Daniil Medvedev vs Hugo Gaston Betting Picks & Live Stream – Gaston Could Trouble Medvedev at the US Open

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1 hour ago
James Smith 1 hour ago
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  • Medvedev arrives out of form, losing 4 of last 5 matches
  • Gaston qualified strongly and is tipped to keep the match close
  • Betting tips lean towards Gaston winning a set and covering the handicap
Hugo Gaston
Hugo Gaston hits a forehand against Colton Smith in Flushing (credit: Getty)
Daniil Medvedev is in a difficult place right now, having lost three of his four matches during the recent warm-up events. More broadly, he has endured a disappointing year at Grand Slam level, suffering several frustrating and demoralising defeats. 

That leaves the door open for another difficult outing here, especially against a tricky and unpredictable player like Hugo Gaston.

Gaston Looks To Improve His Record At Flushing Meadows

  • Daniil Medvedev has lost four of his last five matches on tour. 
  • He has an 18–7 record against players outside the Top 50 this year. 
  • Hugo Gaston has a 1–3 record in first-round matches at the US Open. 
  • He has a 1–5 career record against Top 10 players.

HTH - Daniil Medvedev leads 1-0

YearTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2021ParisQFHardDaniil Medvedev7-6, 6-4

Daniil Medvedev Targets a Turnaround in New York

Daniil Medvedev's performances during the North American swing have been disappointing so far, as he has played three events and won only one match, highlighting his recent struggles in the region. 

Despite this recent dip in form, Medvedev produced several strong results earlier this year, including titles in Brisbane and Dubai, a runner-up finish in Indian Wells, and semifinal appearances in Rome and 's-Hertogenbosch. 

He has made nine main-draw appearances at the US Open and cleared the opening-round hurdle in seven of them, including runs to the final in 2019 and 2023.

CategoryDetails
CountryRussia
AgeBorn 11 February 1996
PlaysRight-handed
World RankingNo. 8
Career HighNo. 1 (28 February 2022)
Elo RankingNo. 11
Tour-Level Titles23

Gaston Builds Confidence Through US Open Qualifying

Hugo Gaston qualified for the US Open main draw after winning three qualifying matches, including a comeback victory from a set down against Colton Smith in the final qualifying round. He will now look to extend that winning streak this week. 

The 25-year-old has been more successful on the Challenger circuit, posting three semifinal or better results. However, he has struggled to replicate that form at tour level, clearing the first round only twice in eight main-draw appearances, with his notable result being a semifinal run in Estoril. 

The Frenchman has made four main-draw appearances at the US Open and cleared the opening-round hurdle only once, reaching the second round in 2023.

CategoryDetails
CountryFrance
AgeBorn 26 September 2000
PlaysLeft-handed
World RankingNo. 88
Career HighNo. 58 (11 July 2022)
Elo RankingNo. 137
Tour-Level Titles0

Verdict

Gaston has the kind of game that can create plenty of problems for an out-of-form Medvedev, making him an appealing underdog option. Even if the Frenchman falls short of a full upset, he should have the ability to keep the match competitive and push Medvedev hard. 

Backing Hugo Gaston to win a set, cover the +7.5 games handicap and win over 11.5 games.
Best Bet1: Gaston +2.5 Handicap Sets @-117.65 at Stake.com - 2 Units
Best Bet2: Gaston +7.5 Handicap Games @109.00 at Stake.com - 2 Units
Best Bet3: Over 11.5 Total Gaston @-151.52 at Stake.com - 2 Units
Gaston +2.5
Handicap Sets
@-117.65 - 2 Units
25 SC no deposit & 250,000 GC
Use promo code NEWBONUS

Get 25 Stake Cash & 250,000 Gold Coins when you sign up with code NEWBONUS at Stake.us. USA only. Excludes certain States including NY,NV,ID, KY,WA. 18+ only. Terms and Conditions apply.

Bet at Stake.com
Gaston +7.5
Handicap Games
@109.00 - 2 Units
25 SC no deposit & 250,000 GC
Use promo code NEWBONUS

Get 25 Stake Cash & 250,000 Gold Coins when you sign up with code NEWBONUS at Stake.us. USA only. Excludes certain States including NY,NV,ID, KY,WA. 18+ only. Terms and Conditions apply.

Bet at Stake.com
Over 11.5
Total Gaston
@-151.52 - 2 Units
25 SC no deposit & 250,000 GC
Use promo code NEWBONUS

Get 25 Stake Cash & 250,000 Gold Coins when you sign up with code NEWBONUS at Stake.us. USA only. Excludes certain States including NY,NV,ID, KY,WA. 18+ only. Terms and Conditions apply.

Bet at Stake.com

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