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Carlos Alcaraz vs Daniil Medvedev Picks & Live Stream – Medvedev to Claim a Set in Indian Wells
- Alcaraz is on a 12-match semifinal winning streak
- Medvedev holds an eight-match winning run on hard courts
- Recommendation: Consider Medvedev winning a set
Daniil Medvedev serves against Alex Michelsen in Indian Wells
(credit: Getty)
Daniil Medvedev is currently on an eight match winning streak, with all eight victories coming in straight sets. With that kind of momentum on hard courts, he arrives in strong form heading into this clash with Carlos Alcaraz.
Alcaraz Hunts Another Final
- Carlos Alcaraz is on a 12-match winning streak in semifinals on tour.
- He has a 53–3 record vs outside Top 10 players in the last 12 months.
- Daniil Medvedev is on a three-match losing streak in Masters semifinals.
- He has a 7–8 career record against World No.1 players.
HTH - Carlos Alcaraz leads 6-2
| Year | Event | Surface | Round | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Beijing | Hard | SF | Alcaraz | 7-5, 6-3 |
| 2024 | Wimbledon | Grass | SF | Alcaraz | 6-7, 6-3, 6-4, 6-4 |
| 2024 | Indian Wells | Hard | F | Alcaraz | 7-6, 6-1 |
| 2023 | Masters Cup ATP | Indoor Hard | - | Alcaraz | 6-4, 6-4 |
| 2023 | US Open | Hard | SF | Medvedev | 7-6, 6-1, 3-6, 6-3 |
| 2023 | Wimbledon | Grass | SF | Alcaraz | 6-3, 6-3, 6-3 |
| 2023 | Indian Wells | Hard | F | Alcaraz | 6-3, 6-2 |
| 2021 | Wimbledon | Grass | 2R | Medvedev | 6-4, 6-1, 6-2 |
Alcaraz Extends Remarkable Streak
Carlos Alcaraz defeated Cameron Norrie 6-3 6-4 to reach the semifinal in Indian Wells. He dropped serve twice but converted four of the ten break points he created.
This marks Alcaraz’s fifth consecutive semifinal appearance at the tournament. He lifted the title in 2023 and 2024 after defeating Jannik Sinner and Daniil Medvedev in consecutive matches both years.
The Spaniard has reached the final in 12 of his last 13 tournaments, including both events he has played this season. He has also won 18 of his last 19 semifinals and is currently on a 12-match winning streak at this stage.
Alcaraz holds a 9-3 record in Masters semifinals, with all three of those losses coming during the Sunshine Double events.
| Category | Details |
|---|---|
| Nationality | Spain |
| Age | 22 (5 May 2003) |
| Plays | Right-handed |
| World Ranking | 1 |
| Career High | 1 (12 September 2022) |
| Elo Ranking | 1 (Rating: 2302) |
| Tour level titles | 27 |
Medvedev Ends Draper’s Title Defense in Style
Daniil Medvedev knocked out defending champion Jack Draper 6-1 7-5 to reach the semifinal in Indian Wells. He fired 10 aces and saved the only breakpoint he faced in the match.
This is Medvedev’s fourth consecutive semifinal appearance at the tournament. He converted two of the previous three into finals, with his only loss at this stage coming against Holger Rune last year.
The Russian has steadily raised his level this season after a difficult couple of years. Apart from a few early exits, he has won titles in Brisbane and Dubai, reached the fourth round at the Australian Open, and now progressed to another semifinal here.
Medvedev holds a 10–6 record in Masters semifinals but has not won one since this event in 2024. He currently enters this stage on a three-match losing streak.
| Category | Details |
|---|---|
| Nationality | Russia |
| Age | 30 (11 February 1996) |
| Plays | Right-handed |
| World Ranking | 11 |
| Career High | 1 (28 February 2022) |
| Elo Ranking | 9 (Rating: 1996) |
| Tour level titles | 23 |
Verdict
Rather than opposing Alcaraz outright, the value may lie in trusting Medvedev’s form. Medvedev to win at least one set looks like a worthwhile betting option here.
Medvedev +1.5
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