Novak Djokovic vs Aleksandar Kovacevic Picks & Live Stream – Djokovic Moves Through the Challenge in Indian Wells

james-smith
09 Mar 2026
James Smith 09 Mar 2026
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  • Djokovic defeated Kamil Majchrzak after a slow start in Indian Wells
  • He aims to win consecutive matches at Indian Wells for the first time since 2017
  • Aleksandar Kovacevic will provide the next test after a strong recent performance
Novak Djokovic
Novak Djokovic returns a shot to Kamil Majchrzak in Indian Wells (credit: Getty)
Novak Djokovic’s lack of match time in recent weeks is a small concern, but the toughness he showed in the opening round suggests he is settling into the tournament well. 

Against Alexander Kovacevic, this looks like a fairly comfortable matchup on paper, with Djokovic holding a clear edge in experience and overall quality.

Djokovic Faces Kovacevic Test

  • Novak Djokovic has not won multiple matches at Indian Wells since 2017. 
  • He holds a 19–2 record vs outside Top 50 players in the last 12 months.
  • Aleksandar Kovacevic had only one Masters main-draw win before this week. 
  • He has a 2–5 career record against Top 10 opponents.

HTH - Novak Djokovic leads 1-0

Year Event Surface Round Winner Score
2023 French Open Clay 1R Djokovic 6-3, 6-2, 7-6

Djokovic Battles Back to Advance

Novak Djokovic defeated Kamil Majchrzak 4-6 6-1 6-2 in the opening round in Indian Wells. After losing serve twice in the first set, he found his rhythm and dominated the final two sets. 

Djokovic has struggled with fitness issues in recent years, which have affected his consistency and results on tour. 

He finished the 2025 season with more than 10 losses for the first time since 2019. Despite that, he remains one of the strongest players on tour behind Carlos Alcaraz and Jannik Sinner. 

Djokovic holds an impressive 11-2 record in third-round matches in Indian Wells and is aiming to win consecutive matches here for the first time since 2017.

Category Details
Nationality Serbia
Age 38 (22 May 1987)
Plays Right-handed
World Ranking 3
Career High 1 (04 July 2011)
Elo Ranking 3 (Rating: 2107)
Tour level titles 101

Kovacevic Finds Confidence Again

Aleksandar Kovacevic defeated Corentin Moutet 6-1 6-4 to reach the third round in Indian Wells. It was a much more composed performance compared to his first-round win over Hubert Hurkacz. 

He will be pleased with the result as he had previously been on a 14-match losing streak at Masters events and had never recorded multiple wins at this level before. 

Kovacevic started the season strongly with a semifinal in Brisbane but struggled afterwards, winning only four matches across his next seven tournaments.

Category Details
Nationality USA
Age 27 (29 August 1998)
Plays Right-handed
World Ranking 72
Career High 54 (12 January 2026)
Elo Ranking 158 (Rating: 1626)
Tour level titles 1

Verdict

Backing Djokovic to win in straight sets looks the best play here, with Djokovic -4.5 games handicap also offering solid betting value.

Best Bet1: Djokovic -4.5 Handicap Games @-119.05 at Stake.com - 2 Units
Best Bet2: Djokovic 2-0 Correct Score @-256.41 at Stake.com - 3 Units
Djokovic -4.5
Handicap Games
@-119.05 - 2 Units
25 SC no deposit & 250,000 GC
Use promo code NEWBONUS

Get 25 Stake Cash & 250,000 Gold Coins when you sign up with code NEWBONUS at Stake.us. USA only. Excludes certain States including NY,NV,ID, KY,WA. 18+ only. Terms and Conditions apply.

Bet at Stake.com
Djokovic 2-0
Correct Score
@-256.41 - 3 Units
25 SC no deposit & 250,000 GC
Use promo code NEWBONUS

Get 25 Stake Cash & 250,000 Gold Coins when you sign up with code NEWBONUS at Stake.us. USA only. Excludes certain States including NY,NV,ID, KY,WA. 18+ only. Terms and Conditions apply.

Bet at Stake.com

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