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Rei Sakamoto vs Daniil Medvedev Betting Picks & Live Stream – Medvedev Clear Edge with -4.5 in Miami
- Medvedev has won 9 of last 10 matches in straight sets
- Rei Sakamoto secured his first tour-level main-draw win
- Sakamoto and Medvedev meet for the first time at Miami Open
Daniil Medvedev returns a shot to Jannik Sinner in Indian Wells
(credit: Getty)
Daniil Medvedev has won 9 of his last 10 matches in straight sets, rarely conceding more than four games in a set during that run. With the level he is producing, he looks set to dominate against the inexperienced Rei Sakamoto.
Control Lies With Medvedev
- Sakamoto had never won a main-draw match on tour before this week.
- He has a 0–2 career record vs Top 50 players.
- Daniil Medvedev is 6–1 in opening-round matches in Miami.
- He has a 14–2 record vs outside Top 100 players since 2024.
HTH
This will be their first meeting.
Sakamoto Claims First Tour Win
Rei Sakamoto moved into the second round in Miami with a 6-4, 3-6, 7-6 win over Aleksandar Kovacevic. He delivered a strong serving performance with 17 aces and won 85% of his first-serve points.
This is his first main-draw win in Miami and also his maiden tour-level main-draw victory. He had previously lost all four of his main-draw matches, including in Hong Kong and the Australian Open earlier this year.
Away from the main tour, Sakamoto has been consistent on the Challenger circuit. He has played four events in 2026 and reached at least the quarterfinal in three of them.
| Category | Details |
|---|---|
| Nationality | Japan |
| Age | 19 (24 June 2006) |
| Plays | Right-handed |
| World Ranking | 164 |
| Career High | 157 (23 February 2026) |
| Elo Ranking | 160 (Rating: 1627) |
| Tour level titles | 0 |
Medvedev Continues Winning Form
Daniil Medvedev is coming off a strong Indian Wells run, where he reached the final after defeating world No. 1 Carlos Alcaraz. He eventually lost to Jannik Sinner in two tight tiebreak sets.
Despite that loss, it has been an impressive start to the season for the Russian. He has won titles in Brisbane and Dubai, reached the fourth round at the Australian Open, and returned to the top 10.
Medvedev has made seven Miami appearances, suffering just one opening-round exit, which came last year. With momentum on his side, he will look to make a deep run and strengthen his top-10 position.
| Category | Details |
|---|---|
| Nationality | Russia |
| Age | 30 (11 February 1996) |
| Plays | Right-handed |
| World Ranking | 10 |
| Career High | 1 (28 February 2022) |
| Elo Ranking | 5 (Rating: 2030) |
| Tour level titles | 23 |
Verdict
With Medvedev in this kind of form, Medvedev -4.5 games handicap and under 20.5 total games both make strong appeal for this matchup.
Medvedev -4.5
Handicap Games
@-166.67 - 2 Units
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Under 20.5
Total Games
@-120.48 - 2 Units
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