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Roberto Bautista Agut vs Karen Khachanov Betting Picks & Live Stream – Khachanov to Win a Three-Set Battle in Miami
- Karen Khachanov has a slight edge but faced first-round setbacks
- Roberto Bautista Agut struggles for form, recent multi-win in Cincinnati
- Bautista Agut leads head-to-head 6-5; match expected to be competitive
Karen Khachanov serves against Carlos Alcaraz in Doha
(credit: Getty)
Karen Khachanov should have the edge over Roberto Bautista Agut at this stage of their careers, but their recent matches have been tightly contested battles. That pattern suggests this is unlikely to be a straightforward match.
Agut Battles Ongoing Decline
- Bautista Agut has not registered multiple wins since Cincinnati last year.
- He is 3–7 vs Top 20 players since 2025.
- Karen Khachanov is 5–4 in opening-round matches in Miami.
- He has a 5–1 record vs outside Top 50 players.
HTH - Roberto Bautista Agut leads 6-5
| Year | Event | Surface | Round | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Madrid | Clay | 2R | Khachanov | 3-6, 6-3, 7-5 |
| 2024 | Marseille | Indoor Hard | R16 | Khachanov | 6-2, 6-2 |
| 2023 | Madrid | Clay | 3R | Khachanov | 7-5, 4-6, 6-3 |
| 2022 | Doha | Hard | SF | Bautista-Agut | 2-6, 6-3, 7-5 |
| 2020 | Cincinnati Masters (New York) | Hard | R16 | Bautista-Agut | 4-6, 6-3, 6-2 |
| 2019 | Wimbledon | Grass | 3R | Bautista-Agut | 6-3, 7-6, 6-1 |
| 2019 | Rome | Clay | 2R | Khachanov | 5-7, 6-4, 6-2 |
| 2019 | Australian Open | Hard | 3R | Bautista-Agut | 6-4, 7-5, 6-4 |
| 2018 | Halle | Grass | QF | Bautista-Agut | 6-3, 6-7, 6-3 |
| 2017 | Dubai | Hard | 1R | Bautista-Agut | 6-1, 7-6 |
| 2016 | Barcelona | Clay | 2R | Khachanov | 6-2, 6-7, 6-3 |
Bautista Agut Battles For Form
Roberto Bautista Agut advanced to the second round with a 7-6, 7-6 win over James Duckworth. He saved seven of nine break points and converted two of five chances.
He is still searching for consecutive wins this season, with all six of his tournaments ending in or before the second round. His last multi-win run came in Cincinnati, where he reached the third round.
In Miami, he has not recorded multiple wins since his semifinal run in 2021, which also remains his most recent deep result at Masters level.
| Category | Details |
|---|---|
| Nationality | Spain |
| Age | 37 (14 April 1988) |
| Plays | Right-handed |
| World Ranking | 89 |
| Career High | 9 (04 November 2019) |
| Elo Ranking | 68 (Rating: 1763) |
| Tour level titles | 12 |
Khachanov Seeks Miami Stability
Karen Khachanov is coming off a disappointing first-round exit in Indian Wells, where he lost to Joao Fonseca from a set up. It marked his second opening-round loss of the season.
The Russian has won seven matches across six tournaments this year. His best results include a third-round run at the Australian Open and a quarterfinal in Doha, though four of his losses came against lower-ranked opponents.
Despite those setbacks, his ranking remains stable as he has few points to defend before the clay swing. He currently sits comfortably inside the top 20.
Khachanov holds a 5-4 record in Miami opening rounds and has not lost at this stage since 2022.
| Category | Details |
|---|---|
| Nationality | Russia |
| Age | 29 (21 May 1996) |
| Plays | Right-handed |
| World Ranking | 15 |
| Career High | 8 (15 July 2019) |
| Elo Ranking | 25 (Rating: 1863) |
| Tour level titles | 7 |
Verdict
Backing Khachanov to win makes sense, while over 21.5 games and a possible three-set match also stand out given their competitive history.
Karen Khachanov
Match Winner
@-333.33 - 3 Units
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Over 21.5
Total Games
@-147.06 - 2 Units
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Khachanov 2-1
Correct Score
@274.00 - 1 Unit
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