2026 World Cup Group Winners Betting Odds - Who will shine in the Americas?

ryan-allan
08 May 2026
Ryan Allan 08 May 2026
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  • Morocco to win Group C – AFCON Champions in Contention
  • Japan to win Group F – Asians Can Upset the Odds
  • Norway to win Group I – Haaland's Norway to Upset French
  • Canada to win Group B – Home Advantage Likely Decisive
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Lionel Messi set for sixth World Cup apperance (Getty Images)

2026 World Cup Group Winners Betting Odds - Who will shine in the Americas?

With the 2026 FIFA World Cup fast approaching, attention is turning to the group winner markets and the teams expected to top their respective sections.

Let's take a look at the main contenders to win each group this summer.

Group A – Mexico, Czechia, South Korea, South Africa

Despite a poor build-up, Mexico's home advantage could prove crucial in a competitive-looking section featuring Czechia, South Korea and underdogs South Africa.

The hosts head the group winners market at even money in a tough-to-call section. Czechia (3.25) and South Korea (4.33) are both capable of challenging, but Mexico's passionate support and strong record in World Cup group stages should give them the edge. 

While likely to be a tight section, the hosts should find enough across three games to finish ahead of the Czech and Korean challenge.

Best Bet - Mexico to win Group A - 2.0

Group B – Canada, Switzerland, Bosnia and Herzegovina, Qatar

One of the tougher sections to call, with Switzerland heading the market (1.9) and hosts Canada expected to run them close (3.5). 

Joined by Bosnia and Herzegovina (3.6) and Qatar (34.0), the Swiss bring plenty of pedigree and experience at this level, but once again, home advantage could prove decisive in a tight group.

Canada have impressed over the past couple of years under former Leeds boss Jesse Marsch and will be confident of topping the section at a very backable price. 

Best Bet - Canada to win Group B - 3.5

Group C – Brazil, Morocco, Scotland, Haiti

AMorocco stand out as one of the best value picks to win any of the groups this summer. While Brazil are short-priced favourites at just 1.17 to top Group C, the Atlas Lions have already proven their quality on the world stage with their run to the semi-finals in Qatar four years ago.

With Carlo Ancelotti's side remaining inconsistent and not at the level of previous generations, Morocco look overpriced to finish top of the section. 

Unbeaten in all but one of their last 41 internationals, they open against an undercooked Brazil side that may need time to grow into the competition. With winnable matches against a returning Scotland (13.0) and outsiders Haiti (101.0) to follow, Morocco could upset the apple cart in Group C.

Best Bet - Morocco to win Group C - 7.0

Group D – USA, Turkiye, Paraguay, Australia

Group D looks wide open. USA lead the market as 2.35 favourites ahead of Turkiye (2.8), with Paraguay dangerous at 4.75 odds. Completing the section, Australia look like competitive 7.5 outsiders.

Home advantage could be decisive again, but any of these four nations could feasibly finish as the section winners. 

The US have struggled to find consistency under Argentine boss Mauricio Pochettino but can gain momentum from a winnable first fixture against Paraguay.

While unlikely to make serene progress, the US can collect enough points to finish top of perhaps the most competitive group at the finals. 

Best Bet - USA to win Group D - 2.35

Group E – Germany, Ecuador, Ivory Coast, Curacao

As expected, Germany are short-priced favourites to top a section including Ecuador (5.0), Ivory Coast (8.0) and tournament debutants Curacao (101.0).

Perhaps not quite the dominant force of World Cups gone by, the Mannschaft should still have enough know-how to finish ahead of likely nearest rivals Ecuador. After a shock 2-0 defeat in Slovakia last year, Germany bounced back to top their qualification group ahead of Slovakia and Northern Ireland.

Ecuador proved a tough side to beat in qualifying, but a tendency to draw games suggests Germany should emerge as group winners.

Still, at just 1.28, there is little value in backing the Germans unless included in a group winner accumulator.

Best Bet - Germany - 1.28

Group F – Netherlands, Japan, Sweden, Tunisia

The Netherlands lead the market at a relatively short 1.72, but can expect a stiff test from dangerous opponents Japan (3.50) and Sweden (4.50). Tunisia (8.0) complete another competitive-looking section.

While the Dutch are fancied to emerge as group winners, a talented and well-organised Japanese side look capable of mounting a serious challenge.

The Asians impressed in recent friendly wins against Scotland and England, and I fancy the Blue Samurai to top the section at a tasty price.

