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Daniil Medvedev vs Matteo Berrettini Betting Picks & Live Stream – Early Advantage with Berrettini in Monte Carlo
- Medvedev vs Berrettini in Monte Carlo: Medvedev leads HTH 3-0
- Medvedev showcases strong form with two titles in 2026
- Berrettini’s recent clay experience could be pivotal
Matteo Berrettini plays a forehand return to Roberto Bautista Agut in Monte Carlo
(credit: Getty)
Daniil Medvedev’s strong form this year makes him difficult to oppose, but Matteo Berrettini holds a key edge with valuable time already spent on clay. With Medvedev yet to play on the surface in 2026, this could make the early stages more competitive.
Berrettini Faces Elite Barrier
- Daniil Medvedev is 5–1 in opening-round matches in Monte Carlo.
- He is on a 12-match winning streak vs outside Top 50 players.
- Matteo Berrettini reached the third round in two of his five Monte Carlo appearances.
- He has lost 12 of his last 14 matches vs Top 10 players.
HTH - Daniil Medvedev leads 3-0
| Year | Event | Surface | Round | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | ATP Cup | Hard | - | Medvedev | 6-2, 6-7, 6-4 |
| 2021 | ATP Cup | Hard | - | Medvedev | 6-4, 6-2 |
| 2018 | Indian Wells | Hard | 2R | Medvedev | 6-7, 7-5, 6-4 |
Medvedev Back Among Top Contenders
Daniil Medvedev struggled for consistency last year but showed improvement from the Asian swing onward and has carried that momentum into this season.
He has played seven tournaments in 2026, reaching three finals and winning titles in Brisbane and Dubai, along with a runner-up finish at Indian Wells and a fourth-round run at the Australian Open. These results have pushed him back into the top 10.
Medvedev has made six appearances here and, apart from a first-round loss in 2017, has cleared the opening round in his last four visits, with his best result being a semifinal run in 2019.
| Category | Details |
|---|---|
| Nationality | Russia |
| Age | 30 (11 February 1996) |
| Plays | Right-handed |
| World Ranking | 10 |
| Career High | 1 (28 February 2022) |
| Elo Ranking | 5 (Rating: 2019) |
| Tour level titles | 23 |
Berrettini Looks To Build Rhythm
Matteo Berrettini arrives this week after a disappointing first-round loss to Ignacio Buse in Marrakech, but he advanced in Monte Carlo with a retirement win in the opening round.
The Italian has struggled with fitness issues in recent years and skipped the Australian swing to focus on recovery. He has played six events this season, registering multiple wins only twice, a quarterfinal in Rio de Janeiro and a third round in Miami.
Berrettini has cleared the opening round only twice in five previous appearances in Monte Carlo, and on both occasions he reached the third round. He will aim to follow that pattern again this week.
| Category | Details |
|---|---|
| Nationality | Italy |
| Age | 29 (12 April 1996) |
| Plays | Right-handed |
| World Ranking | 90 |
| Career High | 6 (31 January 2022) |
| Elo Ranking | 39 (Rating: 1822) |
| Tour level titles | 10 |
Verdict
That early window looks crucial. Berrettini to win the first set, Berrettini +1.5 games in the first set, and Berrettini to win over 11.5 games in the match all stand out as smart betting angles here.
Matteo Berrettini
1st Set Winner
@137.00 - 2 Units
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Berrettini +1.5
Handicap Games 1st Set
@-113.64 - 2 Units
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Over 11.5
Total Berrettini
@-133.33 - 2 Units
25 SC no deposit & 250,000 GC
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