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Buffalo Bills at Jacksonville Jaguars Preview & Picks – Jaguars To Spring NFL Playoffs Upset In Wild Card Round

leigh-copson
05 Jan 2026
leigh-copson
Leigh Copson 05 Jan 2026
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  • Buffalo Bills at Jacksonville Jaguars picks for Sunday, January 11
  • NFL Playoffs Wild Card is taking place at EverBank Stadium
  • Preview, predictions, stats & form
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Buffalo Bills at Jacksonville Jaguars Preview & Picks

Jacksonville are tipped to win as a home underdog in the Wild Card round.

The Jaguars have been on a red-hot run since early November, with Trevor Lawrence in outstanding form, while it increasingly feels like the Bills’ Super Bowl window has passed.

  • Jacksonville Jaguars are on an 8-game win streak
  • Jacksonville Jaguars are 7-2 in their 9 home games
  • 3 of Buffalo Bills’ 5 defeats came on the road this season
  • The Over has cashed in 7 of Jacksonville’s last 10 games

Head To Head

  • The all-time series is tied at 10-10
  • Buffalo Bills won 47-10 when the two teams last met in September 2024

Buffalo Bills Form

Buffalo enter the playoffs having won eight of their 11 games since they bye week to finish 12-5.

The Bills raced out of the blocks with four consecutive games, but cooled off before the bye week to go into the break at 4-2.

They responded with back-to-back victories only to then falter over the next couple of weeks as they dropped a couple of road games in a three-game spell to slip to 7-4.

Buffalo bounced back from that with a four-game win streak, following up a 26-7 victory at Pittsburgh with wins over Cincinnati, 39-34, New England, 35-31 and Cleveland, 23-20.

The Bills failed to make it five-in-a-row as they lost 13-12 to Philadelphia, but they did issue an immediate response as they closed out the regular season with a 35-8 blowout of the New York Jets.

Jacksonville Jaguars Form

Jacksonville enter the postseason as one of the NFL’s hottest teams, having won eight consecutive games to finish with a 13-4 record.

The Jaguars blew hot and cold in the first seven weeks of the season as they went into the bye week at 4-3, and when they returned to action they split their first two games back.

They found their consistency after that though, sparking a season-best run of form with a 35-6 blowout of the Los Angeles Chargers.

Jacksonville backed that up on the road with wins at Arizona, 27-24, and Tennessee, 25-3, before returning home to down Indianapolis, 36-19, and the New York Jets, 48-20.

The Jaguars then went back out on the road to beat Denver 34-20 and Indianapolis 23-17, and then wrapped up the regular season with a 41-7 demolition of Tennessee.

Verdict

Buffalo still have Josh Allen at the controls, but Jacksonville are simply the better team in better form right night.

The Jaguars have momentum on their side and Lawrence is playing terrific football right now, so give us the underdog Jaguars at home.

Best Bet1: Jacksonville Win Moneyline @100.00 at Stake.us - 4 Units
Best Bet2: Over 50.5 Total Points @-111.11 at Stake.us - 2 Units
Jacksonville Win
Moneyline
@100.00 - 4 Units
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Bet at Stake.us
Over 50.5
Total Points
@-111.11 - 2 Units
55 Stake Cash no deposit & 550,000 Gold Coins & 5% Rakeback
Use promo code NEWBONUS

Sign up with the code NEWBONUS. When you verify your account get 25 Stake Cash for free PLUS 250,000 Gold Coins and 5% Rakeback! No deposit required. Login each day for the next 30 days and get an additional 30 Stake Cash AND 300,000 Gold Coins. 21+ only. T&Cs apply. Excludes WA, NY, NV, ID, KY, MI, VT, NJ, DE, WV, PA, RI & MD.

Bet at Stake.us