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UNLV vs Boise State Preview & Picks – Back Broncos In Mountain West Conference Championship

leigh-copson
03 Dec 2025
leigh-copson
Leigh Copson 03 Dec 2025
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  • UNLV vs Boise State picks for Friday, December 5
  • Mountain West Conference Championship is taking place at Albertsons Stadium
  • Preview, predictions, stats & form
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UNLV vs Boise State Preview & Picks

Boise State are tipped to cover as they clinch the Mountain West Conference crown.

The Broncos have dominated UNLV over the past decade and blew them out during the regular season.

  • Boise State have won the last 10 meetings
  • Boise State are 5-0-0 ATS in the last 5 meetings
  • Boise State won by 25 points when the two teams met on October 18
  • The Over cashed when the two teams met on October 18

Head To Head

  • Boise State lead the all-time series 12-3
  • Boise State won 56-31 when the two teams last met on October 18

UNLV Form

UNLV enter the Mountain West Championship game having won their final four regular season outings to finish 10-2.

The Rebels opened the season with four non-conference wins, and kept that good run going as they won their first two MWC matchups, beating Wyoming 31-17 and Air Force 51-48.

Their perfect start was finally ended by a 56-31 defeat at Boise State, and a week later they fell 40-35 at home to New Mexico.

UNLV have not lost since though, sparking a four-game win streak with the 42-10 victory at Colorado State.

The Rebels then returned home to down Utah State 29-26 and Hawaii 38-10, before heading back out on the road to down Nevada 42-17 in their regular season finale.

Boise State Form

Boise State go into this championship showdown having bounced back from a couple of late-season defeats to finish 8-4.

The Broncos opened the season with a 34-7 loss at South Florida, but rebounded with a run of three straight non-conference wins before losing 28-7 at Notre Dame.

They rebounded immediately from that loss to kick off their Mountain West Conference schedule with home wins over New Mexico, 41-25, and UNLV, 56-31.

Boise State then won 24-3 at Nevada, before seeing their perfect start to conference action end with defeats to Fresno State, 30-7, and San Diego State, 17-7.

The Broncos rallied over their final two regular season games though, as they beat Colorado State 49-21 at home and won 25-24 at Utah State.

Verdict

Boise State have simply dominated UNLV over the past decade, stacking up wins and covers along the way.

That includes a 25-point blowout during the regular season, so we have to back the Broncos in this one.

Best Bet1: Boise State -3.5 Spread @-111.11 at Stake.us - 4 Units
Best Bet2: Over 59.5 Total Points @-111.11 at Stake.us - 2 Units
Boise State -3.5
Spread
@-111.11 - 4 Units
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Bet at Stake.us
Over 59.5
Total Points
@-111.11 - 2 Units
55 Stake Cash no deposit & 550,000 Gold Coins & 5% Rakeback
Use promo code NEWBONUS

Sign up with the code NEWBONUS. When you verify your account get 25 Stake Cash for free PLUS 250,000 Gold Coins and 5% Rakeback! No deposit required. Login each day for the next 30 days and get an additional 30 Stake Cash AND 300,000 Gold Coins. 21+ only. T&Cs apply. Excludes WA, NY, NV, ID, KY, MI, VT, NJ, DE, WV, PA, RI & MD.

Bet at Stake.us