Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Daniil Medvedev Betting Picks & Live Stream – Medvedev Eyes Dubai Final

james-smith
3 hours ago
James Smith 3 hours ago
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  • Medvedev shows dominant form, not dropping more than 3 games per set
  • Felix reaches semis without losing a set, strong February performance
  • Medvedev favored due to superior head-to-head record and recent form
Daniil Medvedev
Daniil Medvedev in action against Jenson Brooksby during his Men's Singles Quarter Final match of the Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships. (credit: Getty)

Both players have powered into the semifinals playing high-quality tennis, but Daniil Medvedev has looked the more dominant of the two. When he finds this kind of rhythm on hard courts, he becomes extremely difficult to disrupt. 

The lean is firmly toward Medvedev to get the job done, potentially in convincing fashion.

Felix Flying High, but Medvedev Owns Dubai

  • Felix Auger-Aliassime was the runner-up in Dubai last year. 
  • Auger-Aliassime holds a 2–0 record in semifinals this year. 
  • Daniil Medvedev is a former champion in Dubai. 
  • Medvedev is 1–0 in semifinals in 2026.

HTH - Medvedev Leads 7-2

YearEventSurfaceRoundWinnerScore
2025DohaHardQFAuger-Aliassime6–3
2024Olympics – ParisClayR16Auger-Aliassime6–3, 7–6(5)
2024Australian OpenHard3RMedvedev6–3, 6–4, 6–3
2023DohaHardSFMedvedev6–4, 7–6(7)
2023RotterdamIndoor HardQFMedvedev6–2, 6–4
2022Australian OpenHardQFMedvedev6–7(4), 3–6, 7–6(2), 7–5, 6–4
2022ATP CupHardRRMedvedev6–4, 6–0
2021US OpenHardSFMedvedev6–4, 7–5, 6–2
2018TorontoHard2RMedvedev3–6, 6–4, 7–6(7)

Felix One Win from Defending Dubai Points

Felix Auger-Aliassime has marched into the Dubai semifinals without dropping a set and now sits one win away from defending the runner-up points he earned here last year. 

He arrives in strong form, as this is his third consecutive semifinal in February after lifting the title in Montpellier and finishing runner-up in Rotterdam. It has been a highly productive stretch. 

The top seed in Dubai this week, Auger-Aliassime carries a 21–20 career win-loss record in semifinal matches into this clash. That experience at this stage adds further weight to his campaign.

CategoryDetails
CountryHungary
Age26 (8 Oct 1999)
Height / Weight6'4" (193 cm) / 165 lbs (75 kg)
PlaysRight-handed (two-handed backhand)
Current Singles Rank48
Career-High Singles Rank36 (6 May 2024)
Elo Rank39 (1823)
Titles0

Medvedev Back in Command in Dubai

Daniil Medvedev has arguably been the standout performer in Dubai this week, not conceding more than three games in any of the six sets he played against Shang, Wawrinka, and Brooksby. 

It has been a timely response after disappointing exits at the Australian Open, Rotterdam, and Doha. He now moves into his second semifinal of the season following his title run in Brisbane last month. 

Medvedev has reached the Dubai semifinals on multiple occasions and converted one of those runs into the title in 2023, when he swept through the draw without dropping a set. 

That campaign included a dominant semifinal victory over Novak Djokovic, underlining how dangerous he can be at this venue.

CategoryDetails
CountryRussia
Age30 (11-Feb-1996)
Height / Weight198 cm / 83 kg
PlaysRight-handed (two-handed backhand)
Current Singles Rank11
Career-High Singles Rank1 (28-Feb-2022)
Elo Rank10 (1974)
Titles22

Verdict

Both men have impressed en route to the semifinals, but Daniil Medvedev’s level has been on another tier throughout the week. With his timing sharp and confidence high on hard courts, he is well positioned to dictate play from start to finish. Expect Medvedev to win and do so in dominant fashion.

Best Bet1: Daniil Medvedev Match Winner @-125.00 at Stake.com - 3 Units
Best Bet2: Medvedev 2-0 Correct Score @185.00 at Stake.com - 2 Units
Best Bet3: Medvedev -2.5 Handicap Games @142.00 at Stake.com - 2 Units
Daniil Medvedev
Match Winner
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Medvedev 2-0
Correct Score
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Medvedev -2.5
Handicap Games
@142.00 - 2 Units
25 SC no deposit & 250,000 GC
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Get 25 Stake Cash & 250,000 Gold Coins when you sign up with code NEWBONUS at Stake.us. USA only. Excludes certain States including NY,NV,ID, KY,WA. 18+ only. Terms and Conditions apply.

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