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Boston Red Sox at Seattle Mariners Picks & Betting Tips – Seattle Can Win Rubber Match

  • Boston Red Sox at Seattle Mariners starts at 16:10 ET at T-Mobile Park
  • Right-hander Tanner Houck (0-4, 3.54 ERA, 1.20 WHIP) starts for the Red Sox
  • Mariners counter with left-hander Marco Gonzales (8-5, 4.03 ERA, 1.23 WHIP)
  • Preview, stats & head-to-head
    Boston Red Sox at Seattle Mariners Picks & Betting Tips
  • Boston Red Sox at Seattle Mariners Picks & Betting Tips  
  • Head To Head 
  • Boston Red Sox Form
  • Seattle Mariners Form

Boston Red Sox at Seattle Mariners Picks & Betting Tips  


Boston (82-65) is in fourth place in the AL East, although the Red Sox is just .001 percentage points behind the Yankees and Blue Jays.  

The Red Sox have lost 3 of 5 and are 4-6 over their last 10. Boston is 38-36 on the road and 29-27 against LHPs.

Houck has given up 3 or more runs in four of last six starts.

Seattle (78-67) is in second place in the AL West 6.5 games behind Houston. The Mariners are three-games out of the final playoff spot.

The Mariners have lost 3 of 4 and are 5-5 over the last 10 games.  Seattle is 42-32 at home and 48-42 against RHPs.

Gonzalez is 3-0 over the last four games, although he has allowed 22 hits - seven homers - and 13 runs during this stretch. 

Head To Head 


Boston evened the three-game series on Tuesday night with a 8-4 victory as pinch-hitter Kyle Schwarber hit a tiebreaking three-run double in the eighth inning. The Red Sox, who scored six runs over the last two innings, outhit the Mariners 11-8. 

The season-series is tied at 3-3 with each team winning once at T-Mobile Stadium., The Mariners have outscored the Red Sox 32-28 during the series.

Boston Red Sox Form


Boston snapped a two-game losing streak with a victory on Tuesday.

The Red Sox are 7-6 in September, having outscored their opponents 71-65.

Boston’s offense averages 5.2 runs over the last 14 games with a slash line of .270/.340/.466.

The Red Sox pitching staff compiled 7-7 record during this 14-gmae stretch with a 4.04 ERA, 1.37 WHIP, and a .264 OBA. 

Seattle Mariners Form


Seattle has lost three of four.

The Mariners are 7-5 in September with a minus-3 run differential (60-63).

Seattle’s offense has compiled 4.9 runs over the last 13 contests with a slash line of .233/.316/.384.

The Mariners’ pitching staff is 8-5 over this 13-game stretch contests with a 4.16 ERA, 1.29 WHIP and .254 OBA. 

Verdict

Boston is not in-form and while the Red Sox have one of the best offenses in the game, the Red Sox have struggled against Seattle pitching hitting just .238. While the Sox are only an average team (.242, 15th in the majors) hitting on the road they are productive against left-handers (.755 OPS).

Houck is facing the Mariners for the first time ever, however, he has posted a (4.12 ERA) on the road and 4.08 ERA during day games – both numbers are worse than his numbers at home and at night. Moreover, Boston is just 24-28 in day games.

Seattle is also not in-form and struggle mightily at the plate at home (.211). The Mariners have been swinging the bat better over the last week and they have hit Red Sox pitching (.238) better than most of the league’s pitching staff.
 
Gonzalez is facing the Red Sox for the first time this season, but he has not fared well against several members of Boston’s team in his career. However, he has pitched decently well at home (3.74 ERA) and during the day (3.22). The Mariners have won each of Gonzales’ last six starts.

Seattle and Boston have combined to score nine runs in five of their six meetings this year and the teams average 10 runs per game for the season.

Best Bet: Over 8.5 Total Runs @-125 at bet365 Sport NJ - 3 Units
Value Bet: Seattle Mariners Moneyline @105 at bet365 Sport NJ - 1 Unit

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