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Ignacio Buse vs Sebastian Baez Betting Picks and Preview - Baez to Stroll Through Buenos Aires Opener
- Sebastian Baez is in excellent form for the South American clay season
- Baez is expected to have a comfortable win against Ignacio Buse
- Buse enters the match with newfound confidence from recent successes
Sebastian Baez begins his Buenos Aires campaign looking to continue his strong clay-court run.
(credit: Getty)
- Stats - Baez Arrives in Winning Form
- Head-to-Head
- Comeback win gives Buse early belief in Buenos Aires
- Fresh and confident Baez eyes another clay-court surge
Against Ignacio Buse, this looks like a favorable opener on paper. Expect Baez to settle quickly into rhythm and get off to a strong start, with a straight-sets win the most likely outcome.
Stats - Baez Arrives in Winning Form
- Ignacio Buse is seeking his second ATP Tour quarterfinal.
- He holds a 2-2 career record against top-50 players.
- Sebastian Baez has won 8 of his 10 matches in 2026.
- Baez owns a 1-2 record in the Buenos Aires second round.
Head-to-Head
First meeting between the pair.
Comeback win gives Buse early belief in Buenos Aires
Ignacio Buse had a long and demanding 2025 season in which he reached the 50-win mark for the first time in his career. He then took an extended offseason and only began his 2026 campaign here in Buenos Aires.
His return started in dramatic fashion, fighting back from a big deficit to claim a three-set comeback win over Francesco Passaro. That victory should give him confidence, though it also adds to the physical toll early in the event.
Buse is still relatively new to the main tour but already owns one quarterfinal appearance, achieved last year in Gstaad. That run remains the only previous time he had moved beyond the first round at ATP level before this week.
| Category | Details |
|---|---|
| Country | Peru |
| Age | 21 (25 Mar 2004) |
| Plays | Right-handed (two-handed backhand) |
| Current Singles Rank | 96 |
| Career-High Singles Rank | 96 (9 Feb 2026) |
| Elo Rank | 81 (1739) |
| Titles | 0 |
Fresh and confident Baez eyes another clay-court surge
Sebastian Baez enjoyed an impressive start to the year, producing some of his best results on hard courts, traditionally his weaker surface.
He won all three of his matches at the United Cup, including a notable upset over Taylor Fritz, and followed it with a runner-up finish in Auckland. The demanding schedule eventually caught up with him, leading to an early exit at the Australian Open.
Since then, he has had time to reset and arrives at the South American clay swing fresh and in strong physical shape.
Clay is where Baez typically thrives, and he often raises his level during this part of the season. With confidence high and momentum on his side, he looks well positioned to make another deep run in these familiar conditions.
| Category | Details |
|---|---|
| Country | Argentina |
| Age | 25 (28 Dec 2000) |
| Height / Weight | 170 cm / 70 kg |
| Plays | Right-handed (two-handed backhand) |
| Current Rank | 34 |
| Career-High Rank | 18 (24 Jun 2024) |
| Elo Rank | 71 (rating: 1762) |
| ATP Singles Titles | 7 |
| Highest Doubles Rank | 189 |
Verdict
Sebastian Baez has been one of the standout performers of the South American clay swing in recent years, regularly collecting titles and making deep runs. These conditions suit him perfectly, and he rarely lets opportunities slip against lower-ranked opponents.
Against Ignacio Buse, this looks like a comfortable opening test for a player with Baez’s pedigree on clay. Expect him to take control early and come through without too many issues.
Against Ignacio Buse, this looks like a comfortable opening test for a player with Baez’s pedigree on clay. Expect him to take control early and come through without too many issues.
Baez 2-0
Correct Score
@-103.09 - 3 Units
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Baez -4.5
Handicap Games
@-181.82 - 3 Units
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