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Carlos Alcaraz vs Sebastian Baez Betting Picks & Live Stream – Alcaraz to Cover the Spread in Monte Carlo
- Carlos Alcaraz targets Monte Carlo title defense post-Miami setback
- Alcaraz boasts a 7-1 clay Masters opening match record
- Alcaraz's head-to-head against Baez stands at 3-0
Carlos Alcaraz plays a backhand as he practices in Monte-Carlo
(credit: Getty)
Carlos Alcaraz will be eager to respond after a disappointing Sunshine Double and comes into Monte Carlo with added motivation as the defending champion. Expect him to raise his level immediately in conditions that suit his game.
Alcaraz Brings Clay Dominance
- Carlos Alcaraz is 7–1 in opening-round matches in clay Masters.
- He has a 25–0 record vs outside Top 50 players in the last 12 months.
- Sebastian Baez has lost six of his last seven second-round matches in Masters.
- He has won both of his Top 10 matches this year.
HTH - Carlos Alcaraz leads 3-0
| Year | Event | Surface | Round | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Tokyo (Japan Open) | Hard | 1R | Alcaraz | 6-4, 6-2 |
| 2022 | US Open | Hard | 1R | Alcaraz | 7-5, 7-5, 2-0 (ret.) |
| 2021 | Next Gen ATP Finals | Indoor Hard | SF | Alcaraz | 4-2, 4-1, 4-2 |
Alcaraz Eyes Monte Carlo Repeat
Carlos Alcaraz suffered a disappointing loss in Miami, falling to Sebastian Korda in three sets in the third round. It marked just his second loss to a player outside the top 20 in the last 12 months.
Despite that setback, he enjoyed a strong start to the season, winning 17 consecutive matches and lifting titles at the Australian Open and Doha before his run was halted by Daniil Medvedev in Dubai.
Last year, he also exited early in Miami but bounced back by winning the Monte Carlo Masters title. He will aim to repeat that pattern this week.
Alcaraz holds a 7-1 record in opening-round matches at clay Masters events, with his only loss coming in Monte Carlo in 2022.
| Category | Details |
|---|---|
| Nationality | Spain |
| Age | 22 (5 May 2003) |
| Plays | Right-handed |
| World Ranking | 1 |
| Career High | 1 (12 September 2022) |
| Elo Ranking | 2 (Rating: 2272) |
| Tour level titles | 27 |
Baez Claims First Monaco Win
Sebastian Baez defeated former champion Stan Wawrinka in straight sets in the first round of Monte Carlo. It marked his first-ever win at this event after four previous opening-round exits.
He has produced solid results this season, including semifinals in Buenos Aires and Santiago, a final in Auckland, and a third-round run at Indian Wells.
However, he failed to defend significant points in Rio de Janeiro and Bucharest, which saw him drop outside the top 60 in the rankings.
Baez heads into the next round with a 7-10 record in second-round matches at Masters events, including six losses in his last seven.
| Category | Details |
|---|---|
| Nationality | Argentina |
| Age | 25 (28 December 2000) |
| Plays | Right-handed |
| World Ranking | 65 |
| Career High | 18 (24 June 2024) |
| Elo Ranking | 67 (Rating: 1762) |
| Tour level titles | 7 |
Verdict
A strong statement performance is expected here. Alcaraz to win in straight sets and Alcaraz -5.5 games handicap both point towards a convincing win.
Alcaraz 2-0
Correct Score
@-454.55 - 3 Units
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Alcaraz -5.5
Handicap Games
@-256.41 - 2 Units
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