Carlos Alcaraz vs Daniil Medvedev Picks & Live Stream – Medvedev to Claim a Set in Indian Wells

james-smith
45 minutes ago
James Smith 45 minutes ago
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  • Alcaraz is on a 12-match semifinal winning streak
  • Medvedev holds an eight-match winning run on hard courts
  • Recommendation: Consider Medvedev winning a set
Daniil Medvedev
Daniil Medvedev serves against Alex Michelsen in Indian Wells (credit: Getty)
Daniil Medvedev is currently on an eight match winning streak, with all eight victories coming in straight sets. With that kind of momentum on hard courts, he arrives in strong form heading into this clash with Carlos Alcaraz.

Alcaraz Hunts Another Final

  • Carlos Alcaraz is on a 12-match winning streak in semifinals on tour. 
  • He has a 53–3 record vs outside Top 10 players in the last 12 months.
  • Daniil Medvedev is on a three-match losing streak in Masters semifinals. 
  • He has a 7–8 career record against World No.1 players. 

HTH - Carlos Alcaraz leads 6-2

Year Event Surface Round Winner Score
2024 Beijing Hard SF Alcaraz 7-5, 6-3
2024 Wimbledon Grass SF Alcaraz 6-7, 6-3, 6-4, 6-4
2024 Indian Wells Hard F Alcaraz 7-6, 6-1
2023 Masters Cup ATP Indoor Hard - Alcaraz 6-4, 6-4
2023 US Open Hard SF Medvedev 7-6, 6-1, 3-6, 6-3
2023 Wimbledon Grass SF Alcaraz 6-3, 6-3, 6-3
2023 Indian Wells Hard F Alcaraz 6-3, 6-2
2021 Wimbledon Grass 2R Medvedev 6-4, 6-1, 6-2

Alcaraz Extends Remarkable Streak

Carlos Alcaraz defeated Cameron Norrie 6-3 6-4 to reach the semifinal in Indian Wells. He dropped serve twice but converted four of the ten break points he created. 

This marks Alcaraz’s fifth consecutive semifinal appearance at the tournament. He lifted the title in 2023 and 2024 after defeating Jannik Sinner and Daniil Medvedev in consecutive matches both years. 

The Spaniard has reached the final in 12 of his last 13 tournaments, including both events he has played this season. He has also won 18 of his last 19 semifinals and is currently on a 12-match winning streak at this stage. 

Alcaraz holds a 9-3 record in Masters semifinals, with all three of those losses coming during the Sunshine Double events.

Category Details
Nationality Spain
Age 22 (5 May 2003)
Plays Right-handed
World Ranking 1
Career High 1 (12 September 2022)
Elo Ranking 1 (Rating: 2302)
Tour level titles 27

Medvedev Ends Draper’s Title Defense in Style

Daniil Medvedev knocked out defending champion Jack Draper 6-1 7-5 to reach the semifinal in Indian Wells. He fired 10 aces and saved the only breakpoint he faced in the match. 

This is Medvedev’s fourth consecutive semifinal appearance at the tournament. He converted two of the previous three into finals, with his only loss at this stage coming against Holger Rune last year. 

The Russian has steadily raised his level this season after a difficult couple of years. Apart from a few early exits, he has won titles in Brisbane and Dubai, reached the fourth round at the Australian Open, and now progressed to another semifinal here. 

Medvedev holds a 10–6 record in Masters semifinals but has not won one since this event in 2024. He currently enters this stage on a three-match losing streak.

Category Details
Nationality Russia
Age 30 (11 February 1996)
Plays Right-handed
World Ranking 11
Career High 1 (28 February 2022)
Elo Ranking 9 (Rating: 1996)
Tour level titles 23

Verdict

Rather than opposing Alcaraz outright, the value may lie in trusting Medvedev’s form. Medvedev to win at least one set looks like a worthwhile betting option here.

Best Bet1: Medvedev +1.5 Handicap Sets @124.00 at Stake.com - 2 Units
Best Bet2: Over 19.5 Total Games @-188.68 at Stake.com - 2 Units
Medvedev +1.5
Handicap Sets
@124.00 - 2 Units
25 SC no deposit & 250,000 GC
Use promo code NEWBONUS

Get 25 Stake Cash & 250,000 Gold Coins when you sign up with code NEWBONUS at Stake.us. USA only. Excludes certain States including NY,NV,ID, KY,WA. 18+ only. Terms and Conditions apply.

Bet at Stake.com
Over 19.5
Total Games
@-188.68 - 2 Units
25 SC no deposit & 250,000 GC
Use promo code NEWBONUS

Get 25 Stake Cash & 250,000 Gold Coins when you sign up with code NEWBONUS at Stake.us. USA only. Excludes certain States including NY,NV,ID, KY,WA. 18+ only. Terms and Conditions apply.

Bet at Stake.com

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