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Kentucky vs Troy Preview & Picks – Trojans To Cover As March Madness Underdog

leigh-copson
20 Mar 2025
leigh-copson
Leigh Copson 20 Mar 2025
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  • Kentucky vs Troy picks for Friday, March 21
  • March Madness 1st Round game is taking place at Fiserv Forum in Milwaukee
  • Preview, predictions, stats & form
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    Kentucky vs Troy Preview & Picks
  • Kentucky vs Troy Preview & Picks
  • Head To Head
  • Kentucky Form
  • Troy Form

Kentucky vs Troy Preview & Picks

Troy are tipped to cover as a double digit underdog as they bow out of March Madness.

Kentucky have been an inconsistent spread bet this season, and once they open up a healthy lead we expect to see the backups enter and allow Troy a shot at a backdoor cover.

  • Kentucky are 2-5-0 ATS in their last 7 games
  • Troy are 8-1-0 ATS in their previous 9 games
  • The Under has cashed in 3 of Kentucky’s 5 games as a double digit favorite

Head To Head

  • Kentucky lead the all-time series 1-0
  • Kentucky won 70-62 when the two teams last met in November 2017

Kentucky Form

Kentucky go into March Madness looking to rebound from a blowout defeat in the conference tournament.

The Wildcats stumbled multiple times during the final few games of the regular season, going 4-3 in their last seven games.

They wrapped up that part of the campaign on a positive note though, beating Louisiana State 95-64 at home and Missouri 91-83 on the road.

Kentucky then made it three-in-a-row with an 85-84 victory over Oklahoma in the second round of the SEC tournament.

However, the Wildcats’ quest for conference glory was ended in the quarter-finals, as they suffered a 99-70 defeat at the hands of Alabama.

Troy Form

Troy enter the national tournament on a strong run of form, having won each of their previous six games.

The Trojan’s last defeat came on February 20 when they were beaten 72-69 at home by Louisiana.

They bounced back a few days later with an 83-66 win over Coastal Carolina, and then wrapped up the regular season with road wins at Texas State, 74-69, and Southern Mississippi, 70-58.

Troy’s good run continued in the Sun Belt tournament as they advanced to the final by beating Old Dominion 75-59 and James Madison 79-60.

The Trojans were then crowned conference champions as they beat Arkansas State 94-81 in the final.

Verdict

Kentucky are the better team and we do expect them to advance here.

However, this Troy team is full of confidence and have been stacking up covers, so give us the Trojans and the free buckets.

Best Bet1: Troy +11.5 Spread @-111.11 at Stake.us - 3 Units
Best Bet2: Under 152.0 Total Points @-111.11 at Stake.us - 3 Units
Troy +11.5
Spread
@-111.11 - 3 Units
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Bet at Stake.us
Under 152.0
Total Points
@-111.11 - 3 Units
55 Stake Cash no deposit & 550,000 Gold Coins & 5% Rakeback
Use promo code NEWBONUS

Sign up with the code NEWBONUS. When you verify your account get 25 Stake Cash for free PLUS 250,000 Gold Coins and 5% Rakeback! No deposit required. Login each day for the next 30 days and get an additional 30 Stake Cash AND 300,000 Gold Coins. 21+ only. T&Cs apply. Excludes NY,NV,ID, KY,WA, MI.

Bet at Stake.us