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Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Luca Nardi Betting Tips & Live Stream – Nardi the Smarter Play in Montpellier
- Nikoloz Basilashvili struggles with form, losing 3 of 4 matches in 2026
- Nardi rides high from Manama Challenger, enters Montpellier with momentum
- Match marks the first meeting between Nardi and Basilashvili
Luca Nardi is predicted to beat Nikoloz Basilashvili in Montpellier.
(credit: Getty)
Luca Nardi finds himself in a tricky spot after a deep run at the Manama Challenger with very little turnaround time ahead of his Montpellier opener.
Normally that would be a clear fade, but with Nikoloz Basilashvili in disarray right now, Nardi should be able to survive this matchup and looks attractively priced on current form.
Stats - Basilashvili Struggling for Rhythm
- Nikoloz Basilashvili has lost three of the four matches he has played so far in the 2026 season.
- All four of Basilashvili’s matches this year have been decided in straight sets.
- Luca Nardi has won four of his last five matches, finishing runner-up at the Manama Challenger last week.
- Nardi will be aiming for his first main-draw win at tour level since the Shanghai Masters last October.
Head-to-Head
First meeting between the pair.
Nikoloz Basilashvili Mired in a Confidence Crisis
Nikoloz Basilashvili has always been a streaky, confidence-driven player, capable of producing top-30 level tennis when momentum, belief, and motivation are on his side.
When things go the other way, however, his level can drop sharply, and that has been the case for much of the past year.
He is currently stuck in a rough patch marked by recurring fitness issues and poor form, resulting in flat, uninspired performances.
Basilashvili has lost three of four matches in 2026, all against beatable opponents and all in straight sets.
With his ranking now outside the top 100 and quarterfinal points to defend in Montpellier this week, further pressure is mounting to turn things around quickly.
| Category | Details |
|---|---|
| Nationality | Georgia |
| Age | 33 (23 February 1992) |
| Height / Weight | 185 cm / 79 kg |
| Plays | Right-handed (two-handed backhand) |
| World Ranking (Singles) | 105 |
| Career-High Ranking | 16 (27 May 2019) |
| ATP Titles | 5 |
| Elo Rank | 143 (1651) |
Momentum Building for Luca Nardi
Luca Nardi is also something of an underperformer, often playing below his true potential, yet when his confidence clicks, he has shown he can trouble top-level opposition.
That upside has been evident in the past, highlighted by a win over Novak Djokovic and competitive performances against elite players like Carlos Alcaraz.
Encouragingly, Nardi arrives in Montpellier with renewed momentum after snapping a long losing run at the Manama Challenger last week.
He won four matches in straight sets before falling in a three-set final, and will now look to carry that form forward as he chases his first main-draw win in Montpellier, having previously exited in round one in 2023 and in qualifying in 2024.
| Category | Details |
|---|---|
| Nationality | Italy |
| Age | 22 (06 August 2003) |
| Plays | Right-handed (two-handed backhand) |
| World Ranking (Singles) | 108 |
| Career-High Ranking | 67 (03 March 2025) |
| ATP Titles | 0 |
| Elo Rank | 147 (1648) |
Verdict
Under normal circumstances, Luca Nardi arriving from a Challenger event on another continent with minimal turnaround would be a clear fade spot.
However, given the disarray surrounding his opponent, Nardi should be able to build on the momentum from his recent run and is worth backing to pick up a valuable win in Montpellier at an attractive price.
Luca Nardi
Match Winner
@-140.85 - 3 Units
25 SC no deposit & 250,000 GC
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Nardi 2-0
Correct Score
@153.00 - 2 Units
25 SC no deposit & 250,000 GC
Use promo code NEWBONUS
Get 25 Stake Cash & 250,000 Gold Coins when you sign up with code NEWBONUS at Stake.us. USA only. Excludes certain States including NY,NV,ID, KY,WA. 18+ only. Terms and Conditions apply.
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