Taylor Fritz vs Marcos Giron Betting Picks and Preview - Taylor Fritz in Trouble in Dallas

james-smith
10 Feb 2026
James Smith 10 Feb 2026
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  • Fritz, despite ranking, struggles with form and fitness, vulnerable in Dallas
  • Giron boasts a strong record in Dallas, offering potential for an upset
  • Fritz leads head-to-head 8-2, but Giron's momentum could be key
Taylor Fritz
Taylor Fritz is the top seed in ATP Dallas (credit: Getty)

Taylor Fritz has looked slightly vulnerable so far this season with form and fitness not yet at peak level. That leaves the door open in this matchup despite his higher ranking and usual indoor strength. 

Marcos Giron is a capable opponent who is also comfortable at this venue and playing at home. With odds north of 3.00 available, he offers clear value and is worth a look as an underdog in this spot.

Stats - Giron’s Dallas Record Stands Out Against Fritz

  • Fritz holds a modest 4-4 win loss record in 2026. 
  • He has never reached a final in Dallas despite three appearances. 
  • Giron has won 9 of his 12 matches in Dallas. 
  • He finished runner up at this event in 2024.

Head-to-Head - Fritz Leads 8-2

YearEventSurfaceRoundWinnerScore
2025EastbourneGrassQFFritz7–5, 4–6, 7–5
2025RomeClayR2Giron7–6(4), 7–6(3)
2024Delray BeachHardSFFritz7–6(8), 6–2
2023GenevaClayR16Fritz4–6, 6–2, 6–3
2023DallasIndoor HardQFFritz7–6(7), 3–6, 6–3
2022DallasIndoor HardQFGiron6–4, 3–6, 7–6(3)
2021MiamiHardR2Fritz6–2, 6–2
2019Newport Beach ChallengerHardR2Fritz2–6, 7–6(6), 7–6(7)
2017Dallas ChallengerHardR16Fritz7–5, 4–6, 6–3
2015Sacramento ChallengerHardQFFritz6–3, 6–4

Slow Start Leaves Questions Around Fritz

Fritz has lacked full fitness since the start of the 2026 season and it has clearly affected his results and confidence. He opened the year with a tough loss to Sebastian Baez and struggled to build momentum through his early events.

His Australian Open campaign was also underwhelming as he dropped sets to lower ranked opponents before losing to Lorenzo Musetti in the round of 16. 

Returning home may help, but Dallas has not been a happy hunting ground for him historically. For a player of his level, contending for titles at home events is usually the minimum target. Yet he has never reached a final in Dallas and most recently lost in the second round in 2025.

Category Details
Country USA
Age 28 (28 October 1997)
Height / Weight 193 cm / 86 kg
Plays Right-handed (two-handed backhand)
Current Singles Rank 7
Career-High Singles Rank 4 (18 Nov 2024)
Elo Rank 8 (1990)
Titles 10

Giron Carries Momentum Into Dallas Return

Giron has made a strong start to 2026, reaching semifinals in back to back weeks in Hong Kong and Auckland. Those results have given him early season confidence and momentum heading into this event. 

Dallas has been a very productive venue for him across recent seasons. He has reached at least the quarterfinals in each of his last three appearances here. 

His most memorable run came in 2024 when he finished runner up to Tommy Paul. That campaign marked one of only three tour level finals of his career and showed how well he plays in these conditions.

CategoryDetails
CountryUSA
Age32 (24 July 1993)
Height / Weight180 cm / 77 kg
PlaysRight-handed (two-handed backhand)
Current Singles Rank59
Career-High Singles Rank37 (5 Aug 2024)
Elo Rank51 (1793)
Titles1

Verdict

Fritz is usually reliable in home events and against fellow Americans, but his current fitness and form concerns make him vulnerable. In this spot, the value sits with Giron, who has a strong record at this venue and has even beaten Fritz here before.

Best Bet1: Marcos Giron Match Winner @220.00 at Stake.com - 2 Units
Best Bet2: Giron +1.5 Sets Handicap @-131.58 at Stake.com - 3 Units
Best Bet3: Over 11.5 Giron Total Games @-125.00 at Stake.com - 3 Units
Marcos Giron
Match Winner
@220.00 - 2 Units
25 SC no deposit & 250,000 GC
Use promo code NEWBONUS

Get 25 Stake Cash & 250,000 Gold Coins when you sign up with code NEWBONUS at Stake.us. USA only. Excludes certain States including NY,NV,ID, KY,WA. 18+ only. Terms and Conditions apply.

Bet at Stake.com
Giron +1.5
Sets Handicap
@-131.58 - 3 Units
25 SC no deposit & 250,000 GC
Use promo code NEWBONUS

Get 25 Stake Cash & 250,000 Gold Coins when you sign up with code NEWBONUS at Stake.us. USA only. Excludes certain States including NY,NV,ID, KY,WA. 18+ only. Terms and Conditions apply.

Bet at Stake.com
Over 11.5
Giron Total Games
@-125.00 - 3 Units
25 SC no deposit & 250,000 GC
Use promo code NEWBONUS

Get 25 Stake Cash & 250,000 Gold Coins when you sign up with code NEWBONUS at Stake.us. USA only. Excludes certain States including NY,NV,ID, KY,WA. 18+ only. Terms and Conditions apply.

Bet at Stake.com

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