Gael Monfils vs Felix Auger-Aliassime Betting Picks & Live Stream – Auger-Aliassime the Clear Class in Indian Wells

james-smith
06 Mar 2026
James Smith 06 Mar 2026
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  • Monfils faces fitness issues but seeks back-to-back wins
  • Auger-Aliassime shows strong form, daunting for Monfils
  • Straight-sets win for Auger-Aliassime is highly anticipated
Felix Auger-Aliassime
Felix Auger-Aliassime returns a shot during his semi-final match against Daniil Medvedev in Dubai (credit: Getty)
Gael Monfils is unlikely to have the fitness right now to maintain a high level throughout a full match against a top-10 player. While the Frenchman might still produce flashes of brilliance and stay competitive for a stretch, sustaining that intensity over two or three sets is a different challenge altogether. 

Felix Auger-Aliassime, with his power and consistency from the baseline, should be able to apply constant pressure and wear Monfils down as the match progresses.

Monfils Meets In-Form Opponent

  • Gael Monfils reached at least the third round in nine of his last ten Indian Wells appearances. 
  • He has not won multiple matches on tour since Miami last year.
  • Felix Auger-Aliassime has reached at least the quarterfinals in nine of his last ten events. 
  • He has won 18 of his last 19 matches against players outside the Top 50. 

HTH - Tied at 1-1

Year Event Surface Round Winner Score
2023 Laver Cup Indoor Hard - Auger Aliassime 6-4, 6-3

Monfils Targets Back-to-Back Wins

Gael Monfils defeated Alexis Galarneau 6-4 6-4 in the first round at Indian Wells. He fired six aces and won 71% of his first-serve points. 

The win comes as a confidence boost after losing three of his first four matches this season, with fitness issues affecting his results since last year. 

Monfils now looks to secure back-to-back wins for the first time since Miami last year, something he will aim to achieve this week given his solid early-round record in Indian Wells.

Category Details
Nationality France
Age 39 (1 September 1986)
Plays Right-handed
World Ranking 148
Career High 6 (07 November 2016)
Elo Ranking 41 (Rating: 1822)
Tour level titles 13

Auger-Aliassime Carries Strong Form

Felix Auger-Aliassime has continued his strong form this season, reaching the finals in Montpellier and Rotterdam and the semifinal in Dubai after an early exit at the Australian Open. 

The Canadian showed impressive consistency last year, reaching 11 semifinals or better and winning three titles. Those results helped him break into the top 10 and climb as high as No. 5. 

Despite that breakthrough season, he has struggled in Indian Wells. He has lost in the second round four times in seven appearances and will look to change that this week.

Category Details
Nationality Canada
Age 25 (8 August 2000)
Plays Right-handed
World Ranking 9
Career High 5 (17 November 2025)
Elo Ranking 7 (Rating: 2001)
Tour level titles 9

Verdict

Auger-Aliassime is well placed to take control over the course of the match. Backing the Canadian to cover the -3.5 or -4.5 game handicap looks appealing, with a straight-sets win also very much on the cards.

Best Bet1: Aliassime -4.5 Handicup Games @-106.38 at Stake.com - 2 Units
Best Bet2: Aliassime 2-0 Correct Score @-188.68 at Stake.com - 2 Units
Aliassime -4.5
Handicup Games
@-106.38 - 2 Units
25 SC no deposit & 250,000 GC
Use promo code NEWBONUS

Get 25 Stake Cash & 250,000 Gold Coins when you sign up with code NEWBONUS at Stake.us. USA only. Excludes certain States including NY,NV,ID, KY,WA. 18+ only. Terms and Conditions apply.

Bet at Stake.com
Aliassime 2-0
Correct Score
@-188.68 - 2 Units
25 SC no deposit & 250,000 GC
Use promo code NEWBONUS

Get 25 Stake Cash & 250,000 Gold Coins when you sign up with code NEWBONUS at Stake.us. USA only. Excludes certain States including NY,NV,ID, KY,WA. 18+ only. Terms and Conditions apply.

Bet at Stake.com

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