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12 Jan 2026Read More
Notre Dame vs Penn State Preview & Picks – Notre Dame To Cover In Orange Bowl Win
- Notre Dame vs Penn State picks for Thursday, January 9
- Orange Bowl is taking place at Hard Rock Stadium in Miami
- Preview, predictions, stats & form
(Getty Images)
- Notre Dame vs Penn State Preview & Picks
- Head To Head
- Notre Dame Form
- Penn State Form
Notre Dame vs Penn State Preview & Picks
Notre Dame vs Penn State Preview & Picks
Notre Dame are tipped to cover as they advance to the National Championship Game.
The Fighting Irish can ride a clock-chewing run game and a dominant defense that is allowing only 13.6 points per game.
- Notre Dame are 10-0-0 ATS in their last 10 games
- Penn State are 1-2-0 ATS as a betting underdog this season
- The betting favorite is 8-0 in the College Football Playoffs so far
- The Under has hit in all 4 playoff games featuring either of these teams
Head To Head
- The all-time record is tied at 9-9 with 1 tie
- Penn State won 31-10 when the two teams last met in 2007
Notre Dame Form
Notre Dame go into the semi-finals of the College Football Playoffs having gone 13-1 this season.
The Fighting Irish suffered an embarrassing 16-14 defeat when they hosted Northern Illinois back in September, but they have been on a tear ever since.
They won their final 10 regular season games, downing a handful of ranked teams along the way, and that was enough to secure playoff football.
Notre Dame entered the new-look format in the first round and fended off a fourth-quarter fightback from Indiana to win 27-17.
The Fighting Irish then booked their place in the Orange Bowl with a 23-10 victory over Georgia in the delayed Sugar Bowl.
Penn State Form
Penn State enter the Orange Bowl having rebounded from a Big Ten Championship Game loss with back-to-back wins.
The Nittany Lions opened with seven consecutive wins, only to see that perfect start end with a 20-13 defeat when they hosted Ohio State.
They responded with four straight wins to seal a trip to the conference championship, only to come up short as they were beaten 45-37 by Oregon.
Penn State had done enough to make the playoffs though, and opened their campaign with a 38-10 blowout of SMU in the first round.
The Nittany Lions then backed up that victory in the Fiesta Bowl, as they took down Boise State, 31-14.
Verdict
This is likely to be a close matchup that goes down to the wire, and for that reason we have to go with the better defense.
Only one team has given up less points than Notre Dame this season, so we expect them to keep the Nittany Lions in check.
Only one team has given up less points than Notre Dame this season, so we expect them to keep the Nittany Lions in check.
Notre Dame -2.0
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