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New York Yankees at New York Mets Preview & Picks – Mets To Win MLB Subway Series Opener

leigh-copson
04 Jul 2025
leigh-copson
Leigh Copson 04 Jul 2025
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  • New York Yankees at New York Mets picks for Friday, July 4
  • Game is taking place at Citi Field
  • Preview, predictions, stats & form
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    New York Yankees at New York Mets Preview & Picks
  • New York Yankees at New York Mets Preview & Picks
  • Head To Head
  • New York Yankees Form
  • New York Mets Form

New York Yankees at New York Mets Preview & Picks

The Mets are tipped to take the opening game of this Subway Series.

Yankees starter Marcus Stroman has been getting lit up this season, and the Mets have the firepower to get after him and win what could turn into a shootout.

  • New York Yankees are 0-4 during this run of road games
  • New York Mets are 4-1 in their previous 5 home games
  • Yankees pitcher Marcus Stroman has allowed 13 runs in his last 14.1 innings
  • The 2 starting pitchers have combined ERA of 15.87

Head To Head

  • New York Yankees lead the all-time series 86-68
  • New York Yankees won 8-2 when the two teams last met on May 18

New York Yankees Form

New York go into this series on a rough run of form, having now lost each of the first four games on this run of road games.

The Yankees struggled for consistency during June as they stacked up a bunch of losses, but they did go into this series on the back of a solid home showing against The Athletics.

They won the series opener 3-0, and then rebounded from a 7-0 shutout loss with a 12-5 victory over the A’s.

New York failed to build on that when they headed to Toronto, as they were swept in four games by the Blue Jays.

The Yankees began this week with a 5-4 defeat in Toronto, and that was followed up by 12-5, 11-9 and 8-5 losses.

New York Mets Form

New York enter this series in underwhelming form with seven defeats in their last 11 games, but they did win each of the last two.

The Mets’ rough run started with a 7-1 defeat in Philadelphia, which was followed by 3-2 and 7-4 home losses to Atlanta.

They rallied to split the series though, winning the next two meetings with the Braves, 7-3 and 4-0.

New York failed to build on those victories however, as they were swept in a three-game series in Pittsburgh, losing 9-1, 9-2 and 12-1.

The Mets’ losing run reached four games with a 7-2 home loss to Milwaukee, but they were able to turn around that series as they followed up a 7-3 win with a 3-2 victory last night.

Verdict

Neither team is in great form, but we are leaning towards the Mets getting the job done.

Marcus Stroman has been struggling for the Yankees, and the Mets can take advantage of that to make it three-in-a-row.

Best Bet1: NY Mets Win Moneyline @-116.28 at Stake.us - 3 Units
Best Bet2: Over 9.0 Total Runs @-120.48 at Stake.us - 3 Units
NY Mets Win
Moneyline
@-116.28 - 3 Units
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Bet at Stake.us
Over 9.0
Total Runs
@-120.48 - 3 Units
55 Stake Cash no deposit & 550,000 Gold Coins & 5% Rakeback
Use promo code NEWBONUS

Sign up with the code NEWBONUS. When you verify your account get 25 Stake Cash for free PLUS 250,000 Gold Coins and 5% Rakeback! No deposit required. Login each day for the next 30 days and get an additional 30 Stake Cash AND 300,000 Gold Coins. 21+ only. T&Cs apply. Excludes WA, NY, NV, ID, KY, MI, VT, NJ, DE, WV, PA, RI & MD.

Bet at Stake.us