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Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Alex de Minaur Betting Picks & Live Stream – De Minaur to Win with Margin in Miami
- Tsitsipas leads head-to-head 13-2 vs. De Minaur
- De Minaur has recent victories and better form
- Prediction favors De Minaur due to Consistency
Alex de Minaur plays a forehand against Cameron Norrie in Indian Wells
(credit: Getty)
Stefanos Tsitsipas may lead the head-to-head 13–2, but Alex de Minaur is currently playing far better tennis and comes in with strong confidence. Having won their recent hardcourt meeting in Acapulco 2025, he looks a serious threat again here.
Consistency Clash Favors Alex de Minaur
- Stefanos Tsitsipas has multiple wins only once since April last year.
- He lost five of his last six matches vs Top 10 players.
- Alex de Minaur is 14–2 in Masters opening rounds since 2024.
- He has a 26–4 record vs outside Top 50 players in the last year.
HTH - Stefanos Tsitsipas leads 13-2
| Year | Event | Surface | Round | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Rome | Clay | R16 | Tsitsipas | 6-2, 6-1 |
| 2024 | Acapulco | Hard | QF | De Minaur | 1-6, 6-3, 6-3 |
| 2023 | Los Cabos | Hard | F | Tsitsipas | 6-3, 6-4 |
| 2023 | Barcelona | Clay | QF | Tsitsipas | 6-2, 6-4 |
| 2022 | Miami | Hard | 3R | Tsitsipas | 6-4, 6-3 |
| 2022 | Rotterdam | Indoor Hard | QF | Tsitsipas | 6-4, 6-4 |
| 2021 | Indian Wells | Hard | R16 | Tsitsipas | 6-3, 7-6 |
| 2021 | Barcelona | Clay | R16 | Tsitsipas | 6-3, 7-5 |
| 2021 | ATP Cup | Hard | - | Tsitsipas | 6-3, 7-5 |
| 2019 | Paris | Indoor Hard | R16 | Tsitsipas | 6-3, 6-4 |
| 2018 | Next Gen ATP Finals | Indoor Hard | F | Tsitsipas | 2-4, 4-1, 4-3, 4-3 |
| 2018 | Tokyo (Japan Open) | Hard | R16 | Tsitsipas | 6-3, 5-7, 6-1 |
| 2017 | Portoroz Challenger | Hard | 1R | Tsitsipas | 6-3, 6-2 |
| 2017 | Surbiton Challenger | Grass | Q-1R | De Minaur | 6-1, 6-5 |
| 2017 | Istanbul | Clay | Q-R16 | Tsitsipas | 6-4, 6-2 |
Tsitsipas Secures Opening Victory
Stefanos Tsitsipas defeated Arthur Fery in straight sets to reach the second round in Miami. He saved all three break points and won 77% of his first-serve points in a solid performance.
The win comes as a relief after back-to-back opening-round exits in Dubai and Indian Wells. He has played six tournaments this year, registering multiple wins only once.
That run came in Doha, where he reached the quarterfinal. It was also the first time since last year’s clay swing that he managed consecutive wins on tour.
Tsitsipas has a strong record in Miami, reaching the fourth round in four straight editions from 2019 to 2023. However, he has not matched that level recently, with a second-round finish in 2024 and third round in 2025.
| Category | Details |
|---|---|
| Nationality | Greece |
| Age | 27 (12 August 1998) |
| Plays | Right-handed |
| World Ranking | 51 |
| Career High | 3 (09 August 2021) |
| Elo Ranking | 31 (Rating: 1850) |
| Tour level titles | 13 |
De Minaur Looks To Recover
Alex de Minaur made a strong start to the season, winning two of his three matches at the United Cup, reaching the quarterfinals at the Australian Open, and lifting the title in Rotterdam.
However, his momentum has dipped with early exits in his last two events, including a surprise loss to Patrick Kypson in Acapulco.
De Minaur has struggled historically in Miami but has improved recently, reaching the fourth round in his last two appearances. He also holds an impressive 14-2 record in Masters opening-round matches since the start of 2024.
| Category | Details |
|---|---|
| Nationality | Australia |
| Age | 27 (17 February 1999) |
| Plays | Right-handed |
| World Ranking | 6 |
| Career High | 6 (15 July 2024) |
| Elo Ranking | 6 (Rating: 2024) |
| Tour level titles | 11 |
Verdict
Given his current form, backing de Minaur to win and de Minaur -3.5 games handicap makes plenty of appeal in this matchup.
Alex de Minaur
Match Winner
@-217.39 - 3 Units
25 SC no deposit & 250,000 GC
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de Minaur -3.5
Handicap Games
@113.30 - 2 Units
25 SC no deposit & 250,000 GC
Use promo code NEWBONUS
Get 25 Stake Cash & 250,000 Gold Coins when you sign up with code NEWBONUS at Stake.us. USA only. Excludes certain States including NY,NV,ID, KY,WA. 18+ only. Terms and Conditions apply.
See also
- Carlos Alcaraz vs Joao Fonseca Betting Picks & Live Stream – Fonseca’s Level Could Stretch This Match in Miami
- Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Sebastian Korda Betting Picks & Live Stream – Straight Sets Route for Korda in Miami
- Roberto Bautista Agut vs Karen Khachanov Betting Picks & Live Stream – Khachanov to Win a Three-Set Battle in Miami
- Botic van de Zandschulp vs Taylor Fritz Betting Picks & Live Stream – Van de Zandschulp +4.5 & Over 21.5 Games in Miami
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