Alex Michelsen vs Mattia Bellucci Betting Picks & Live Stream – Michelsen Clear Favourite in Miami

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1 hour ago
James Smith 1 hour ago
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  • Alex Michelsen boasts superior opening-round performance, going 2-0 in Miami
  • Michelsen's recent momentum includes a career-best win in Indian Wells
  • Mattia Bellucci battles consistency issues, holding a 2-6 record in Masters
Alex Michelsen
Alex Michelsen reacts after a game in a match against Taylor Fritz in Indian Wells (credit: Getty)
Alex Michelsen is in much better form on the main tour compared to Mattia Bellucci and has consistently cleared the opening rounds this season. With the added advantage of home conditions, he looks well placed in this matchup.

Michelsen Builds Winning Rhythm

  • Alex Michelsen is 2–0 in opening-round matches in Miami. 
  • He has won six of his last seven matches vs outside Top 50 players.
  • Bellucci is 2–6 in first-round matches at Masters events. 
  • He lost seven of his last eight matches vs Top 50 players. 

HTH - Alex Michelsen leads 1-0

Year Event Surface Round Winner Score
2024 Washington Hard 2R Michelsen 6-3, 7-6

Michelsen Builds Desert Momentum

Alex Michelsen is coming off a strong run in Indian Wells, where he reached the fourth round. His campaign included a career-best win over Taylor Fritz. 

The American will be relieved with that result after suffering four consecutive early exits prior to the event. He also showed promise earlier this season with a semifinal run in Brisbane. 

Michelsen has made two Miami appearances and holds a 1-1 record in opening-round matches. His most recent outing ended in a three-set loss to Ugo Carabelli last year.

Category Details
Nationality USA
Age 21 (25 August 2004)
Plays Right-handed
World Ranking 40
Career High 30 (14 July 2025)
Elo Ranking 33 (Rating: 1841)
Tour level titles 0

Bellucci Battles Through Qualifying

Mattia Bellucci qualified for the Miami main draw with wins over Nicolas Jarry and Murphy Cassone, recovering from a set down in his second match. He now looks to improve on last year’s first-round exit. 

The Italian has struggled for consistency on tour this season. Apart from a quarterfinal in Acapulco, he has mostly exited early, though he found better results on the Challenger circuit with a final in Cap Cana and a semifinal in Manama. 

Bellucci holds a 2-6 record in Masters opening-round matches, with both wins coming in Shanghai.

Category Details
Nationality Italy
Age 24 (1 June 2001)
Plays Left-handed
World Ranking 40
Career High 30 (14 July 2025)
Elo Ranking 33 (Rating: 1841)
Tour level titles 0

Verdict

Backing Michelsen to win and Michelsen to win in straight sets makes plenty of sense given the current gap in form and conditions.

Best Bet1: Alex Michelsen Match Winner @-217.39 at Stake.com - 2 Units
Best Bet2: Michelsen 2-0 Correct Score @113.00 at Stake.com - 2 Units
Alex Michelsen
Match Winner
@-217.39 - 2 Units
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Bet at Stake.com
Michelsen 2-0
Correct Score
@113.00 - 2 Units
25 SC no deposit & 250,000 GC
Use promo code NEWBONUS

Get 25 Stake Cash & 250,000 Gold Coins when you sign up with code NEWBONUS at Stake.us. USA only. Excludes certain States including NY,NV,ID, KY,WA. 18+ only. Terms and Conditions apply.

Bet at Stake.com

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