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Edas Butvilas vs Alexander Bublik Betting Picks & Live Stream – Butvilas Could Stay Closer Than Expected at ATP Geneva
- Butvilas secures first ATP main-draw win, entering Geneva's 2nd round
- Bublik is top-ranked but has struggled on clay and vs. lower-ranked players
- Butvilas is tipped to cover the games handicap; match expected to be competitive
Alexander Bublik plays a backhand against Learner Tien in Rome
(credit: Getty)
Alexander Bublik may be the higher-ranked and more accomplished tour-level player in this matchup, but his inconsistency, especially on clay, makes him difficult to trust at short odds, especially against someone like Edas Butvilas, who has spent plenty of time developing his game on clay, competes hard in every match, and should be highly motivated to make the most of this opportunity on the main tour.
Underdog Challenge Awaits Bublik
- Edas Butvilas is 0–1 against Top 50 players in his career.
- He had not recorded a tour-level main-draw win before this week.
- Alexander Bublik holds a 0–2 record in Hamburg.
- He lost five of his last eight matches against players outside the Top 100.
HTH
This will be their first meeting.
Butvilas Earns Breakthrough Win
Edas Butvilas moved into the second round after a dominant 6-3, 6-1 win over Lorenzo Sonego. He saved all four break points he faced and converted four of his six break opportunities.
This is Butvilas’ first-ever main-draw win on tour. He has won all three of his matches this week in straight sets, including a victory over James Duckworth, and recorded back-to-back top-100 wins for the first time in his career.
The Lithuanian has played 12 Challenger events this season, with seven ending in qualifying or the opening round. However, he managed to reach at least the quarterfinals in four of the remaining tournaments.
| Category | Details |
|---|---|
| Nationality | Lithuania |
| Age | 21 (23 July 2004) |
| Plays | Right-handed |
| World Ranking | 253 |
| Career High | 201 (17 March 2025) |
| Elo Ranking | 262 (Rating: 1503) |
| Tour level titles | 0 |
Bublik Seeking Winning Spark
Alexander Bublik is coming off a disappointing three-set loss to Learner Tien in the second round in Rome. It marked his fourth defeat in his last five clay-court matches.
The 28-year-old enjoyed a strong start to 2026, winning the title in Hong Kong while also reaching the fourth round at the Australian Open and the semifinals in Rotterdam. However, his level has dropped significantly since the end of February.
Across his last seven tournaments, Bublik has recorded multiple main-draw wins only once, during his quarterfinal run in Monte Carlo. He will be eager to regain confidence before Roland Garros.
This is his third appearance in Geneva. He lost in the opening round in both previous visits, falling to Kamil Majchrzak in 2022 and Marcos Giron in 2023.
| Category | Details |
|---|---|
| Nationality | Kazakhstan |
| Age | 28 (17 June 1997) |
| Plays | Right-handed |
| World Ranking | 10 |
| Career High | 10 (12 January 2026) |
| Elo Ranking | 14 (Rating: 1920) |
| Tour level titles | 9 |
Verdict
Backing Butvilas to cover the +3.5 games handicap, over 22.5 games, a tiebreak to be played, and Butvilas to win a set all look like worthwhile options in what could become a very competitive battle.
Butvilas +3.5
Handicap Games
@101.00 - 2 Units
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Over 22.5
Total Games
@102.00 - 2 Units
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Yes
Tiebreak to be played
@138.00 - 2 Units
25 SC no deposit & 250,000 GC
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