Derrick Lewis vs Rodrigo Nascimento Preview & Picks – Lewis To Make Quick Work Of UFC Fight Night Clash

leigh-copson
09 May 2024
Leigh Copson 09 May 2024
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  • Derrick Lewis vs Rodrigo Nascimento picks for Saturday, May 11
  • UFC Fight Night is taking place at Enterprise Center in St Louis
  • Preview, predictions, stats & form
Derrick Lewis (Getty Images)
    Derrick Lewis vs Rodrigo Nascimento Preview & Picks
  • Derrick Lewis vs Rodrigo Nascimento Preview & Picks
  • Derrick Lewis Form
  • Rodrigo Nascimento Form

Derrick Lewis vs Rodrigo Nascimento Preview & Picks

Derrick Lewis is tipped to make quick work of this main event fight.

Lewis remains a devastating striker despite a string of recent losses, and Rodrigo Nascimento has been knocked out quickly before.

  • 22 of Derrick Lewis’ 27 career wins have come by KO/TKO
  • Derrick Lewis’ last 4 victories have come via KO/TKO
  • 4 of Derrick Lewis’ last 6 fights have ended in the 1st round
  • Rodrigo Nascimento’s sole career loss was by 1st round KO

Derrick Lewis Form

Derrick Lewis is the number 12 ranked heavyweight contender with a professional record of 27-12 (22 KOs, 1 Sub) with 1 No Contest.

Lewis debuted in the UFC in April 2014 and won 12 of his first 15 fights, including a unanimous decision win over Francis Ngannou in July 2018.

A third-round knockout of Alexander Volkov in October 2018 landed him a shot at the heavyweight title, but ‘Black Beast’ was outclassed as he was submitted in the second round by Daniel Cormier.

The 39-year-old American was then knocked out in the second round by Junior Dos Santos, but he soon catapulted himself back into the title picture.

Lewis beat Blagoy Ivanov and Ilir Latifi on points to get back on track, and backed that up with a second-round TKO win over Aleksei Ivanov.

He then knocked out Curtis Blaydes in the second round to earn another title fight, only to again come up short as he was knocked out in the third round by Ciryl Gane.

‘Black Beast’ rebounded to knock out Chris Daukaus in the first round, but his career then stalled as he lost three times in less than 12 months.

Lewis suffered knockout losses at the hands of Tai Tuivasa and Sergei Pavlovich, before being submitted in round one by Serghei Spivac.

He avoided a fourth straight loss by knocking out Marcos Rogerio de Lima in 33 seconds last July, only to end the year with a points loss to Jailton Almeida.

Rodrigo Nascimento Form

Rodrigo Nascimento is the number 15 ranked heavyweight contender with a career record of 11-1 (2 KOs, 6 Subs) and 1 No Contest.

Nascimento earned his place in the UFC with a first-round submission of Michal Martinek as part of the Dana White’s Contender Series in July 2019.

He marked his UFC debut with a second round submission of Don’Tale Mayes, only to then go two fights without a victory.

‘Yogi Bear’ was knocked out in 45 seconds by Chris Daukaus, and he then saw his TKO win over Alan Baudot get overturned to a No Contest after he failed a drug test.

Nascimento put that behind him in September 2022 when he returned to action and edged Tanner Boser by split decision.

The 31-year-old Brazilian then claimed a split decision victory over Ilir Latifi in May 2023, before ending the year with a unanimous points win over Don’Tale Mayes.

Verdict

Derrick Lewis has lost a bunch of fights in recent years, but we like his chances here.

He remains a heavy-handed brute who can stop a fight in the blink of an eye, and we are backing him to showcase his power in this one.

Best Bet1: Lewis by KO/TKO Method Of Victory @-138.89 at Stake.us - 5 Units
Best Bet2: Lewis in Round 1 Round Betting @210.00 at Stake.us - 2 Units
Lewis by KO/TKO
Method Of Victory
@-138.89 - 5 Units
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Bet at Stake.us
Lewis in Round 1
Round Betting
@210.00 - 2 Units
55 Stake Cash no deposit & 550,000 Gold Coins & 5% Rakeback
Use promo code NEWBONUS

Sign up with the code NEWBONUS. When you verify your account get 25 Stake Cash for free PLUS 250,000 Gold Coins and 5% Rakeback! No deposit required. Login each day for the next 30 days and get an additional 30 Stake Cash AND 300,000 Gold Coins. 21+ only. T&Cs apply. Excludes WA, NY, NV, ID, KY, MI, VT, NJ, DE, WV, PA, RI & MD.

Bet at Stake.us

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