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Francisco Cerundolo vs Tommy Paul Betting Picks & Live Stream – Paul Can Defend His Crown at Queen's Club
- Tommy Paul reaches the Queen's Club final without dropping a set
- Francisco Cerundolo fights through tough matches for another grass final
- Paul favored to win based on recent form and consistency
Tommy Paul plays a backhand against Ugo Humbert in London
(credit: Getty)
Tommy Paul has reached the final at Queen's Club without conceding a set, extending his winning streak at the venue to nine matches in the process. The American has looked sharp throughout the week, producing a consistently high level and rarely finding himself under pressure.
Francisco Cerundolo, meanwhile, has had a much tougher path to the final, scrambling through several matches and being pushed hard by underdogs such as Henry Searle and Aleksandar Kovacevic.
A Final Between In-Form Contenders
- Cerundolo holds a 1–0 record in tour-level grass-court finals.
- He owns a 4–6 record against Top 30 players in 2026.
- Tommy Paul has a 1–1 record in grass-court finals.
- He holds a 7–4 record against Top 30 players in 2026.
HTH - Francisco Cerundolo leads -2
| Year | Tournament | Surface | Round | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Miami | Hard | 3R | Cerundolo | 6-2, 7-6(4) |
| 2024 | French Open | Clay | 3R | Cerundolo | 3-6, 6-3, 6-3, 6-2 |
| 2024 | Madrid | Clay | 3R | Cerundolo | 6-7(7), 6-4, 6-2 |
| 2023 | Toronto | Hard | 2R | Paul | 7-6(2), 6-7(2), 6-3 |
| 2023 | Eastbourne | Grass | F | Cerundolo | 6-4, 1-6, 6-4 |
| 2023 | Queen's Club | Grass | 1R | Cerundolo | 7-6(2), 4-6, 6-4 |
| 2022 | Eastbourne | Grass | 1R | Paul | 4-6, 7-6(2), 6-4 |
Cerundolo's Grass-Court Revival Continues
Francisco Cerundolo booked his place in the final with a 6-7, 6-3, 6-4 victory over Brandon Nakashima. The Argentine let early advantages slip in the opening set but responded well, taking control of the match across the final two sets to complete the comeback.
It has been an impressive week for Cerundolo, who had not won a grass-court match in either of the previous two seasons. Before this event, the only time he had recorded multiple main-draw wins on grass came during his title run in Eastbourne.
The 27-year-old has produced several solid results this season, although he has not matched the level of his early 2025 campaign. That dip saw him fall outside the top 20 rankings, but this run has moved him back within reach of that group.
Cerundolo will now contest the eighth tour-level final of his career. He owns a 4-3 record in previous finals, with all four of his title victories coming against opponents ranked inside the top 35.
| Category | Details |
|---|---|
| Nationality | Argentina |
| Age | 27 (13 August 1998) |
| Plays | Right-handed |
| Height / Weight | 185 cm / 78 kg |
| World Ranking | 27 |
| Career High | 18 (5 May 2025) |
| Elo Ranking | 24 (Rating: 1894) |
| Tour level titles | 4 |
Tommy Paul Returns to the Queen's Club Final
Tommy Paul reached the final with a comfortable 6-3, 6-3 victory over Ugo Humbert. The American fell behind by an early break in the opening set but quickly recovered, taking control of the match and closing it out in straight sets.
This will be Paul's second consecutive final at Queen's Club. He reached the championship match here last year and went on to defeat Lorenzo Musetti for the title. He now returns to the final looking to add another grass-court trophy to his collection.
Paul has enjoyed a strong season, recording five quarterfinal-or-better finishes on tour. Those results include a title in Houston and runner-up finishes in Delray Beach and Hamburg, underlining his consistency across different surfaces.
The American owns a 5-5 record in tour-level finals during his career. On grass, he has contested two finals and holds a 1-1 record, with his Queen's Club title accounting for his lone trophy on the surface.
| Category | Details |
|---|---|
| Nationality | USA |
| Age | 29 (17 May 1997) |
| Plays | Right-handed |
| Height / Weight | 185 cm / 82 kg |
| World Ranking | 28 |
| Career High | 8 (9 June 2025) |
| Elo Ranking | 16 (Rating: 1935) |
| Tour level titles | 5 |
Verdict
One player has clearly performed at a higher level than the other this week, and on that basis Paul deserves the edge heading into the final. Backing Paul to win, Paul to win in straight sets, and Paul to cover the -3.5 games handicap all look like strong options.
Tommy Paul
Match Winner
@-227.27 - 2 Units
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Paul 2-0
Correct Score
@113.00 - 2 Units
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Paul -3.5
Handicap Games
@108.00 - 2 Units
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