Daniil Medvedev vs Tallon Griekspoor Betting Picks & Live Stream – Medvedev Set for Dubai Glory

james-smith
1 hour ago
James Smith 1 hour ago
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  • Medvedev in dominant form, winning matches in straight sets
  • Griekspoor enters final with fitness concerns
  • Medvedev favored to win in straight sets and cover -3.5 handicap
Daniil Medvedev
Daniil Medvedev returns a shot during his men's singles semi-final match against Felix Auger-Aliassime at the Dubai Duty Free Tennis tournament. (credit: Getty)

Daniil Medvedev is playing with tremendous authority right now and looks close to untouchable in Dubai. On the other side, Tallon Griekspoor comes in with fitness concerns after physical struggles in the semifinals.

Even if he takes the court, it’s hard to see him seriously troubling Medvedev, who is strongly favored to wrap this up in straight sets.

Medvedev’s Big-Match Experience

  • Daniil Medvedev is a former champion in Dubai. 
  • Medvedev has already won a title this year in Brisbane. 
  • Tallon Griekspoor has never won an ATP 500-level title. 
  • Griekspoor holds a 3–2 career record in main-tour championship matches.

HTH - Medvedev Leads 1-0

YearEventSurfaceRoundWinnerScore
2025DubaiHardQFGriekspoor2–6, 7–6(7), 7–5

Medvedev in Command in Dubai

Daniil Medvedev has been virtually untouchable in Dubai this week, winning all four of his matches in straight sets and never conceding more than four games in a set. That run included a dominant semifinal victory over last year’s runner-up Felix Auger-Aliassime. 

This is the second time he has reached the Dubai final in such commanding fashion, having done the same in 2023 when he swept through the draw without dropping a set and went on to lift the title. That triumph remains his most recent ATP 500 success. 

Medvedev is now one win away from securing multiple titles in a season for the first time since 2023. He began 2026 with a title run in Brisbane, where he dropped just one set all week, and now stands on the brink of another trophy.

CategoryDetails
CountryRussia
Age30 (11 Feb 1996)
Height / Weight6'6" (198 cm) / 183 lbs (83 kg)
PlaysRight-handed (two-handed backhand)
Current Singles Rank11
Career-High Rank1 (28 Feb 2022)
Elo Rank10 (1974)
Career Titles22

Resilient Griekspoor Powers Into Dubai Final

Tallon Griekspoor had to battle through physical discomfort in the semifinals, struggling to move freely at times, yet Alexander Bublik was unable to capitalize. The Dutchman showed resilience, saving a couple of set points in the second set before sealing the win in straight sets. 

This has been his best week in quite some time, highlighted by three consecutive top-20 victories over Alexander Bublik, Jakub Mensik, and Andrey Rublev to reach his first final since Mallorca last June, where he defeated Corentin Moutet for the title. 

Griekspoor has now featured in five tour-level finals in his career, but none have come against a top-20 opponent. With fitness concerns lingering and the level of opposition rising, he faces his toughest title match yet.

CategoryDetails
CountryNetherlands
Age29 (2 Jul 1996)
Height / Weight6'2" (188 cm) / 187 lbs (85 kg)
PlaysRight-handed (two-handed backhand)
Current Singles Rank25
Career-High Rank21 (6 Nov 2023)
Elo Rank46 (1810)
Career Titles3

Verdict

Medvedev’s level in Dubai has been relentless, and he enters the final with all the momentum on his side. Griekspoor’s physical concerns only widen the gap in what already looks a tough matchup for him. The call is Medvedev to win in straight sets and cover the –3.5 games handicap.

Best Bet1: Medvedev 2-0 Correct Score @-175.44 at Stake.com - 3 Units
Best Bet2: Medvedev -3.5 Handicap Games @-196.08 at Stake.com - 2 Units
Best Bet3: Medvedev -4.5 Handicap Games @-104.17 at Stake.com - 1 Unit
Medvedev 2-0
Correct Score
@-175.44 - 3 Units
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Medvedev -3.5
Handicap Games
@-196.08 - 2 Units
25 SC no deposit & 250,000 GC
Use promo code NEWBONUS

Get 25 Stake Cash & 250,000 Gold Coins when you sign up with code NEWBONUS at Stake.us. USA only. Excludes certain States including NY,NV,ID, KY,WA. 18+ only. Terms and Conditions apply.

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Medvedev -4.5
Handicap Games
@-104.17 - 1 Unit
25 SC no deposit & 250,000 GC
Use promo code NEWBONUS

Get 25 Stake Cash & 250,000 Gold Coins when you sign up with code NEWBONUS at Stake.us. USA only. Excludes certain States including NY,NV,ID, KY,WA. 18+ only. Terms and Conditions apply.

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