Alex de Minaur vs Ugo Humbert Betting Picks and Preview – De Minaur Favored in Rotterdam Semifinal

james-smith
14 Feb 2026
James Smith 14 Feb 2026
Share this article
Or copy link
  • Alex de Minaur leads Ugo Humbert 7-2 in head-to-head meetings
  • De Minaur thrives on indoor hard courts; strong early season form
  • Humbert builds momentum with recent victories, yet de Minaur remains favorite
Alex de Minaur
Alex De Minaur plays a forehand in his Men's Singles First Round match against Arthur Fils during Day Two of the ABN AMRO Open at the Rotterdam Ahoy. (credit: Getty)

Alex de Minaur has dominated this matchup with Ugo Humbert, winning seven of their nine previous meetings across all levels. 

That head-to-head advantage gives him a clear psychological edge. Combined with his strong track record at this venue, de Minaur looks a solid option to back in this semifinal clash.

De Minaur’s Rotterdam Dominance Continues

  • Alex de Minaur has reached the final in each of the last two editions of ATP Rotterdam. 
  • He hasn’t lost an ATP semifinal to a non–top 20 player since 2024. 
  • Ugo Humbert is playing his first-ever semifinal in Rotterdam. 
  • This is Humbert’s second SF of the year after beating Davidovich Fokina at this stage in Adelaide last month.

Head-to-Head - De Minaur Leads 7-2

YearEventSurfaceRoundWinnerScore
2025Ultimate Tennis ShowdownHardDe Minaur15–13, 18–13, 18–9
2025Ultimate Tennis ShowdownHardDe Minaur
2024’s-HertogenboschGrassSFDe Minaur7–6(4), 6–3
2023Davis CupHardDe Minaur7–6(2), 6–3
2023AtlantaHardQFHumbert7–6(4), 6–3
2022LyonClayR16De Minaur1–6, 6–3, 6–2
2022BarcelonaClayR2De Minaur6–3, 4–6, 6–3
2022ATP CupHardDe Minaur3–6, 7–6(2), 6–1
2020AntwerpHardFHumbert6–1, 7–6(4)

De Minaur Maintaining Strong Early-Season Form

Top seed Alex de Minaur faced his first real test of the week in the quarterfinals but handled it well, overcoming a strong showing from local favorite Botic Van De Zandschulp. 

It has been a solid start to the season for the Aussie, who has won nine of his first 11 matches. Both defeats came against top-20 opponents only, Casper Ruud at the United Cup and Carlos Alcaraz at the Australian Open. 

De Minaur enjoyed a strong indoor season last year, and this Rotterdam run continues that trend. He reached at least the semifinal in three of four indoor events, with all of his losses coming against top-20 players only.

CategoryDetails
CountryAustralia
Age26 (17 Feb 1999)
Height / Weight183 cm / 69 kg
PlaysRight-handed (two-handed backhand)
Current Singles Rank8
Career-High Singles Rank6 (15 Jul 2024)
Elo Rank5 (2022)
Titles10

Humbert Building Momentum In Rotterdam

Ugo Humbert faced his toughest test in the opening round, edging past former champion Daniil Medvedev in a tight three-set battle. Since then, his path has been smoother, with straight-set wins over Guido Pella and Christopher O’Connell. 

The Frenchman also enjoyed an excellent indoor season last year, reaching the semifinals in all three events he played. He went on to win the title in Marseille and finished runner-up in Stockholm, underlining his comfort on indoor courts.

This is his second semifinal of the season after reaching the same stage in Adelaide last month. Another deep run here would set a strong, positive tone for the rest of his year.

CategoryDetails
CountryFrance
Age27 (26 Jun 1998)
Height / Weight188 cm / 73 kg
PlaysLeft-handed (two-handed backhand)
Current Singles Rank36
Career-High Singles Rank13 (15 Apr 2024)
Elo Rank25 (1871)
Titles7

Verdict

Both players are proven performers on indoor hard courts, but Alex de Minaur has historically been comfortable in this matchup. He also looks to be operating at a higher level right now. 

With that combination of matchup edge and current form, De MInaur stands out as the pick to win this clash.

Best Bet1: Alex de Minaur Match Winner @-208.33 at Stake.com - 3 Units
Best Bet2: De Minaur -2.5 Handicap Games @-131.58 at Stake.com - 2 Units
Best Bet3: De Minaur 2-0 Correct Score @120.00 at Stake.com - 1 Unit
Alex de Minaur
Match Winner
@-208.33 - 3 Units
25 SC no deposit & 250,000 GC
Use promo code NEWBONUS

Get 25 Stake Cash & 250,000 Gold Coins when you sign up with code NEWBONUS at Stake.us. USA only. Excludes certain States including NY,NV,ID, KY,WA. 18+ only. Terms and Conditions apply.

Bet at Stake.com
De Minaur -2.5
Handicap Games
@-131.58 - 2 Units
25 SC no deposit & 250,000 GC
Use promo code NEWBONUS

Get 25 Stake Cash & 250,000 Gold Coins when you sign up with code NEWBONUS at Stake.us. USA only. Excludes certain States including NY,NV,ID, KY,WA. 18+ only. Terms and Conditions apply.

Bet at Stake.com
De Minaur 2-0
Correct Score
@120.00 - 1 Unit
25 SC no deposit & 250,000 GC
Use promo code NEWBONUS

Get 25 Stake Cash & 250,000 Gold Coins when you sign up with code NEWBONUS at Stake.us. USA only. Excludes certain States including NY,NV,ID, KY,WA. 18+ only. Terms and Conditions apply.

Bet at Stake.com

Upcoming Events

16 February 2026

27 March 2026

2026 MLB World Series Betting Preview Baseball 2026 MLB World Series Odds – LA Dodgers Favourites For 3-Peat