Los Angeles Dodgers at Toronto Blue Jays Preview & Picks – Dodgers To Clinch MLB World Series In Game 7
01 Nov 2025
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Houston Astros at Boston Red Sox Picks & Betting Tips – Pair To Produce The Over
- Houston Astros at Boston Red Sox tips for Monday, October 18
- First pitch for ALCS Game 3 is slated for 20:08 ET at Fenway Park
- Preview, stats & head-to-head
- Houston Astros at Boston Red Sox Picks & Betting Tips
- Head to Head
- Houston Astros Form
- Boston Red Sox Form
- Houston Astros at Boston Red Sox FAQs
Houston Astros at Boston Red Sox Picks & Betting Tips
Houston Astros at Boston Red Sox Picks & Betting Tips
Boston can win Game 3 of the ALCS and take a 2-1 series lead.
Both teams’ offenses have have been in really good form lately. Expect a lot of runs.
- Over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings between Red Sox and Astros
- Over is 4-0 in Astros last 4 games as a road underdog
- Over is 5-0 in Astros last 5 vs. a team with a winning record
- Over is 5-0 in Red Sox last 5 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game
- Over is 4-0 in Red Sox last 4 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game
- Over is 7-0 in Red Sox last 7 vs. American League West
- Red Sox are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a favorite
- Red Sox are 6-0 in their last 6 playoff home games
- Red Sox are 7-0 in their last 7 games vs. a right-handed starter
Head to Head
JD Martinez and Rafael Devers hit grand slam homers in the first and second innings, respectively, and Kiki Hernandez hit a solo shot in the fourth to give Boston a 9-0 lead after 3 and one-half innings before hanging onto a 9-5 victory. The ALCS series is now tied at 1-1
Boston has won two of the last three games against Houston but the Red Sox trail in the season series 6-3 overall.
The Astros, who have won two of the three contests at Fenway, have outscored the Red Sox 52-36 this season .
Seven of the nine games in the series were decided by three or more runs.
Boston has scored 13 runs on 21 hits, including 10 for extra bases with 5 homers and 5 doubles, while drawing 8 walks and striking out 22 times.
Houston has tallied 10 runs on 19 hits, including 4 home runs, with 4 walks and 14 strikeouts through the first two games of the ALCS.
Houston Astros Form
Houston is 4-2 this postseason, including 1-1 on the road.
The Astros have split their last four games and are 8-4 in their last 12. The ‘Stros are 45-38 on the road this year.
Houston defeated the Chicago White Sox 3-1 in the ALDS with all three victories by at least five runs.
The Astros took Game 1 (6-1) and Game 2 (9-4) at home. They fell on the road to the White Sox 12-6 in Game 3 before taking Game 4 (10-1).
Houston went 1-1 against Boston in at home taking Game 1 (5-4) and losing Game 2 (9-5).
Right-hander Jose Urquidy is slated to make his first appearance since Oct. 3. The 26-year-old, who has missed a lot of time this season, posted a 2-0 record while allowing 14 runs and 26 hits over 29.2 innings while walking 6 and striking out 24 in six post all-star starts.
Urquidy is 1-1 with a 2.81 ERA and 1.13 WHIP in eight career postseason appearances (4 starts). Urquidy allowed three hits and one run over 6 innings while walking one and striking out 9 in his only start against Boston this year.
Houston’s offense averages 6.8 runs with a slash line of .286/ .359/.447 in six games this postseason.
The Astros’ pitching staff has compiled a 4.30 ERA, 1.52 WHIP, and .290 BAA in the postseason.
RF Kyle Tucker , who is 2-for-8 with 1 double and 1 RBI in the ALCS, has compiled a slash line of .280/.280/.600 this postseason.
SS Carlos Correa, who is on a three-game hitting streak, is 4-for-8 with 1 home run and 2 runs in the ALCS. He is hitting .429/.520/.667 this postseason.
1B Yuli Gurriel, on a 3-game hitting streak, is 3-for-7 with 2 runs along with 1 home run and 3 RBI in the ALCS. He has compiled a slash line of .284/.333/.478 this postseason.
Boston Red Sox Form
Boston is 5-2 this postseason, including 3-0 at home.
The Red Sox have won 4 of 5 games and are 9-3 in their last 12. The Red Sox are 52-30 at home this season.
Boston started the postseason with a 6-2 home victory over New York Yankees in the AL Wild Card game.
The Red Sox lost Game 1 of the ALDS in Tampa Bay in 5-0 but they ran off three straight wins. Boston took Game 2 in Tampa (14-6) and then took Game 3 (6-4) as well as Game (6-5) at Fenway Park.
Boston split the first two games of the ALCS , falling to Houston 5-4 in Game 1 before taking Game 2 (9-5).
Left-hander Eduardo Rodriguez will get the call for the third time this postseason. He allowed five hits and five runs to go along with two walks and and seven strikeouts over 6.2 innings of work in two playoff starts against Tampa Bay.
Rodriguez, who is 0-1 with a 7.02 ERA in 10 career postseason appearances (3 starts), allowed seven hits and six runs along with one home run as well as two walks and four strikeouts in his lone appearance against Houston this year.
Boston’s offense averages 6.4 runs with a slash line of .318/.372/.553 in seven games this postseason.
The Red Sox pitching staff has compiled a 4.33 ERA, 1.09 WHIP and a .228 BAA this postseason.
3B Rafael Devers, is on a 6-game hitting streak, has posted a slash line of .310/.412/.621 and leads the majors with 10 RBI this postseason. He is 3-for-9 with 3 runs and 4 RBI in the ALCS
CF Kiki Hernandez, who has a postseason high 5 home runs, has compiled a slash line of .500/.514/1.094 over his last 6 games. He is 6-for-9 with 3 HRs, 4 runs, and 3 RBI in the ALCS.
DH JD Martinez, who is 2-for-8 with 1 home run and 4 RBI in the ALCS, has compiled a slash line of .391/.471/.696 this postseason.
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Verdict
Both teams enter Game 3 swinging the bats really well. The teams are combining to average 9.7 runs a contest in the nine games they have faced up against each other this year. That includes scoring 9 or more runs in each of the first two games of this series. Plus, the teams are averaging 13 runs in the three games at Fenway Park this year. Neither pitcher is in good form and it is unlikely Uriquidy will go that long as he hasn’t pitched in over two weeks.
Boston, which led the majors in offensive production at home this year, has hit .304 and compiled .872 OPS at Fenway Park this year. Hernandez and Devers have been in great form at the plate.
Over 9.0
Total Runs
@-116.28 - 3 Units
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Boston Red Sox
Moneyline
@-120.48 - 1 Unit
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