Matteo Berrettini vs Mariano Navone Betting Picks & Live Stream – Berrettini Bids for Comfortable Opener in Montreal

james-smith
02 Aug 2026
James Smith 02 Aug 2026
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  • Berrettini holds a 3-0 career record vs Navone
  • Italian's hard-court skills & serve give clear advantage
  • Recommended: Back Berrettini to win, likely in straight sets
Matteo Berrettini
Matteo Berrettini during Day Six of the The Championships - Wimbledon in London
Matteo Berrettini may still have lingering fitness concerns, but he remains a far superior player to Mariano Navone on hard courts. It is somewhat surprising to see the Italian available at such a backable outright price, given the clear gap in their ability on this surface. Berrettini's biggest advantage comes when he can dictate play with his serve and forehand, shortening the points before any physical issues become a factor.

Berrettini Pushes For A Winning Toronto Opener

  • Berrettini has a 1–1 record in the first round of the Canadian Open. 
  • He has a 6–3 record against Top 50 players in 2026. 
  • Navone has a 3–1 record in first-round Masters matches this season. 
  • He has a 7–10 record against Top 50 players in 2026.

HTH - Matteo Berrettini leads 3-0

YearTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026Cagliari ChallengerR16ClayMatteo Berrettini7-5, 6-3
2025Monte CarloR1ClayMatteo Berrettini6-4, 6-4
2024MarrakechSFClayMatteo Berrettini6-7(4), 6-3, 6-2

Matteo Berrettini Returns with Confidence

Matteo Berrettini produced encouraging results in the recently concluded Grand Slams, reaching the quarterfinals at the French Open and the third round at Wimbledon. Those performances helped him return to the top 50 in the rankings. 

Before that, the Italian struggled for consistency due to recurring fitness issues, although he regularly cleared the opening round in most of the tournaments he entered. 

This is Berrettini's third appearance at the Canadian Open. He lost in the first round in Montreal in 2022 and reached the second round in Toronto in 2023.

CategoryDetails
CountryItaly
AgeBorn 12 April 1996
PlaysRight-handed
World RankingNo. 41
Career HighNo. 6 (31 January 2022)
Elo RankingNo. 32
Tour-Level Titles10

Mariano Navone Targets Opening-Round Success

Mariano Navone recently snapped a four-match losing streak by reaching the quarterfinals in Kitzbühel. The Argentine will now look to build on that encouraging result. 

Navone struggled during the opening months of the season but gradually found his rhythm. His resurgence included winning his maiden ATP Tour title in Bucharest, finishing runner-up in Geneva, and reaching the third round in Rome, results that have helped him remain inside the top 50. 

This is Navone's second appearance at the Canadian Open. On his debut in Montreal in 2024, he was eliminated in the first round.

CategoryDetails
CountryArgentina
AgeBorn 27 February 2001
PlaysRight-handed
World RankingNo. 44
Career HighNo. 29 (10 June 2024)
Elo RankingNo. 53
Tour-Level Titles1

Verdict

A long, physical battle in the heat would likely play into Navone's hands, making a quick victory the ideal scenario for Berrettini. Backing Matteo Berrettini to win and Berrettini to win in straight sets both offer good value.

Best Bet1: Matteo Berrettini Match Winner @-181.82 at Stake.com - 2 Units
Best Bet2: Berrettini 2-0 Correct Score @132.00 at Stake.com - 1 Unit
Matteo Berrettini
Match Winner
@-181.82 - 2 Units
25 SC no deposit & 250,000 GC
Use promo code NEWBONUS

Get 25 Stake Cash & 250,000 Gold Coins when you sign up with code NEWBONUS at Stake.us. USA only. Excludes certain States including NY,NV,ID, KY,WA. 18+ only. Terms and Conditions apply.

Bet at Stake.com
Berrettini 2-0
Correct Score
@132.00 - 1 Unit
25 SC no deposit & 250,000 GC
Use promo code NEWBONUS

Get 25 Stake Cash & 250,000 Gold Coins when you sign up with code NEWBONUS at Stake.us. USA only. Excludes certain States including NY,NV,ID, KY,WA. 18+ only. Terms and Conditions apply.

Bet at Stake.com

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