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Marlon Vera vs Cory Sandhagen Preview & Picks – Sandhagen To Win By Decision At UFC Fight Night

21 Mar 2023
Leigh Copson 21 Mar 2023
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  • Marlon Vera vs Cory Sandhagen picks for Saturday, March 25
  • UFC Fight Night is taking place at AT&T Center in San Antonio, Texas
  • Preview, stats & form
    Marlon Vera vs Cory Sandhagen Preview & Picks
  • Marlon Vera vs Cory Sandhagen Preview & Picks
  • Marlon Vera Form
  • Cory Sandhagen Form

Marlon Vera vs Cory Sandhagen Preview & Picks

Cory Sandhagen is backed to win a fight that goes the full five rounds.

Sandhagen and Vera have proven to be two of the most durable fighters in this entire weight class.

That means the judges are likely to be called upon, with Sandhagen’s higher output earning him the nod.

  • Cory Sandhagen lands 6.15 strikes per minute (Vera 4.28)
  • Cory Sandhagen absorbs 4.21 strikes per minute (Vera 5.01)
  • 10 of Sandhagen & Vera’s 11 combined losses have been by decision
  • All 7 of Marlon Vera’s career defeats have come by decision

Marlon Vera Form

Marlon Vera is the #3 ranked bantamweight with a professional record of 20-7 (8 KO/TKOs, 8 Subs).

He goes into this fight on a four-fight win streak, having rebounded from a rough run of form in 2020 that saw him lose twice in the space of three fights.

Vera dropped decisions to Song Yadong and Jose Aldo either side of a first-round knockout of Sean O’Malley.

The 30-year-old Ecuadorian has been on a tear since though, sparking his current win streak with a unanimous decision win against Davey Grant.

He followed that up with a third-round knockout of former lightweight champion Frankie Edgar, before besting Ron Font over five rounds.

Vera then extended his win streak to four fights last summer, knocking out two-time bantamweight champion Dominick Cruz in the fourth round.

Cory Sandhagen Form

Cory Sandhagen is the #5 ranked bantamweight record with a professional record of 15-4 (7 KO/TKOs, 3 Subs).

He is looking to build up some momentum after going 3-3 over his last six fights.

Sandhagen won his first five fights after signing with the UFC, but saw his streak end with a first-round submission loss to Aljamain Sterling.

The 30-year-old American rebounding by knocking out Marlon Moraes in the second round and Frankie Edgar in the first, but his run was then ended by a split decision loss to TJ Dillashaw.

Despite that defeat ‘The Sandman’ fought for the interim bantamweight championship in his next outing.
He came up short though, dropping a unanimous decision to Petr Yan in October 2021.

Sandhagen made a return to winning ways in his sole outing of 2022 however, beating Song Yadong by doctor stoppage after four rounds.


These are two highly-skilled technical strikers, so this is likely to be a chess match until the end.

Sandhagen lands more and absorbs less on average, so we are leaning towards ‘The Sandman’ by decision.

Best Bet: Yes Will The Fight Go The Distance? @5/6 at Hollywood bets - 3 Units
Value Bet: Sandhagen by Decision Method Of Victory @23/17 at bet365 - 3 Units
Will The Fight Go The Distance?
@5/6 - 3 Units
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Sandhagen by Decision
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