Jakub Mensik vs Jannik Sinner Betting Picks and Preview – Mensik to Test Sinner in Doha

james-smith
19 Feb 2026
James Smith 19 Feb 2026
Share this article
Or copy link
  • Mensik, with a strong serve, competes against favored Sinner
  • Mensik's track record suggests a competitive match
  • This game marks their first head-to-head encounter
Jannik Sinner
Jannik Sinner looks to return a ball against Alexei Popyrin during day three of the Qatar ExxonMobil Open. (credit: Getty)

Jannik Sinner is understandably a heavy favorite here, but the odds leave little value on his side against a talented and fearless youngster like Jakub Mensik. 

With a powerful serve and proven composure against top players, Mensik has the tools to stay competitive and win enough games to make the handicap markets appealing in this matchup.

Mensik Dangerous Against Top Players

  • Jakub Mensik is a former finalist in Doha. 
  • Mensik holds an impressive 3–2 career win–loss record against top-5 players. 
  • Jannik Sinner has won seven out of nine matches in 2026.
  • Sinner has won both of his matches in Doha this week in straight sets.

Head-to-Head

First meeting between the pair.

Mensik Back Where He Broke Through

Jakub Mensik began his Doha campaign with a slightly shaky three-set win over Jan Choinski, but he quickly found his rhythm in the second round, raising his level to secure a commanding 6-3, 6-2 victory. 

The Czech youngster has enjoyed an excellent start to the season, building an unbeaten record in ATP main-draw matches so far in 2026, a run that included a title-winning week in Auckland last month. 

It was here in Doha that he achieved his first major breakthrough on the ATP Tour, reaching the final on debut in 2024, a run that notably included a quarterfinal win over Andrey Rublev. 

CategoryDetails
CountryCzech Republic
Age20 (1 Sep 2005)
Height / Weight6'5" (196 cm) / 191 lbs (87 kg)
PlaysRight-handed (two-handed backhand)
Current Singles Rank16
Career-High Rank16 (18 Aug 2025)
Titles2
Elo Rank15 (1931)

Sinner In Command In Doha

Jannik Sinner’s debut campaign in Doha has been highly convincing so far. He has dominated both of his matches, defeating Alexei Popyrin and Tomas Machac in straight sets while conceding just 13 games combined.

This marks Sinner’s second consecutive quarterfinal appearance of the season. He also reached this stage at the Australian Open earlier in the year and defeated Ben Shelton in straight sets.

Despite the strong performances, there is still a sense that Sinner has more to prove after a January that fell slightly below his lofty standards, highlighted by a semifinal exit at the Australian Open where he had entered as the two-time defending champion.

Sinner enters this clash riding a remarkable 14-match winning streak in tour-level quarterfinals, with his last defeat at this stage coming at the Canadian Masters in 2024.  

CategoryDetails
CountryItaly
Age24 (16 Aug 2001)
Height / Weight6'2" (188 cm) / 168 lbs (76 kg)
PlaysRight-handed (two-handed backhand)
Current Singles Rank2
Career-High Rank1 (10 Jun 2024)
Titles25
Elo Rank2 (2284)

Verdict

Jannik Sinner is rightly favored to win this matchup, but it may not be the kind of one-sided affair he has produced in earlier rounds. Jakub Mensik’s powerful serve should allow him to hold consistently and force Sinner to work harder for breaks than usual.

Mensik also has a proven willingness to take on top players without hesitation, often standing his ground and competing fearlessly in big moments. That combination makes a competitive scoreline more likely, even if Sinner ultimately advances.

Best Bet1: Over 7.5 Mensik Total Games @-120.48 at Stake.com - 3 Units
Best Bet2: Mensik +5.5 Handicap Games @-136.99 at Stake.com - 3 Units
Best Bet3: Sinner + Over 18.5 Result and Total Games @-158.73 at Stake.us - 4 Units
Over 7.5
Mensik Total Games
@-120.48 - 3 Units
25 SC no deposit & 250,000 GC
Use promo code NEWBONUS

Get 25 Stake Cash & 250,000 Gold Coins when you sign up with code NEWBONUS at Stake.us. USA only. Excludes certain States including NY,NV,ID, KY,WA. 18+ only. Terms and Conditions apply.

Bet at Stake.com
Mensik +5.5
Handicap Games
@-136.99 - 3 Units
25 SC no deposit & 250,000 GC
Use promo code NEWBONUS

Get 25 Stake Cash & 250,000 Gold Coins when you sign up with code NEWBONUS at Stake.us. USA only. Excludes certain States including NY,NV,ID, KY,WA. 18+ only. Terms and Conditions apply.

Bet at Stake.com
Sinner + Over 18.5
Result and Total Games
@-158.73 - 4 Units
55 Stake Cash no deposit & 550,000 Gold Coins & 5% Rakeback
Use promo code NEWBONUS

Sign up with the code NEWBONUS. When you verify your account get 25 Stake Cash for free PLUS 250,000 Gold Coins and 5% Rakeback! No deposit required. Login each day for the next 30 days and get an additional 30 Stake Cash AND 300,000 Gold Coins. 21+ only. T&Cs apply. Excludes WA, NY, NV, ID, KY, MI, VT, NJ, DE, WV, PA, RI & MD.

Bet at Stake.us

Upcoming Events

27 March 2026

2026 MLB World Series Betting Preview Baseball 2026 MLB World Series Odds – LA Dodgers Favourites For 3-Peat