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Matteo Berrettini vs Adrian Mannarino Betting Tips & Live Stream – Berrettini Favoured at Indian Wells

By James Smith

04 Mar 2026

James Smith 04 Mar 2026

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Berrettini seeks a hard court win since Metz 2025
Mannarino leads head-to-head 2-0 against Berrettini
Berrettini's confidence grows despite earlier season losses

Matteo Berrettini returns a shot to Ignacio Buse in Rio de Janeiro (credit: Getty)

Berrettini Seeks Hard Court Win
HTH - Adrian Mannarino leads 2-0
Berrettini Hoping for Turnaround
Desert Test Awaits Mannarino

Matteo Berrettini may not be at his absolute best yet, but he’s gaining confidence and remains reliable enough to capitalize on Adrian Mannarino’s unpredictability.

With the stronger weapons and more dependable game in this matchup, Berrettini should find a way through. Backing Berrettini to win and cover the –2.5 games handicap looks the right play.

Berrettini Seeks Hard Court Win

Matteo Berrettini is seeking his first hard court win since Metz 2025.
He holds a 3–3 record in opening round matches at Indian Wells.
Adrian Mannarino has a 2–5 record in opening round matches this year across all levels.
He has a 3–4 record against top 100 players this year.

HTH - Adrian Mannarino leads 2-0

Year	Event	Surface	Round	Winner	Score
2025	Shanghai	Hard	1R	Mannarino	7-5, 7-6
2018	Australian Open	Hard	1R	Mannarino	6-4, 6-4, 6-4

Berrettini Hoping for Turnaround

Matteo Berrettini skipped the Australian swing to focus on recovery. He returned through the South American clay swing to regain form.

He played three events there but won only three matches. All three losses came against lower ranked opponents as he continues to search for his usual level.

Berrettini now makes his seventh appearance at Indian Wells Tennis Garden. He holds a 3-3 record in opening round matches, most recently reaching the third round in 2025.

Category	Details
Nationality	Italy
Age	29 (12 April 1996)
Plays	Right-handed
World Ranking	66
Career High	6 (31 January 2022)
Elo Ranking	42 (Rating: 1821)
Tour level titles	10

Desert Test Awaits Mannarino

Adrian Mannarino had a poor start to the season with four straight first round exits. He responded well by reaching the final in Montpellier, his first tour level final in two years.

However, he could not build on that momentum. Early exits in Dallas and Acapulco followed, bringing him back to inconsistent form.

Mannarino now makes his 12th main draw appearance at Indian Wells Tennis Garden. He has cleared the opening round in seven of his previous 11 appearances.

Category	Details
Nationality	France
Age	37 (29 June 1988)
Plays	Left-handed
World Ranking	48
Career High	17 (29 January 2024)
Elo Ranking	97 (Rating: 1709)
Tour level titles	5

Verdict

Matteo Berrettini v Adrian Mannarino

Berrettini’s growing confidence and superior firepower should be enough to exploit Mannarino’s unpredictability. Berrettini to win and cover the –2.5 games handicap is the pick.

Matteo Berrettini

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Berrettini -2.5

Handicup

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