Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Andrey Rublev Betting Picks and Preview – Doha Record Tips the Scale

james-smith
19 Feb 2026
James Smith 19 Feb 2026
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  • Rublev excels in Doha, boasting a 4–2 quarterfinal record
  • Head-to-head: Rublev and Tsitsipas tied at 6-6
  • Tsitsipas gains confidence post-Medvedev victory
Andrey Rublev
Andrey Rublev hits a return against Jesper De Jong during their men's singles match at the Qatar Open. (credit: Getty)
Andrey Rublev has been just as inconsistent as Stefanos Tsitsipas in recent times, but Doha is one venue where he tends to raise his level. His track record here is excellent and he regularly produces some of his best tennis on these courts. 

With that strong history to lean on, there is enough evidence to side with Rublev at an appealing price in this matchup.

Rublev Holds Edge In Doha

  • Stefanos Tsitsipas has never reached the semifinals in Doha. 
  • Tsitsipas is playing his first tour-level QF since Barcelona in April 2025. 
  • Andrey Rublev is a two-time champion in Doha. 
  • Rublev holds a solid 4–2 record in quarterfinal matches at this event.

Head-to-Head - Tied at 6-6

Year Event Surface Round Winner Score
2022 Masters Cup ATP Hard Rublev 3–6, 6–3, 6–2
2022 Astana Hard SF Tsitsipas 4–6, 6–4, 6–3
2022 Madrid Clay QF Tsitsipas 6–3, 2–6, 6–4
2021 Masters Cup ATP Hard Rublev 6–4, 6–4
2021 Monte Carlo Clay F Tsitsipas 6–3, 6–3
2021 Rotterdam Hard SF Rublev 6–3, 7–6
2020 Masters Cup ATP Hard Tsitsipas 6–1, 4–6, 7–6
2020 French Open Clay QF Tsitsipas 7–5, 6–2, 6–3
2020 Hamburg Clay F Rublev 6–4, 3–6, 7–5
2019 US Open Hard R1 Rublev 6–4, 6–7, 7–6, 7–5
2018 Next Gen ATP Finals Hard SF Tsitsipas 4–3, 3–4, 4–0, 2–4, 4–2
2017 Quimper Challenger Hard R1 Rublev 6–2, 3–6, 7–6

Confidence Boost For Tsitsipas

Stefanos Tsitsipas picked up a huge confidence-boosting win in the previous round, taking down former champion Daniil Medvedev. 

It was a significant result not just for the tournament, but psychologically as well, given Medvedev has been one of the opponents who has consistently troubled him over the years. 

The victory also marked the first time Tsitsipas has won back-to-back main-tour matches since April 2025. After a long stretch without sustained success, putting together consecutive wins again should give him renewed confidence heading into this quarterfinal. 

Tsitsipas will now look to build on that momentum and push deeper into the event. Another win here would secure his first semifinal appearance on the main tour since 2024.

CategoryDetails
CountryGreece
Age27 (12 Aug 1998)
Height / Weight6'4" (193 cm) / 196 lbs (89 kg)
PlaysRight-handed (one-handed backhand)
Current Singles Rank33
Career-High Rank3 (9 Aug 2021)
Titles13
Elo Rank27 (1864)

Rublev Thriving In Doha Again

Andrey Rublev has a habit of elevating his level in Doha, and this year has been no different. He has looked sharp through the opening rounds, comfortably dispatching his first two opponents while conceding very few games overall. 

This marks Rublev’s seventh quarterfinal appearance in Doha from just eight visits, underlining his remarkable consistency at this event. He owns a strong 4–2 record at this stage and has reached three finals here in total, converting two of them into titles. 

It is also his second quarterfinal of the season, following a solid run in Hong Kong last month, where he defeated Nuno Borges in the quarterfinals before losing to Lorenzo Musetti in the semifinals.

CategoryDetails
CountryRussia
Age28 (20 Oct 1997)
Height / Weight6'2" (188 cm) / 154 lbs (70 kg)
PlaysRight-handed (two-handed backhand)
Current Singles Rank14
Career-High Rank5 (13 Sep 2021)
Titles17
Elo Rank21 (1881)

Verdict

Given Rublev’s elite record in Doha and the comfort he clearly feels at this venue, there is plenty to like about his chances in this matchup. Against an opponent who is still searching for consistent form and confidence, Rublev’s proven level here becomes a major factor.

Best Bet1: Andrey Rublev Match Winner @-147.06 at Stake.com - 3 Units
Best Bet2: Rublev 2-0 Correct Score @162.00 at Stake.com - 2 Units
Best Bet3: Rublev -2.5 Handicap Games @128.00 at Stake.com - 2 Units
Andrey Rublev
Match Winner
@-147.06 - 3 Units
25 SC no deposit & 250,000 GC
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Rublev 2-0
Correct Score
@162.00 - 2 Units
25 SC no deposit & 250,000 GC
Use promo code NEWBONUS

Get 25 Stake Cash & 250,000 Gold Coins when you sign up with code NEWBONUS at Stake.us. USA only. Excludes certain States including NY,NV,ID, KY,WA. 18+ only. Terms and Conditions apply.

Bet at Stake.com
Rublev -2.5
Handicap Games
@128.00 - 2 Units
25 SC no deposit & 250,000 GC
Use promo code NEWBONUS

Get 25 Stake Cash & 250,000 Gold Coins when you sign up with code NEWBONUS at Stake.us. USA only. Excludes certain States including NY,NV,ID, KY,WA. 18+ only. Terms and Conditions apply.

Bet at Stake.com

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