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Carlos Alcaraz vs Alexander Bublik Betting Picks & Live Stream – Alcaraz to Deliver Routine Win in Monte Carlo
- Carlos Alcaraz extends his clay court dominance with a big win
- Alexander Bublik reaches Monte Carlo quarterfinals in stunning fashion
- Upcoming matchup marks first-ever clash between Alcaraz and Bublik
Carlos Alcaraz plays a backhand against Tomas Etcheverry in Monte-Carlo
(credit: Getty)
Jannik Sinner showed signs of physical fatigue in the previous round and even admitted feeling tired, which raises questions about his recovery ahead of this quarterfinal. That could open the door for Félix Auger-Aliassime to stay competitive if he performs close to his best level.
Alcaraz Rules Clay Courts
- Carlos Alcaraz has won 24 of his last 25 matches on clay.
- He is on a 13-match winning streak in tour-level quarterfinals.
- Alexander Bublik is 3–3 in tour-level clay quarterfinals.
- He has a 5–5 record vs Top 5 players since 2022.
HTH
This will be their first meeting.
Alcaraz Continues Strong Clay Form
Carlos Alcaraz advanced to the quarterfinal in Monte Carlo with a 6-1, 4-6, 6-3 win over Tomas Martin Etcheverry. He was broken twice but broke his opponent five times in the match.
This is just his second quarterfinal appearance here. After losing on debut in 2022, he returned to win the title last year, defeating Alejandro Davidovich Fokina and Lorenzo Musetti in the later rounds.
The world No. 1 had an exceptional clay season last year, reaching the final in all four events he played, including titles in Monte Carlo, Rome, and the French Open, with his only loss coming against Holger Rune in Barcelona.
Apart from a recent early exit in Miami, Alcaraz has reached at least the semifinal in his other events this year, including winning the Australian Open. He holds a 13-6 record in Masters quarterfinals.
| Category | Details |
|---|---|
| Nationality | Spain |
| Age | 22 (5 May 2003) |
| Plays | Right-handed |
| World Ranking | 1 |
| Career High | 1 (12 September 2022) |
| Elo Ranking | 2 (Rating: 2272) |
| Tour level titles | 27 |
Bublik Storms Into Monaco Quarterfinal
Alexander Bublik defeated Jiri Lehecka 6-2, 7-5 to reach the quarterfinal in Monte Carlo. He has faced just one break point across both matches this week.
The Kazakh has exceeded expectations, arriving after three early exits and with only one previous main-draw win at this event.
Despite recent struggles, he has been impressive over the last 12 months, reaching five tour-level finals and breaking into the top tier of the rankings by the end of 2025.
Bublik has played nine quarterfinals in the past year and won seven of them, with both losses coming against Jannik Sinner, including at the French Open last year.
| Category | Details |
|---|---|
| Nationality | Kazakhstan |
| Age | 28 (17 June 1997) |
| Plays | Right-handed |
| World Ranking | 11 |
| Career High | 10 (12 January 2026) |
| Elo Ranking | 13 (Rating: 1939) |
| Tour level titles | 9 |
Verdict
Everything points towards a comfortable outing. Alcaraz to win in straight sets, under 20.5 games, and Alcaraz -5.5 games handicap all align with a dominant performance.
Alcaraz 2-0
Correct Score
@-303.03 - 3 Units
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Alcaraz -5.5
Handicap Games
@-107.53 - 2 Units
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Under 20.5
Total Games
@-163.93 - 2 Units
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