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Arthur Rinderknech vs Brandon Nakashima Betting Picks & Live Stream – Nakashima Targets Another Straight-Sets Win in Montreal
- Nakashima carries momentum from Washington to Montreal
- He is favored to defeat Rinderknech, likely in straight sets
- Experts expect at least one tiebreak in the match
Brandon Nakashima plays a backhand against Titouan Droguet in Montreal
(credit: Getty)
Brandon Nakashima reached the semifinals in Washington last week and has carried that momentum into Montreal, where he has continued to look sharp. His form and confidence are trending in the right direction, and he appears to be operating at a significantly higher level than Arthur Rinderknech at the moment.
Nakashima Targets A Turnaround In Montreal
- Rinderknech has a 1–2 record in Round of 16 matches at Masters events.
- He has won seven of his last eight matches against American opponents.
- Nakashima is 0–5 in Round of 16 matches at Masters events.
- He has a 20–10 record against players outside the Top 20 in 2026.
HTH - Tied at 1-1
| Year | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | Lyon | R16 | Clay | Brandon Nakashima | 7-6, 6-1, 7-5 |
| 2021 | Istanbul Challenger | R1 | Hard | Arthur Rinderknech | 6-7, 6-4, 6-4 |
Rinderknech Targets His Best Montreal Result
Arthur Rinderknech moved into the fourth round after his opponent Frances Tiafoe retired while trailing 0-2 due to a hand injury. Earlier this week, the Frenchman defeated Miomir Kecmanovic from a set down in the opening round.
This is Rinderknech's second round-of-16 appearance at the Canadian Open. He previously reached this stage in Montreal in 2025 before losing to Hubert Hurkacz in three sets.
The 31-year-old has played 19 events since his breakthrough run in Shanghai last year and has not won more than two matches in any of those tournaments. He will now be looking to break that streak this week.
Rinderknech has a 1-2 record in round-of-16 matches at Masters 1000 level, with both losses coming against top-10 opponents. This is the first time he has faced a lower-ranked player at this stage of a Masters event.
| Category | Details |
|---|---|
| Country | France |
| Age | Born 23 July 1995 |
| Plays | Right-handed |
| World Ranking | No. 29 |
| Career High | No. 24 (04 May 2026) |
| Elo Ranking | No. 64 |
| Tour-Level Titles | 0 |
Nakashima Builds on Strong Montreal Form
Brandon Nakashima came from a set down to defeat Titouan Droguet 4-6, 6-2, 7-5 and reach the fourth round in Montreal. After losing the opening set, the American regained control and did not face a break point in either of the final two sets.
Like Rinderknech, Nakashima has played only one previous round-of-16 match at the Canadian Open. That came in Toronto in 2024, when he lost to Andrey Rublev in straight sets.
Despite some struggles during the clay swing, Nakashima has produced strong results this season, including four semifinal-or-better finishes. His most recent came in Washington last week.
The 25-year-old has a 0-5 record in round-of-16 matches at Masters 1000 level, with all five losses coming against top-20 opponents. He now faces a more manageable opponent on paper while chasing his first Masters 1000 quarterfinal.
| Category | Details |
|---|---|
| Country | United States |
| Age | Born 03 August 2001 |
| Plays | Right-handed |
| World Ranking | No. 31 |
| Career High | No. 29 (05 May 2025) |
| Elo Ranking | No. 30 |
| Tour-Level Titles | 2 |
Verdict
Nakashima's current level gives him a clear edge in this matchup, although Rinderknech's serve could keep at least one set tight. Backing Brandon Nakashima to win, Nakashima to win in straight sets, and a tiebreak to be played in the match.
Brandon Nakashima
Match Winner
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Nakashima 2-0
Correct Score
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Yes
Tiebreak to be played
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