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Adrian Mannarino vs Arthur Gea Betting Picks & Preview - Relying on Mannarino’s Experience in Montpellier
- Adrian Mannarino finds form in Montpellier, overcoming a losing streak
- Arthur Gea's impressive 11-1 record leads to his maiden ATP quarterfinal
- Mannarino's experience may play a crucial role in this competitive matchup
Adrian Mannarino seeks his maiden semifinal appearance in Montpellier.
(credit: Getty)
- Stats - Breakthrough Chance for Gea
- Head-to-Head - Gea Leads 1-0
- Mannarino Finds a Timely Run
- Gea’s Rapid Rise Continues
While backing him outright may require a leap of faith, the price is still tempting given the circumstances. Expect Mannarino to win plenty of games, stay competitive throughout, and put himself in a strong position to cover the handicap.
Stats - Breakthrough Chance for Gea
- Adrian Mannarino has won two of his six matches in 2026.
- Both of his wins this season have come in Montpellier this week.
- Arthur Gea holds an impressive 11-1 win-loss record in 2026.
- Gea is playing his maiden ATP main tour quarterfinal.
Head-to-Head - Gea Leads 1-0
| Year | Event | Surface | Round | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | France Championship | Hard | — | Arthur Gea | 7–5, 6–3 |
Mannarino Finds a Timely Run
Adrian Mannarino often endures long stretches of inconsistency each season, but he tends to find short bursts of form where he produces strong results and stabilizes his ranking.
The veteran Frenchman looks to have hit one of those spells in Montpellier this week.
He arrived on a four-match losing streak in 2026 and had not won since the Shanghai Masters last October, but has since turned things around with solid victories over Pedro Martinez and Hugo Humbert to reach the quarterfinals.
Mannarino owns a 25-37 record in tour-level quarterfinals, and his previous best run in Montpellier came in 2022, where he fell to Alexander Zverev at this stage.
| Category | Details |
|---|---|
| Country | France |
| Age | 37 (29 June 1988) |
| Plays | Left-handed (two-handed backhand) |
| Current Singles Rank | 69 |
| Career-High Singles Rank | 17 (29 January 2024) |
| Elo Rank | 111 (1686) |
| Titles | 5 |
Gea’s Rapid Rise Continues
Arthur Gea has carried strong form into 2026 after a productive run on the Challenger circuit, highlighted by a title in Noumea Challenger and a solid showing in Australian Open qualifying last month.
He arrived in Montpellier looking to translate that momentum onto the main tour. The draw has opened up for him in a big way, helping the Frenchman reach his maiden ATP quarterfinal.
He advanced past Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard via retirement in the first round and then benefited from another retirement, this time from Tomas Machac, to secure his place in the last eight.
| Category | Details |
|---|---|
| Country | France |
| Age | 21 (2 January 2005) |
| Plays | Right-handed (two-handed backhand) |
| Current Singles Rank | 198 |
| Career-High Singles Rank | 197 (12 January 2026) |
| Elo Rank | 141 (1654) |
| Titles | 0 |
Verdict
Arthur Gea arrives in strong form with momentum and a bit of luck on his side, but this is still his first ATP quarterfinal against a seasoned opponent like Adrian Mannarino. The experience gap could prove significant in key moments.
Mannarino is not easy to trust outright given his inconsistency, yet his craft should keep this close. Expect him to win plenty of games and remain well placed to cover the handicap in a competitive contest.
Over 11.5
Mannarino Total Games
@-175.44 - 3 Units
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Yes
Mannarino to Win a Set
@-200.00 - 2 Units
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Mannarino +2.5
Handicap Games
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