Best Bet - Japan to Win Group F - 3.5

Group G – Belgium, Egypt, Iran, New Zealand

Belgium lead the betting for Group G, with the Red Devils priced as favourites to finish ahead of Egypt (5.5), Iran (7.0), and New Zealand (21.0).

Rudi Garcia's side are no longer the dominant force seen at previous World Cups, but they still possess enough quality and experience to top the section.

In what looks like a relatively modest group, Belgium should progress as winners. However, odds of 1.36 offers skinny value given their inconsistent form over the past two years.

Best Bet - Belgium to Win Group G - 1.36

Group H – Spain, Uruguay, Saudi Arabia, Cape Verde

Another option for acca builders, Spain look near certs to top Group H, but at 1.20, La Roja offer little value in the market.

Uruguay (5.0) could provide some competition, but Saudi Arabia (17.0) and Cape Verde (51.0) are unlikely to challenge the Europeans, ranked second in the FIFA World Rankings.

Led by Luis de la Fuente, Spain enjoyed a near-flawless qualification campaign, winning five from six games, while conceding just twice. 

As their short price would suggest, the Spanish should make light work of this section.

Best Bet - Spain - 1.20

Group I – France, Norway, Senegal, Iraq

Group I could prove one of the most competitive at this summer's finals, with France (1.4) joined by Norway (3.75), Senegal (9.0) and Iraq (41.0).

Norway and Senegal will fancy their chances against a French side that has struggled with consistency since their World Cup final defeat in 2022.

With Erling Haaland at their disposal, a confident Norway enjoyed a sensational qualification campaign, winning all eight games with a remarkable 37 goals scored.

Given their form and attacking talent, the Norwegians look more than capable of topping Group I at a big price.

Best Bet - Norway - 3.75

Group J – Argentina, Austria, Algeria, Jordan

Group J looks like a straightforward affair, with tournament holders Argentina (1.33) expected to make light work of Austria (5.5), Algeria (6.5) and first-timers Jordan (41.0).

The Albiceleste have shown little sign of slowing down since their triumph in Qatar in 2022, and led by the ageless Lionel Messi, are likely to claim three wins from three against what can only be described as modest opposition.

Austria and Algeria should provide some resistance, but Lionel Scaloni's side have the experience to comfortably finish as group winners.

Best Bet - Argentina - 1.33

Group K - Portugal, Colombia, DR Congo, Uzbekistan

Portugal (1.4) and Colombia (3.5) head the betting in Group K, with DR Congo (9.0) and tournament debutants Uzbekistan (41.0) completing an intriguing section.

The Europeans are justifiable favourites, but look a little short given the threat of a dangerous Colombian side capable of pushing Cristiano Ronaldo and co all the way.

With brilliant midfielders Vitinha, Joao Neves and Bruno Fernandes pulling the strings, Portugal look likely to go far in the Americas. 

While I have the Portuguese down to win Group K, Colombia have the quality to make this a competitive affair. DR Congo could spring a surprise, while the Uzbeks are unlikely to cause too many problems for their more experienced rivals.

Best Bet - Portugal - 1.4

Group L – England, Croatia, Ghana, Panama

The final section of the expanded World Cup sees England grouped with Croatia, Ghana and Panama. 

Thomas Tuchel's side are short at around 1.28 to win the group, with Croatia offering value at 4.00 to finish top. Ghana (11.0) and Panama (51.0) look set to battle for third place.

England enjoyed a flawless qualification campaign, winning all eight games without conceding a goal. However, laclustre-friendly displays against Uruguay and Japan have raised concerns ahead of this summer's finals.

Once again, the value lies with the Croats, with England having topped their World Cup group in only one of their last four finals appearances.

Best Bet - Croatia - 4.0

Verdict

Check out our tips for the Group winners at the FIFA World Cup including best bets on Spain, Japan, Croatia and Morocco. 

Best Bet1: Canada To Win Group B @240.00 at Stake.com - 2 Units
Best Bet2: Morocco To Win Group C @600.00 at Stake.com - 2 Units
Best Bet3: Japan To Win Group F @250.00 at Stake.com - 2 Units
Best Bet4: Norway To Win Group I @275.00 at Stake.com - 3 Units
Canada
To Win Group B
@240.00 - 2 Units
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Morocco
To Win Group C
@600.00 - 2 Units
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Japan
To Win Group F
@250.00 - 2 Units
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Norway
To Win Group I
@275.00 - 3 Units
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