Karen Khachanov vs Jesper de Jong Betting Picks and Preview – Home Hope Tests Out-of-Form Khachanov in Rotterdam

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2 hours ago
James Smith 2 hours ago
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  • De Jong leverages home advantage against Khachanov 
  • Khachanov's post-injury form remains doubtful
  • De Jong seeks a competitive clash, aiming to capitalize on current momentum
Karen Khachanov
Karen Khachanov looks to rediscover form as he faces Dutch hopeful Jesper de Jong in Rotterdam. (credit: Getty)

Jesper de Jong’s steady improvement on tour and the boost of home conditions give him a solid platform to challenge. 

With Karen Khachanov currently short on form and confidence, this shapes up as a competitive clash where the underdog can push deep and cover games.

Stats - Form and First-Round Numbers

  • Khachanov has a 2–2 record so far this season. 
  • He owns a modest 3–3 record in Rotterdam first-round matches. 
  • Jesper de Jong is aiming for his first main-draw win in Rotterdam. 
  • De Jong has a 10–13 career record in ATP Tour first rounds.

Head-to-Head

These two players have never met before.

Khachanov Still Finding Rhythm After Injury

Karen Khachanov dealt with fitness issues toward the end of the 2025 season, and his form has yet to fully recover in early 2026. 

He has split his first four matches of the year, with losses to Michael Mmoh in Hong Kong and Luciano Darderi at the Australian Open raising concerns. 

In search of rhythm and confidence, the Russian now heads to Rotterdam, a venue that has not been particularly kind to him over the years. 

While he did reach the quarterfinals once, his other five appearances ended in either the first or second round. 

CategoryDetails
CountryRussia
Age29 (21 May 1996)
Height / Weight198 cm / 87 kg
PlaysRight-handed (two-handed backhand)
Current Singles Rank18
Career-High Singles Rank8 (15 Jul 2019)
Elo Rank22 (1878)
Titles7

Jesper de Jong Targets Home Breakthrough

Jesper de Jong has been steadily making inroads on the main tour in recent months, and those efforts have been rewarded with a place inside the top 100. 

Playing at home in Rotterdam offers a valuable chance to deliver a statement result and further stabilise his ranking. 

The task will not be straightforward, though. De Jong owns a modest 10–13 record in first rounds at tour-level events, with his most recent win at that stage coming at the Shanghai Masters in October 2025. 

He has also struggled against top players, losing eight of his nine matches against top-20 players so far. 

CategoryDetails
CountryNetherlands
Age25 (31 May 2000)
Height / Weight180 cm / 70 kg
PlaysRight-handed (two-handed backhand)
Current Singles Rank86
Career-High Singles Rank71 (5 Jan 2026)
Elo Rank124 (1677)
Titles0

Verdict

This matchup does not justify a short price on Khachanov given his current form, particularly against a rising home player. The conditions and support should help De Jong stay competitive throughout. 

While an outright upset may still be a stretch, De Jong has enough serve and confidence to win plenty of games. Expect him to keep the scoreline tight and challenge the handicap line.

Best Bet1: De Jong +4.5 Handicap Games @-120.48 at Stake.com - 3 Units
Best Bet2: Yes De Jong to Win a Set @142.00 at Stake.com - 1 Unit
De Jong +4.5
Handicap Games
@-120.48 - 3 Units
25 SC no deposit & 250,000 GC
Use promo code NEWBONUS

Get 25 Stake Cash & 250,000 Gold Coins when you sign up with code NEWBONUS at Stake.us. USA only. Excludes certain States including NY,NV,ID, KY,WA. 18+ only. Terms and Conditions apply.

Bet at Stake.com
Yes
De Jong to Win a Set
@142.00 - 1 Unit
25 SC no deposit & 250,000 GC
Use promo code NEWBONUS

Get 25 Stake Cash & 250,000 Gold Coins when you sign up with code NEWBONUS at Stake.us. USA only. Excludes certain States including NY,NV,ID, KY,WA. 18+ only. Terms and Conditions apply.

Bet at Stake.com

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