handed (two-handed backhand)
Current Singles Rank9
Career-High Singles Rank5 (10 Nov 2025)
Elo Rank11 (1967)
Titles3

Verdict

Shelton’s superior ability and current form point strongly in his favor here and he looks a very solid pick to win in straight sets. 

Diallo remains a big server and has played several tight sets this season despite his poor form. That gives value to over 21.5 games as a secondary option if one set turns into a close battle.

Best Bet1: Ben Shelton 2-0 Correct Score @-133.33 at Stake.com - 3 Units
Best Bet2: Over 21.5 Total Games @-200.00 at Stake.com - 2 Units
Best Bet3: Yes Tie-Breaker to be Played @-144.93 at Stake.com - 2 Units
Ben Shelton 2-0
Correct Score
@-133.33 - 3 Units
25 SC no deposit & 250,000 GC
Use promo code NEWBONUS

Get 25 Stake Cash & 250,000 Gold Coins when you sign up with code NEWBONUS at Stake.us. USA only. Excludes certain States including NY,NV,ID, KY,WA. 18+ only. Terms and Conditions apply.

Bet at Stake.com
Over 21.5
Total Games
@-200.00 - 2 Units
25 SC no deposit & 250,000 GC
Use promo code NEWBONUS

Get 25 Stake Cash & 250,000 Gold Coins when you sign up with code NEWBONUS at Stake.us. USA only. Excludes certain States including NY,NV,ID, KY,WA. 18+ only. Terms and Conditions apply.

Bet at Stake.com
Yes
Tie-Breaker to be Played
@-144.93 - 2 Units
25 SC no deposit & 250,000 GC
Use promo code NEWBONUS

Get 25 Stake Cash & 250,000 Gold Coins when you sign up with code NEWBONUS at Stake.us. USA only. Excludes certain States including NY,NV,ID, KY,WA. 18+ only. Terms and Conditions apply.

Bet at Stake.com

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