Felix Auger Aliassime vs Arthur Fils Betting Picks & Preview – Montpellier Comfort Gives Auger Aliassime the Edge

james-smith
1 hour ago
James Smith 1 hour ago
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  • Felix aims to extend his five-match winning streak in Montpellier
  • Arthur Fils is returning from an injury and seeking to regain his form
  • Felix's indoor performance and experience give him an upper hand
Felix Auger Aliassime
Felix Auger-Aliassime is the defending champion in Montpellier. (credit: Getty)
Felix Auger Aliassime may not be at his peak right now, but his outstanding indoor record and success in Montpellier still make him a serious title contender. 

With Arthur Fils still working his way back to full fitness and sharpness, the Canadian looks well placed to control this matchup. If he plays to his indoor standards, Auger Aliassime should be able to manage the French challenge comfortably.

Stats - Auger-Aliassime’s Montpellier Streak Faces Fils Test

  • Felix Auger Aliassime is on a five-match winning streak in Montpellier. 
  • His career record at this venue stands at 7-2. 
  • Four of Arthur Fils’ five sets in Montpellier this week have ended 7-6 or 7-5. 
  • Fils needs one more win to match his 2023 semifinal run here.

Head-to-Head

Year Event Surface Round Winner Score
2023 Lyon Clay QF Arthur Fils Walkover

Felix Finding Form Indoors

Felix Auger Aliassime arrived with concerns after a slow start to 2026 and lingering fitness issues that affected both his schedule and level. 

The move indoors, however, has provided a timely boost, allowing him to settle into his best conditions and build momentum. 

He has long been one of the most reliable performers on indoor hard courts, winning 19 matches and two titles on the surface last year. 

His record in Montpellier is equally strong, with a semifinal in 2024 and the title in 2025 underlining how comfortable he is at this venue.

Category Details
Country Canada
Age 25 (8 August 2000)
Plays Right-handed (two-handed backhand)
Current Singles Rank 8
Career-High Singles Rank 5 (17 November 2025)
Elo Rank 11 (1964)
Titles 8

Gradual Return for Arthur Fils

Concerns around Arthur Fils have been significant after he missed most of the second half of 2025 with injury. He also skipped events last month, so this run in Montpellier is part of a gradual return to fitness. 

His level this week has not been at its peak, which is understandable as he works his way back physically. Even so, he has managed to find wins, beating Valentin Royer in three sets and Hugo Blanchet in straight sets to stay alive. 

The Frenchman has shown promise at this venue before, reaching the semifinals here in 2023. That run also marked his first quarterfinal at an indoor ATP event.

Category Details
Country France
Age 21 (12 June 2004)
Plays Right-handed (two-handed backhand)
Current Singles Rank 42
Career-High Singles Rank 14 (14 April 2025)
Elo Rank 25 (1873)
Titles 3

Verdict

Arthur Fils would normally pose serious problems for the current version of Felix Auger Aliassime, but coming off a lengthy injury layoff he still looks well short of full sharpness.

In indoor conditions, Auger Aliassime should have more than enough firepower and comfort to control the contest. Even if it stretches to a deciding set, he looks well placed to win by enough margin to cover the handicap.

Best Bet1: Felix -2.5 Handicap Games @-120.48 at Stake.com - 3 Units
Best Bet2: Felix Auger Aliassime Match Winner @-185.19 at Stake.com - 4 Units
Felix -2.5
Handicap Games
@-120.48 - 3 Units
25 SC no deposit & 250,000 GC
Use promo code NEWBONUS

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Bet at Stake.com
Felix Auger Aliassime
Match Winner
@-185.19 - 4 Units
25 SC no deposit & 250,000 GC
Use promo code NEWBONUS

Get 25 Stake Cash & 250,000 Gold Coins when you sign up with code NEWBONUS at Stake.us. USA only. Excludes certain States including NY,NV,ID, KY,WA. 18+ only. Terms and Conditions apply.

Bet at Stake.com

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