Montreal Canadiens at Tampa Bay Lightning Predictions & Picks – Canadiens To Repeat Game 1 Upset In NHL Playoffs

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By Leigh Copson
20 Apr 2026
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Leigh Copson 20 Apr 2026
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Montreal Canadiens at Tampa Bay Lightning Predictions & Picks

Montreal are tipped to deliver another road victory in Game 2 of this series.

Beating the Lightning in Tampa in back-to-back games is a big ask, but the Canadiens' recent road form and record against the hosts makes them an appealing underdog yet again.

  • Montreal Canadiens are 9-2 in their last 11 road games
  • Tampa Bay Lightning are 2-5 in their previous 7 games
  • Montreal Canadiens have won the previous 3 meetings
  • Montreal Canadiens are 26-13 as a betting underdog
  • The Over has cashed in 7 of the previous 10 meetings

Head To Head

  • Tampa Bay Lightning lead the all-time series 75-51-17
  • Montreal Canadiens won 4-3 in overtime when the two teams last met on April 19

Montreal Canadiens Form

Montreal enter the second game of this series having taken Game 1 - their seventh victory in their last 10 games.

DateOppositionW/LScore
Mar-31 at Tampa Bay Lightning W 4-1
Apr-02 at New York Rangers W 3-2
Apr-04 at New Jersey Devils W 4-3 SO
Apr-05 vs New Jersey Devils L 0-3
Apr-07 vs Florida Panthers W 4-3 SO
Apr-09 vs Tampa Bay Lightning W 2-1
Apr-11 vs Columbus Blue Jackets L 2-5
Apr-12 at New York Islanders W 4-1
Apr-14 at Philadelphia Flyers L 2-4
Apr-19 at Tampa Bay Lightning W 4-3 OT

Tampa Bay Lightning Form

Tampa Bay go into the second game of the series on the back of their sixth defeat in their previous 10 games.

DateOppositionW/LScore
Mar-31 vs Montreal Canadiens L 1-4
Apr-02 vs Pittsburgh Penguins W 6-3
Apr-04 vs Boston Bruins W 3-1
Apr-06 at Buffalo Sabres L 2-4
Apr-07 at Ottawa Senators L 2-6
Apr-09 at Montreal Canadiens L 1-2
Apr-11 at Boston Bruins W 2-1
Apr-13 vs Detroit Red Wings W 4-3 OT
Apr-15 vs New York Rangers L 2-4
Apr-19 vs Montreal Canadiens L 3-4 OT

Verdict

Can Montreal really record back-to-back wins over the Lightning in Tampa Bay?

It is a tall order, but Tampa are in underwhelming form, while this Canadiens group has been stacking up road wins and victories as a betting underdog.

Best Bet1: Montreal Win Moneyline @160.00 at Stake.us - 3 Units
Best Bet2: Over 6.0 Total Goals @-111.11 at Stake.us - 3 Units
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