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Oklahoma City Thunder at Indiana Pacers Preview & Picks – Pacers To Cover As Home Underdogs In NBA Finals Game 3
- Oklahoma City Thunder at Indiana Pacers picks for Wednesday, June 11
- NBA Finals Game 3 is taking place at Gainbridge Fieldhouse
- Preview, predictions, stats & form
(Getty Images)
- Oklahoma City Thunder at Indiana Pacers Preview & Picks
- Head To Head
- Oklahoma City Thunder Form
- Indiana Pacers Form
Oklahoma City Thunder at Indiana Pacers Preview & Picks
Oklahoma City Thunder at Indiana Pacers Preview & Picks
Indiana are tipped to cover as a home betting underdog in Game 3.
Oklahoma City are favored after their blowout win at the weekend, but there is no denying that this team has not been as dominant on the road in the playoffs.
- Oklahoma City Thunder are 0-7-0 ATS on the road in the 2025 playoffs
- Indiana Pacers are 8-4-0 ATS as a betting underdog in the playoffs
- The Over has cashed in 3 of the previous 4 meetings this season
- The Over has hit in 6 of Oklahoma City’s last 9 playoff games
Head To Head
- Oklahoma City Thunder lead the all-time series 56-47
- Oklahoma City Thunder won 123-107 when the two teams last met on June 8
Oklahoma City Thunder Form
Oklahoma City head out on the road for the first time in the series looking to build up a Game 2 victory that knotted up the NBA Finals at one win apiece.
The Thunder suffered a heart-breaking start to the series as they gave up a last-second shot to lose 111-110 at home to Indiana in Game 1.
They rallied on Sunday though, producing a dominant performance as they beat the Pacers 123-107 in Game 2.
Oklahoma City came into the NBA Finals having also won 12 of their 16 postseason games, beating Memphis, Denver and Minnesota to reach the showpiece series.
The Thunder made a dominant start to the postseason as they swept Memphis in four games, winning 131-80 and 118-99 at home, and 114-108 and 117-115 on the road.
They failed to replicate that dominance in the early stages of the second round, as they sandwiched a 149-106 win over Denver with 121-119 and 113-104 (OT) defeats.
Oklahoma City bounced back to take the next two meetings with the Nuggets, 92-87 and 112-105, but failed to wrap up the series on the road as they were beaten 119-107 in Game 6.
That set up a huge winner-takes-all meeting in Oklahoma City, and the Thunder did not disappoint the home fans as they downed Denver 125-93 to advance.
They backed up that success in the early stages of the Western Conference Finals, as they took control of the series with Minnesota.
Oklahoma City had home advantage for the showdown with the Timberwolves and made it count as they took a 2-0 lead with 114-88 and 118-103 victories.
The Thunder missed out on a series sweep as they lost 143-101 in their first road game of the series, but they responded with 128-126 and 124-94 victories to secure their place in the NBA Finals.
Indiana Pacers Form
Indiana return home on the back of a loss, but having given themselves a slight advantage with an important road win.
The Pacers visited Oklahoma City for the first two games of the 2025 NBA Finals, and they were able to split those meetings with the Thunder.
Tyrese Haliburton’s last-gasp shot snatched a 111-110 victory in Game 1, but they failed to follow that up on Sunday as they were beaten 123-107.
Indiana entered the NBA Finals having won 12 of their 16 postseason games to eliminate Milwaukee, Cleveland and New York.
The Pacers opened their playoff campaign with back-to-back home wins over Milwaukee, beating the Bucks 117-98 and 123-115.
They missed out on the sweep as they lost their road opener 117-101, but they rebounded quickly, wrapping up the series with a 129-103 road win and a 119-118 overtime victory at home.
Indiana then took command of the second-round series with Cleveland, stunning the Cavaliers with back-to-back victories on the road, winning 121-112 and 120-119.
The Pacers again lost Game 3 of a series, falling 126-104 at home, but they once again responded to a loss emphatically, clinching with a 128-109 home win and a 114-105 road victory.
They made a dream start to the Eastern Conference Finals too as they won back-to-back games in New York, beating the Knicks 138-135 in overtime and 114-109 in regulation.
Indiana’s theme of losing Game 3 continued as they lost 106-100 at home, but they were able to restore their two-game lead before heading back to New York, winning 130-121.
The Pacers passed up on the opportunity to wrap up the series at Madison Square Garden, losing 111-94 in Game 5, but they would not be denied and sealed a 4-2 series success with a 125-108 victory at home.
Verdict
Oklahoma City sent a message in Game 2, but their spread record is a massive red flag.
The Thunder have failed to cover in seven straight road games in the 2025 playoffs, so we are taking the Pacers and the free points in Game 3.
Indiana +5.5
Spread
@-111.11 - 4 Units
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Over 228.5
Total Points
@-111.11 - 2 Units
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