Frances Tiafoe vs Mattia Bellucci Betting Picks & Live Stream – Tiafoe Ready to Storm Into Acapulco Semifinal

james-smith
1 hour ago
James Smith 1 hour ago
Share this article
Or copy link
  • Frances Tiafoe is favored to reach his first Acapulco semifinal
  • He faces Mattia Bellucci, who recently upset Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
  • Tiafoe aims to win in straight sets, leveraging his experience 
Frances Tiafoe
Frances Tiafoe plays a backhand against Aleksandar Kovacevic during Day 3 of the Telcel ATP 500 Mexican Open 2026. (credit: Getty)

Frances Tiafoe’s route to the Acapulco semifinals has opened up after recent results, and this is a big chance he’s unlikely to waste. Against underdog Mattia Bellucci, Tiafoe’s superior level and experience at this venue should see him through comfortably.

Quarterfinal Barriers on the Line

  • Frances Tiafoe is 0–1 in quarterfinal matches at ATP Acapulco. 
  • Tiafoe is also 0–1 in quarterfinals in 2026.
  • Bellucci is set to play his first-ever quarterfinal in Acapulco. 
  • This is Bellucci’s first main-tour quarterfinal appearance in nearly a year.

HTH - Tiafoe Leads 1-0

YearTournamentWinnerLoserScoreRound
2024French OpenTiafoeBellucci6–3, 3–6, 6–7(6), 6–4, 6–41R

Match-Point Escape Sparks Tiafoe’s Acapulco Push

Frances Tiafoe had to battle hard in the second round, saving a match point on return against compatriot Aleksandar Kovacevic before escaping in a tight contest. 

It was a resilience-testing win that kept his campaign alive. That effort has handed him a favorable quarterfinal, as he avoided last year’s runner-up Alejandro Davidovich Fokina and instead faces underdog Mattia Bellucci. 

Tiafoe now has a strong opportunity to reach his maiden semifinal in Acapulco in what is his eighth appearance at the event. His best prior result here was a quarterfinal in 2023, where he fell in straight sets to Taylor Fritz.

CategoryDetails
CountryUSA
Age28 (20 Jan 1998)
Height188 cm
Weight86 kg
PlaysRight-handed (two-handed backhand)
Titles3
Current Rank28
Peak Rank10 (19 Jun 2023)
Elo Rank36 (Rating: 1830)

Bellucci’s Statement Win Signals 2026 Turnaround

Mattia Bellucci produced a statement win in the previous round, upsetting last year’s runner-up Alejandro Davidovich Fokina in straight sets to reach the Acapulco quarterfinals without dropping a set.

This marks a major turnaround for the Italian, who arrived winless in three matches and had not claimed a tour-level main-draw victory since the Shanghai Masters last October. This run has effectively reignited his 2026 campaign. 

In his young main-tour career, Bellucci has now featured in three quarterfinals, losing two of them. His lone quarterfinal win came against Stefanos Tsitsipas in Rotterdam last February.

CategoryDetails
CountryItaly
Age24 (01 Jun 2001)
Height5'9" (175 cm)
Weight169 lbs (77 kg)
PlaysLeft-handed (two-handed backhand)
Titles0
Current Rank110
Peak Rank63 (14 Jul 2025)
Elo Rank149 (rating: 1641)

Verdict

The draw has broken nicely for Frances Tiafoe, putting him in a strong position to take control of this matchup. With his higher level and greater experience in Acapulco, he should be able to dictate play throughout. The call is Tiafoe to win in straight sets and cover the –2.5 games handicap.

Best Bet1: Frances Tiafoe Match Winner @-212.77 at Stake.com - 4 Units
Best Bet2: Tiafoe 2-0 Correct Score @119.00 at Stake.com - 1 Unit
Best Bet3: Tiafoe -2.5 Handicap Games @-129.87 at Stake.com - 3 Units
Frances Tiafoe
Match Winner
@-212.77 - 4 Units
25 SC no deposit & 250,000 GC
Use promo code NEWBONUS

Get 25 Stake Cash & 250,000 Gold Coins when you sign up with code NEWBONUS at Stake.us. USA only. Excludes certain States including NY,NV,ID, KY,WA. 18+ only. Terms and Conditions apply.

Bet at Stake.com
Tiafoe 2-0
Correct Score
@119.00 - 1 Unit
25 SC no deposit & 250,000 GC
Use promo code NEWBONUS

Get 25 Stake Cash & 250,000 Gold Coins when you sign up with code NEWBONUS at Stake.us. USA only. Excludes certain States including NY,NV,ID, KY,WA. 18+ only. Terms and Conditions apply.

Bet at Stake.com
Tiafoe -2.5
Handicap Games
@-129.87 - 3 Units
25 SC no deposit & 250,000 GC
Use promo code NEWBONUS

Get 25 Stake Cash & 250,000 Gold Coins when you sign up with code NEWBONUS at Stake.us. USA only. Excludes certain States including NY,NV,ID, KY,WA. 18+ only. Terms and Conditions apply.

Bet at Stake.com

Upcoming Events

27 March 2026

2026 MLB World Series Betting Preview Baseball 2026 MLB World Series Odds – LA Dodgers Favourites For 3-Peat

20 September 2026