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Mexico vs Jamaica Preview & Picks - Goals Expected In Copa America Clash

gary-emmerson
21 Jun 2024
gary-emmerson
Gary Emmerson 21 Jun 2024
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  • Mexico vs Jamaica picks for Saturday, June 22
  • Copa America game is taking place in Houston, Texas
  • Preview, predictions, stats & form
(Getty Images)
    Mexico vs Jamaica Preview & Picks
  • Mexico vs Jamaica Preview & Picks
  • Head To Head
  • Mexico Form
  • Jamaica Form

Mexico vs Jamaica Preview & Picks

Mexico have given up a bunch of goals recently, conceding seven across their last couple of games.

Jamaica were just involved in a high-scoring affair against Dominica, so we expect to see at least three goals in this group game.

  • Over 2.5 goals has cashed in 4 of Mexico's last 6 games
  • 4 of the last 5 meetings have produced over 2.5 goals
  • Over 2.5 goals has hit in 7 of Jamaica's last 11 games

Head To Head

  • Mexico lead the all-time series 24-4 (5 draws)
  • Mexico won 3-0 when the two teams last met in July 2023

Mexico Form

Mexico played three friendly games this month to prepare for the Copa America 2024.

They kicked things off with a narrow 1-0 victory against Bolivia, with Efrain Alvarez scoring the only goal early in the second half.

El Tri then suffered a heavy defeat by Uruguay, losing 4-0 on a neutral pitch in Denver, Colorado.

They ended the match with 0.23-3.16 expected goals, 55% possession, and 6-7 shots.

Jaime Lozano’s side looked better in the follow-up clash against Brazil but still lost the encounter 3-2, with Guillermo Martinez scoring and an own goal by Yan Couto appearing on the scoresheet.

Jamaica Form

Jamaica had a successful start to the CONCACAF World Cup qualifiers earlier this month, earning a narrow 1-0 home victory against the Dominican Republic, with Shamar Nicholson finding the net in the first half.

The Reggae Boys faced Dominica three days later, scoring three unanswered goals through Nicholson (twice) and Kaheim Dixon, before conceding twice in the last ten minutes to win the match 3-2.

Earlier in March, Jamaica reached the CONCACAF Nations League semifinal, where they lost to the United States 3-1, but eventually secured 3rd place by beating Panama 1-0.

Verdict

Mexico’s defence has allowed seven goals in their last two friendlies against Brazil and Uruguay.

Also, four of their last five meetings with Jamaica have seen at least three goals, so over 2.5 is value here.

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