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Vanderbilt at Alabama Preview & Picks – Commodores To Cover As Double Digit College Football Underdog

leigh-copson
29 Sep 2025
leigh-copson
Leigh Copson 29 Sep 2025
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  • Vanderbilt at Alabama picks for Saturday, October 4
  • Game is taking place at Bryant-Denny Stadium
  • Preview, predictions, stats & form
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    Vanderbilt at Alabama Preview & Picks
  • Vanderbilt at Alabama Preview & Picks
  • Head To Head
  • Vanderbilt Form
  • Alabama Form

Vanderbilt at Alabama Preview & Picks

Vanderbilt are tipped to cover as a double digit underdog at Alabama.

We do not expect a repeat of last year’s upset, but the Crimson Tide have had issues with mobile quarterbacks so we expect Diego Pavia to keep the Commodores in this.

  • Vanderbilt are 4-1-0 ATS so far this season
  • Vanderbilt are 2-0-0 ATS in their 2 games as a betting underdog
  • The Over has cashed in 3 of Alabama’s first 4 games
  • The Over has hit in 3 of Vanderbilt’s previous 4 games

Head To Head

  • Alabama lead the all-time series 63-19-4
  • Vanderbilt won 40-35 when the two teams last met in October 2024

Vanderbilt Form

Vanderbilt head out on the road boasting a perfect record, having won each of their first five games of the season.

The Commodores kicked off the season with a 45-3 blowout of Charleston Southern, and then backed that up with a couple of big road wins.

They first beat Virginia Tech 44-20, before moving on to South Carolina to stun the number 11 ranked South Carolina, 31-7, in their SEC opener.

That win over South Carolina propelled Vanderbilt into AP’s top 25 rankings, and that have maintain their place with back-to-back home wins in non-conference action.

The Commodores first destroyed Georgia State in a 70-21 victory, before overcoming a sloppy first half to down Utah State 55-35.

Alabama Form

Alabama return home on the back of their biggest win of the season so far, which improved their record to 3-1.

The Crimson Tide entered the season as a top-10 team according to AP, but made a miserable start to the campaign as they went out on the road to lose 31-17 at Florida State.

They rallied at home over the next couple of weeks though, to enter their conference opener with a 2-1 record.

Alabama first shut out UL-Monroe in a 73-0 victory, and backed that up a week later with a 38-14 success against Wisconsin.

The Crimson Tide then made it three-in-a-row in huge fashion last weekend, heading out on the road to take down Georgia, 24-21.

Verdict

Can Vandy top last season’s upset of the Crimson Tide by beating them in Alabama?

As much as they have improved since then it is doubtful, but we do like Diego Pavia and a bunch of free points against an Alabama defense that has had problems with mobile QBs.

Best Bet1: Vanderbilt +11.5 Spread @-111.11 at Stake.us - 3 Units
Best Bet2: Over 56.5 Total Points @-111.11 at Stake.us - 3 Units
Vanderbilt +11.5
Spread
@-111.11 - 3 Units
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Bet at Stake.us
Over 56.5
Total Points
@-111.11 - 3 Units
55 Stake Cash no deposit & 550,000 Gold Coins & 5% Rakeback
Use promo code NEWBONUS

Sign up with the code NEWBONUS. When you verify your account get 25 Stake Cash for free PLUS 250,000 Gold Coins and 5% Rakeback! No deposit required. Login each day for the next 30 days and get an additional 30 Stake Cash AND 300,000 Gold Coins. 21+ only. T&Cs apply. Excludes WA, NY, NV, ID, KY, MI, VT, NJ, DE, WV, PA, RI & MD.

Bet at Stake.us