Adrian Mannarino vs Martin Damm Betting Picks & Preview - Damm Serve to Keep Sets Tight in Montpellier

james-smith
07 Feb 2026
James Smith 07 Feb 2026
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  • Mannarino reaches his first SF in Montpellier after a challenging season start
  • Martin Damm achieves his debut main tour semifinal with dominant serves
  • A high-serve match is expected; betting on higher total games is advisable
Martin Damm
Martin Damm is having a dream week in Montpellier (credit: Getty)

Adrian Mannarino has hit one of those weeks where he becomes very tough to handle. He has put together strong performances and, in this kind of form, younger players often struggle to beat him. Still, his tendency for sudden off days makes him hard to fully trust. 

With that volatility in mind, the safer angle is on higher total games. Martin Damm’s serve can keep things tight on the other side and should make break chances hard to come by.

Stats - Mannarino Rolling in Montpellier

  • Adrian Mannarino has won each of his last two matches in three sets after coming from behind. 
  • This is Mannarino’s first semifinal in Montpellier across eight appearances. 
  • Martin Damm is playing his first main tour semifinal. 
  • Damm has won five matches this week in Montpellier after coming through qualifying.

Head-to-Head

First meeting between the pair.

Mannarino Rediscovers Form in Montpellier

Adrian Mannarino arrived in Montpellier winless in four matches this season, but he has found sudden form and turned things around quickly. 

He began with a shaky win over Pedro Martinez before settling into the event. He then produced back to back three set comeback wins against Ugo Humbert and Arthur Gea to reach his first Montpellier semifinal. 

This is his first semifinal since Dallas in February 2024, and a win would send him to his first tour level final since Sofia in 2023. 

Mannarino holds a 15-11 record in tour level semifinals across his career.

Category Details
Country France
Age 37 (29 June 1988)
Plays Left-handed (two-handed backhand)
Current Singles Rank 69
Career-High Singles Rank 17 (29 Jan 2024)
Elo Rank 111 (1686)
Titles 5

Damm’s Dream Week Continues in Montpellier

Martin Damm has enjoyed the conditions on his Montpellier debut and has made full use of them. 

He has not been broken all week and has fired more than 70 aces across five matches, showing how dominant his serve has been. 

Starting in qualifying, he has strung together five straight wins to reach his first tour level semifinal. The run includes notable victories over experienced players such as Hubert Hurkacz and Roberto Bautista Agut.

Category Details
Country USA
Age 22 (30 September 2003)
Plays Left-handed (two-handed backhand)
Current Singles Rank 160
Career-High Singles Rank 160
Elo Rank
Titles 0

Verdict

Mannarino is hard to oppose in weeks like this when he catches sudden form and starts producing wins that defy logic. At the same time, he remains a risky player to back outright because his level can fluctuate sharply from one match to the next. 

The better angle is on higher total games and a strong aces count. Martin Damm has been serving brilliantly all week and has looked almost unbreakable, which should keep sets tight and extend the match.

Best Bet1: Over 22.5 Total Games @-181.82 at Stake.com - 3 Units
Best Bet2: Yes Tiebreaker to be Played @-188.68 at Stake.com - 2 Units
Best Bet3: Over 23.5 Total Games @-123.46 at Stake.com - 2 Units
Over 22.5
Total Games
@-181.82 - 3 Units
25 SC no deposit & 250,000 GC
Use promo code NEWBONUS

Get 25 Stake Cash & 250,000 Gold Coins when you sign up with code NEWBONUS at Stake.us. USA only. Excludes certain States including NY,NV,ID, KY,WA. 18+ only. Terms and Conditions apply.

Bet at Stake.com
Yes
Tiebreaker to be Played
@-188.68 - 2 Units
25 SC no deposit & 250,000 GC
Use promo code NEWBONUS

Get 25 Stake Cash & 250,000 Gold Coins when you sign up with code NEWBONUS at Stake.us. USA only. Excludes certain States including NY,NV,ID, KY,WA. 18+ only. Terms and Conditions apply.

Bet at Stake.com
Over 23.5
Total Games
@-123.46 - 2 Units
25 SC no deposit & 250,000 GC
Use promo code NEWBONUS

Get 25 Stake Cash & 250,000 Gold Coins when you sign up with code NEWBONUS at Stake.us. USA only. Excludes certain States including NY,NV,ID, KY,WA. 18+ only. Terms and Conditions apply.

Bet at Stake.com

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