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João Fonseca vs Alejandro Tabilo Betting Picks and Preview – Fonseca Vulnerable in Buenos Aires
- Tabilo enters in strong form, winning 9 of 13 matches in 2026
- Fonseca returns to defend his title, but with limited match play
- Tabilo's clay expertise and recent success give him a favorable edge
Joao Fonseca returns the ball during a training session open to media at the Itanhanga Golf Club in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil, on February 05, 2026.
(credit: Getty)
- Stats - Contrasting Momentum in Buenos Aires
- Head-to-Head - Tabilo Leads 1-0
- Fonseca Returns to Defend Buenos Aires Title
- Tabilo Targets Deeper Run This Time
With Tabilo looking more match-ready at the moment, this shapes up as a tricky opener for the Brazilian. The odds on the underdog are appealing enough to take a chance on Tabilo here.
Stats - Contrasting Momentum in Buenos Aires
- João Fonseca holds a perfect 5–0 record in Buenos Aires.
- He is yet to register a win this season.
- Alejandro Tabilo has never gone past the second round here in four visits.
- Tabilo owns a 9–4 record in 2026 across his last 13 matches.
Head-to-Head - Tabilo Leads 1-0
| Year | Event | Surface | Round | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Bucharest | Clay | QF | Alejandro Tabilo | 4–6, 7–6(5), 6–4 |
Fonseca Returns to Defend Buenos Aires Title
João Fonseca enjoyed a memorable debut in Buenos Aires last year, storming to the title and beating several established South American clay-court names along the way.
His title defence, however, comes with far less preparation. He has played very little tennis this season and arrives without much match rhythm, which raises questions about sharpness and timing early in the week.
With limited form behind him, Fonseca could face a tricky start against a match-ready opponent. How he manages the pressure of defending points without many matches under his belt will be key to his chances.
| Category | Details |
|---|---|
| Country | Brazil |
| Age | 19 (21 Aug 2006) |
| Height / Weight | 185 cm / 73 kg |
| Plays | Right-handed (two-handed backhand) |
| Current Singles Rank | 33 |
| Career-High Singles Rank | 24 (3 Nov 2025) |
| Elo Rank | 16 (1907) |
| Titles | 3 |
Tabilo Targets Deeper Run This Time
Alejandro Tabilo has generally enjoyed success across the South American clay swing, though Buenos Aires has not been his strongest stop.
In four previous visits, he has never gone beyond the second round, with a couple of those runs ending at that stage.
This time, however, he arrives in far better rhythm and with plenty of matches under his belt. Tabilo has already played 13 matches this season, winning nine of them, including several strong results on clay.
With that match sharpness and comfort on the surface, he looks better prepared than his opponent coming in. The Chilean will sense a real opportunity to push past his previous limits at this event.
| Category | Details |
|---|---|
| Country | Chile |
| Age | 28 (2 Jun 1997) |
| Height / Weight | 188 cm / 75 kg |
| Plays | Left-handed (two-handed backhand) |
| Current Singles Rank | 71 |
| Career-High Singles Rank | 19 (1 Jul 2024) |
| Elo Rank | 70 (1762) |
| Titles | 3 |
Verdict
João Fonseca is an elite young talent with huge upside, but he arrives short on match time and sharpness. That lack of recent rhythm could be a real issue against a seasoned clay-courter.
Alejandro Tabilo brings strong know-how of South American clay and plenty of matches under his belt this season. With better preparation and the current value on offer, the underdog looks well worth a punt here.
Alejandro Tabilo
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